UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie, April 9 ~Official Discussion Thread~

[PrimarisIn]

Manlets rejoice! Both the featherweight and bantamweight straps are on the line! Will The Korean Zombie upset Alexander Volkanovski? Will Aljo exact revenge on Yan?

Gilbert Burns and Khamzat Chimaev- this is a huge step up in competition for Khamzat, how will the veteran Burns fair against the rising wrestling standout?

Plus, Mackenzie Dern and The Tiny Tornado- o boy! Fireworks on the prelims as well, look out for heavyweight kickboxing sensation Jairzinho as he battles Marcin Tybura!









Can't wait, I emptied my bankroll on bodog for this!!!

[CanardMedic]

Banger of a card for sure.
Volkanovski by tko
Yan by whatever he wants
Chimaev by tko

[Bromance]

Where are the prelims?



edit: oh fuk next weekend

[Critter5592]

You guys like any of the underdogs on this card?
I was doing a parlay and realized I picked all heavy favorites

[Schnitzl]

You guys like any of the underdogs on this card?
I was doing a parlay and realized I picked all heavy favorites

I kind of like Darian Weeks as a +300 dog, Gerry looked like he can easily be rocked in his debut. Gall could also be a submission threat even though Malott was impressive in the contender.
Burns at +400 is strong value but would only parlay it into a couple of low $ for lulz.

[sooby]

man this is such a stacked card

lol at tybura and rozenstruick not at least headlining the prelims

I have volk by decision, petr yan by a late TKO in the 4th, khamzat by TKO

[Tuga88]

Holy fuk boys, what a card this is! So many epic storylines also.

I can't wait to see Yan destroy that ******* Aljamain and get his rightful title back.

Khamzat getting his first huge test...now we finally find out if he is the real deal.

Volkanovski should get the win....and he'll have to fight Max again most likely.

[Critter5592]

I kind of like Darian Weeks as a +300 dog, Gerry looked like he can easily be rocked in his debut. Gall could also be a submission threat even though Malott was impressive in the contender.
Burns at +400 is strong value but would only parlay it into a couple of low $ for lulz.

thanks, on spread

[superman704]

My body is ready

[iwant2beswole]

let's be real tea, khamzat fight is the real main event

[Schnitzl]

thanks, on spread

In b4 you lose it all ayyylmao

[iloveus]

Khamzat wins

Petr Yan wins

Korean Zombie hopefully wins

[Abzu]

This is going to be a hard card to be profitable on, most bettors should expect to get wrecked here or skate with a very small profit.

The odds say Volk wins ~89% of the time, Chimaev wins ~86% of the time, Yan wins ~83% of the time and Garry wins ~78% of the time but the odds are clearly off on all these guys.

I generally do not bet dogs unless I can say they win over 50% of the time. Zombie is not winning over 50%, Burns is not winning over 50% and Sterling is not winning over 50%. Weeks is close, maybe not 50% but it's close and I bet it.



If you believe Volk wins ~89% of the time then you would have to believe the Zombie wins by KO or SUB less than 10% of the time and he never wins a decision lol, that's a high bar.

If you believe Chimaev wins ~86% of the time then you would have to believe that Burns wins by KO or SUB less than 15% and he never wins a decision lol, that's a high bar.

If you believe Yan wins ~83% of the time then you would have to believe Sterling wins by DEC less than 15% of the time and he never finishes Yan lol, that's a high bar.



Yan-Sterling was a close fight by the numbers, it could have been 2-2 going into the 5th, Sterling has very high fight IQ and output differential compared to Yan.

Burns has some ridiculous power and his ground game is even deadlier, he hurt the Champ, Chimaev is safe nowhere and the DEC is a ?.

Volk is a great round winner, I actually think Zombie wins by DEC about 5% of the time lol but 5 round is a long time to find a finish.

[goingcia]

Just watched Burns training for Khamzat. Damn, I dont know anymore.

[Critter5592]

In b4 you lose it all ayyylmao

lol im not touching burns

Gonna parlay yan/khamzat with weeks or zombie

[Cartiac]

let's be real tea, khamzat fight is the real main event

Exactly what I was thinking. I'm watching for Khamzat but I'll stay for the last two fights

[akmerle]

This is going to be a hard card to be profitable on, most bettors should expect to get wrecked here or skate with a very small profit.

The odds say Volk wins ~89% of the time, Chimaev wins ~86% of the time, Yan wins ~83% of the time and Garry wins ~78% of the time but the odds are clearly off on all these guys.

I generally do not bet dogs unless I can say they win over 50% of the time. Zombie is not winning over 50%, Burns is not winning over 50% and Sterling is not winning over 50%. Weeks is close, maybe not 50% but it's close and I bet it.



If you believe Volk wins ~89% of the time then you would have to believe the Zombie wins by KO or SUB less than 10% of the time and he never wins a decision lol, that's a high bar.

If you believe Chimaev wins ~86% of the time then you would have to believe that Burns wins by KO or SUB less than 15% and he never wins a decision lol, that's a high bar.

If you believe Yan wins ~83% of the time then you would have to believe Sterling wins by DEC less than 15% of the time and he never finishes Yan lol, that's a high bar.



Yan-Sterling was a close fight by the numbers, it could have been 2-2 going into the 5th, Sterling has very high fight IQ and output differential compared to Yan.

Burns has some ridiculous power and his ground game is even deadlier, he hurt the Champ, Chimaev is safe nowhere and the DEC is a ?.

Volk is a great round winner, I actually think Zombie wins by DEC about 5% of the time lol but 5 round is a long time to find a finish.

Good analysis!

I believe the only somewhat value is in Burns. Chimaev can still be argued as being untested, and Burns is relatively dangerous everywhere (even though he’s been a bit of a DEC machine since moving back to WW).

Burns is +400 (which is OK, but not great), but if he is going to win, you have to think it’s via stoppage. So Burn via KO/TKO is +1400, or via sub is +1800 is where I’d be looking.

[TonyTriangles]

how the hell does zombie get a chance to fight him? he beat ige, who isn't even in the top 10, and lost to T-city

[TheDeeJ]

how the hell does zombie get a chance to fight him? he beat ige, who isn't even in the top 10, and lost to T-city

Max Holloway was meant to fight but had to pull out due to injury. So Zombie is a replacement. Yair Rodriguez lost his last fight and so had Kattar at the time of the fight booking. I think KZ was the strongest option at the time.

[iloveus]

Does anyone know when UFC Inside The Octagon will be out for UFC 273?

Dan Hardy gives the best analysis

[superman704]

This is exciting

[PrimarisIn]

Does anyone know when UFC Inside The Octagon will be out for UFC 273?

Dan Hardy gives the best analysis

Man didnt know he was still employed by ufc, but yeah those breakdown videos are great.

Embedded vids are out.

[Schnitzl]

8900 thumbs up, 0 thumbs down. I guess everyone loves Khamzat!

[GreenMintTea]

8900 thumbs up, 0 thumbs down. I guess everyone loves Khamzat!

What's not to love? He keeps it real and has a level of confidence in himself that I don't think is unwarranted at this point. I really liked his vid with DC. He says that he hopes Burns doesn't sit there and cry when he loses, just that he gets back in the gym and works even harder. I'm fairly sure he does quickly mention that if something happens and he does lose (because nothing is genuinely guaranteed), that would be his methodology.

[MyBaddBrah]

They're offering 4 to 1 to bet on Gilbert Burns. Not a bad bet at all.

[Gainzzz]

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/ozYkC...akeMoneyWork4u

I knew there was a size difference but fook

Gilbert isn't gonna touch him srs

[PrimarisIn]

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/ozYkC...akeMoneyWork4u

I knew there was a size difference but fook

Gilbert isn't gonna touch him srs

Gilberts only chance is the off center quarter uppercut when Khamzat shoots

[Le234]

Manlets rejoice! Both the featherweight and bantamweight straps are on the line! Will The Korean Zombie upset Alexander Volkanovski? Will Aljo exact revenge on Yan?

Gilbert Burns and Khamzat Chimaev- this is a huge step up in competition for Khamzat, how will the veteran Burns fair against the rising wrestling standout?

Plus, Mackenzie Dern and The Tiny Tornado- o boy! Fireworks on the prelims as well, look out for heavyweight kickboxing sensation Jairzinho as he battles Marcin Tybura!









Can't wait, I emptied my bankroll on bodog for this!!!

great card

[sooby]

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/ozYkC...akeMoneyWork4u

I knew there was a size difference but fook

Gilbert isn't gonna touch him srs

kinda feel bad for Burns, he's not a big welterweight although he is strong and Khamzat is big even by middleweight standards.

so it's basically a blown up lightweight fighting an above average size middleweight, what's the weight difference gonna be like 20-25 lbs?

[adamsz]

feel like people are massively underestimating Burns

Khamzat hasn't beaten anyone significant at all and has never ever been out of the 2nd round IIRC. What happens if the fight drags on?

If I were actually a betting man (I'm not) I'd definitely take the line on Burns. Those odds are way too juicy to pass up.