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02-12-2013, 09:30 PM #121
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02-12-2013, 09:32 PM #122
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02-12-2013, 09:33 PM #123
Yes of course...
Cut taxes during a period of time when people are already spending less and investing less to stagnate economic growth even more. It may be counterproductive, but it may work, damnit!
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The S&P 500 is making record profits, more than a third more profit than before the recession, but median wages are falling. Businesses have the money to pay their workers, they just choose to lower their pay because lots of people are seeking work and they can exploit that."It has been my philosophy of life that difficulties vanish when faced boldly." - Isaac Asimov
I'm a Tunnel Snake
FC: 5300-9524-4556
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02-12-2013, 09:33 PM #124
- Join Date: May 2006
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02-12-2013, 09:35 PM #125
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02-12-2013, 09:36 PM #126
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02-12-2013, 09:37 PM #127
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02-12-2013, 09:38 PM #128
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02-12-2013, 09:39 PM #129
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02-12-2013, 09:42 PM #130
- Join Date: Oct 2007
- Location: Okemos, Michigan, United States
- Age: 39
- Posts: 1,023
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Since we're all economists, let's examine this properly.
We have an increase in the minimum wage. Ceteris paribus, this has some immediate effects that are worth noting.
1. Disposable income for those earning between $7.50 and $8.99 increases by $9-(current wage)*hours worked. This results in an outward shift in demand.
2. Hiring in positions where individuals were valued at between $7.50 and $8.99 will freeze.
3. There will be a decline in welfare and medicaid recipients. This new increase in income will make many ineligible for these programs.
4. The increase in labor costs will offset corporate profits.
5. Demand for money (specifically M1 and M2) will shift (increase)
In the long run:
1. Price levels will increase though whether ABSOLUTE price levels will be higher will depend upon the liquidity effect, income and expected price level and expected inflation effects.
2. Total employment may increase or decrease. This will depend upon whether the increased labor cost can be offset by (and some of these work both ways): the outward demand shift, government policy and most importantly, how the previous increase in demand for money will sufficiently suppress interest rates to outweigh the effects of increased income and prices pushing the rates higher)
3. Economic growth may increase or decrease. This is a giant bag of worms that I don't want to open in this thread; but, in simplest terms it boils down to what the government does with the increased revenue, whether long term corporate economic gains were affected (important to note that these are a function of the aforementioned money markets) and a series of other less important factors. In Econ 102 terms (think of the minimum wage increase as an increase in government spending i.e. a stimulus package) what is the value of the government spending multiplier?
Basically, the minimum wage increase gives a "kick in the arse" to those who benefit from it. It may provide an opportunity to use the money that they receive in excess of their current state to invest in themselves. If individuals use this increase in income rationally, the result can be a long term positive, with the effect being that the wealthy paid for these people to improve themselves and the increases in productivity benefit everyone. In the case where they squander this money, we will basically return to the state we are in now, as price levels readjust and the funds make their way back to the wealthy, in which case, the wealthy provided these people with a "brief vacation". In terms of people earning twice the minimum wage, the likelihood of this producing any noticeable effect on their everyday lives is quite small. Price levels (and wage levels) will increase proportionately for them.
A final aside on healthcare, since it has been mentioned. This is really where the United States needs to be focusing. There are a number of possibilities, ranging from full privatization to full socialization, under a variety of schematics. I personally support full privatization on a national level, allowing a division of service schedules and pooled patient groups (done federally). Access to groups is federally regulated with determination being done through complex auctions (buying access to patients through auctions under bilateral arbitrage). This allows patients to select their level of care, paying for it in a manner similar to federal income tax withholding. Competition among privatized firms for patients is greatly changed under this scheme, though it promotes greater efficiency than what is present in our current system. There is also less of the typical "principal-agent" problems here, as the individuals are forced to select their levels of care.
No Cliffs. I will elaborate on any points upon request.USMC
University of Michigan Alum
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02-12-2013, 09:43 PM #131
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02-12-2013, 09:43 PM #132
Increasing the min wage really has a negligible affect on the economy since so few people over the age of 25 earn min wage. There are arguments that it may help small business and some arguments that it hurts small businesses but what it does do is increase consumption by those small percentage of the pop over age 18 that do earn min wage. There are also downsides in that it may affect inflation by causing businesses to raise prices and it reduces qt demanded of labor
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02-12-2013, 09:44 PM #133
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02-12-2013, 09:44 PM #134
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02-12-2013, 09:46 PM #135
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02-12-2013, 09:47 PM #136
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02-12-2013, 09:48 PM #137
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02-12-2013, 09:49 PM #138
OMG you're so dumb it hurts. Steady inflation is a good thing. It encourages spending, investing, and basically using money, because the next year, it'll be worth like 1% less. I wonder what spending money leads to... oh yes, a better economy since it increases the flow of goods. Deflation is the opposite and is a million times worse. It means that your money increases in value over time, which means that the absolute best way to invest it is to not spend it at all. No money being spent is a terrible thing.
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02-12-2013, 09:50 PM #139
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02-12-2013, 09:52 PM #140
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02-12-2013, 09:53 PM #141
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02-12-2013, 09:55 PM #142
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02-12-2013, 09:58 PM #143
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02-12-2013, 09:59 PM #144
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02-12-2013, 10:00 PM #145
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02-12-2013, 10:00 PM #146
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02-12-2013, 10:00 PM #147
- Join Date: Oct 2007
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I hate to argue with a fellow Marine or even a Squid; but, Obama's economic team essentially had their hand forced. A quick examination of the fall of Europe shows one group to blame: The United States investment banks. Take the case of Iceland. We basically raped them. This was the most extreme example; but, we were essentially responsible for the global catastrophe. Our current economic policy shows that of taking responsibility for this and the adjustments (decreased GDP, increased unemployment and new debt) are a biproduct of this. Mistakes were made, consequences need to be paid.
It is really a similar case as to the healthcare debacle we are facing. Millions of Americans are receiving healthcare benefits valued at tens to hundreds of times more than what they have invested into the system. There is no free lunch.USMC
University of Michigan Alum
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02-12-2013, 10:03 PM #148
op is full retarded if he thinks that raising min. wage will do that much in this economy. I'd say less than 10% of all jobs are even min. wage
Rugby brah
Former S&T brah
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Dont eat for a month till ur about 130 pounds with no muscle. Go shop at ambercrombie and fitch, buy $80 shirts, $120 dollar pants, and $50 dollar thong sandles. Jell ur hair up like a pretty boy. Dress like a flaming homosexual. Have your parents buy you a bmw. And most importantly walk around like you have a dik up ur azz and talk with a lisp...You do that and you'll get more beaver than a mountain man
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02-12-2013, 10:04 PM #149
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02-12-2013, 10:04 PM #150
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