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03-21-2013, 02:38 PM #91
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03-21-2013, 02:39 PM #92
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03-21-2013, 02:39 PM #93
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03-21-2013, 02:39 PM #94
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03-21-2013, 02:40 PM #95
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03-21-2013, 02:41 PM #96
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03-21-2013, 02:42 PM #97
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03-21-2013, 02:42 PM #98
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03-21-2013, 02:43 PM #99
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03-21-2013, 02:43 PM #100
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03-21-2013, 02:45 PM #101
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03-21-2013, 02:52 PM #102
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03-21-2013, 02:54 PM #103
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03-21-2013, 02:56 PM #104
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03-21-2013, 02:57 PM #105
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03-21-2013, 02:59 PM #106
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03-21-2013, 03:01 PM #107
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03-21-2013, 03:04 PM #108
- Join Date: May 2012
- Location: United Kingdom (Great Britain)
- Posts: 954
- Rep Power: 429
That doesn't change anything
A random user clicks on the thread: They find out their either on Team A or Team B.
P(User from Team A will post) = 0.5
P(User from Team A will not post) = 0.5
P(User from Team B will post) = 0.5
P(User from Team B will not post) = 0.5
After clicking into thread:
P(User from team A posting and User from team B posting) = 0.25
P(User from team A not posting and user from team B posting) = 0.25
P(User from team A posting and User from team B not posting) = 0.25
P(User from team A not posting and User from team B not posting) = 0.25
The standard deviation is too low to reach either 300 or 0. It will take a lot and I mean A LOT of responses to reach that. Which is why I'm 99% confident that that neither team will win. It's like flipping a coin a thousands of times until you get 150 more heads than tails. Yeah good luck with that - this game may take years.
EDIT: However since we're all humans I'm guessing that when the number gets close to either 0 or 300 the team closest to victory gains momentum and the other team may feel it's pointless to post. So I guess the probabilities are changing all the time.Last edited by BlazeInfinity92; 03-21-2013 at 03:19 PM.
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03-21-2013, 03:04 PM #109
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03-21-2013, 03:06 PM #110
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03-21-2013, 03:08 PM #111
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03-21-2013, 03:10 PM #112
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03-21-2013, 03:11 PM #113
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03-21-2013, 03:13 PM #114
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03-21-2013, 03:15 PM #115
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03-21-2013, 03:24 PM #116
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03-21-2013, 03:28 PM #117
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03-21-2013, 03:29 PM #118
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03-21-2013, 03:36 PM #119
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03-21-2013, 03:41 PM #120
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