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04-28-2020, 04:46 PM #1501
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04-28-2020, 04:47 PM #1502
- Join Date: Dec 2015
- Location: Amarillo, Texas, United States
- Age: 34
- Posts: 1,212
- Rep Power: 36672
I think you are confused or you just needed to rant. I was replying to a person who wanted justaflucels to be taught a lesson. I have no idea what your reply has to do with anything I said. Yes, good luck to people who are unemployed. Yes, I've thought about people who don't have insurance. Again, wut.
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04-28-2020, 04:49 PM #1503
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04-28-2020, 04:53 PM #1504
- Join Date: Jul 2013
- Location: New York, United States
- Posts: 15,399
- Rep Power: 128690
People who are unemployed are now eligible to get directly onto the ACA marketplace as soon as their regular insurance ends, and I believe they can get the subsidy.
Unfortunately, long-term unemployment from the partial rearrangement of our economy due to the virus is probably going to be a much bigger problem than the shutdown itself. People think we're just going to reopen and our troubles will be over. The number of voluntary closures and the stock market's reaction in the month before the shutdowns should be a warning to people that this is going to be a slow grind and that we're probably going to end up having some really difficult political discussions about more and different types of relief in the coming months.
The sheer number of people who are likely going to displaced from employment related to travel alone, both directly (restaurants, hotels, gambling, airlines, etc.) and indirectly (aircraft manufacturing, oil production and distribution, etc.) is just ridiculous. Then there's the knock-on effects of reduced tax revenue cutting state aid to rural areas, etc. That's going to trickle down to schools, police and fire departments, hospitals. It blows.Nah, fukk that. I’m not doing that.
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04-28-2020, 04:53 PM #1505
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04-28-2020, 04:56 PM #1506
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04-28-2020, 04:57 PM #1507
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04-28-2020, 05:04 PM #1508
Right on so many levels. After the actual virus goes away we're facing another long struggle. It'll hit a lot of us indirectly, even further out than we can imagine. I picked my career to be recession proof (HVAC/R) and even this field is at risk with facilities guys in schools, malls, public places out of a job. The amount of available jobs in many industries is going to contract, even the safe ones. I can go apply as a supermarket tech, however as a novice am I going to get a job when a 20 year facilities guy goes applying too? I know many of these positions will eventually get filled, but after taking such a hit on their revenues, I don't imagine they'll all be hired right away and employers will probably try to make do with less workers, like after the last recession. Multiplied over other industries...I don't think it spells "doom," but it definitely is going to hit people, young and old, very hard.
Personally I'm in limbo. I work warehousing at a beverage place, I applied for their refrigeration division and my app is now stalled. I had a high chance of getting hired, and that may never happen. Meanwhile, with risk of losing a job elevated I'm hesitant to move out of state. Fuks me over. I know it's nothing compared to what NY, Italy, Spain, and yes Wuhan have gone through, but damn. Chit sucks.Last edited by Johnez; 04-28-2020 at 05:12 PM.
Virtue is its own reward.
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04-28-2020, 05:51 PM #1509
- Join Date: Jul 2013
- Location: New York, United States
- Posts: 15,399
- Rep Power: 128690
As an aside, Bench Made Modern, a custom furniture company that does their manufacturing in a California workshop and made some very cool stuff for me, is doing $10 masks with their upholstery and using the profits to buy restaurant meals for hospital workers. Kind of a cool way to add value all the way down the line:
https://benchmademodern.com/products/custom-face-masksLast edited by ANumber1; 04-28-2020 at 06:24 PM.
Nah, fukk that. I’m not doing that.
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04-28-2020, 06:26 PM #1510
How is it a big deal? Honestly other than this notion we need to save everyone.
Ask yourself the important questions (try not to tie emotional context that people die.... people dying has never been a big deal... people have always died and always will die)
Are we endangered as a species? No. In fact, even with COVID-19 we've managed to add to the population. So no threat there.
Are we facing a percentage of people lost too quickly that would make our infrastructure difficult to maintain? No. In fact, most of the deaths are from elderly/retired.
Are there long term consequences to our health for those who become infected and recover? Now this one is TBD. But a better question to ask would be will the shutdown even reduce total number who become infected long-term anyway? It doesn't sound like it. It sounds the shutdown is just to buy time but there's really no way to eliminate it. So just like the flu, you'll likely come down with this at some point or another in your life. And when you do become exposed the majority of us will just fight it off without even knowing we had it.
Sorry but the only argument you have for it being a big deal is that people don't want to lose other people close to them. And from a logic and reasoning perspective, that's not a big deal. It's actually inevitable at some point. Most arguments you have to point to this as a big deal are emotionally driven plain and simple.
Now in terms of economic stability, on the flip side, there are very valid and logical reasons why this is a big deal. If you want I'm happy to outline those for you, but most people have dug their heels into one side or the other at this point and my guess is that it's not worth my time or energy really having a discussion with you on this. You've long decided this is a big deal and likely have no interest listening to anything on the contrary.
If you'd like to take a crack at telling me why I'm wrong, go for it. But if your leading argument is 1 million people could die then you might want to try again. It's awful to see people die, I certainly don't disagree, but logically is it really a big deal to how the world functions. That's the question you've chosen to pose so hopefully you have more than the emotionally charged we can't let anyone die ever argument.
I can actually make a case why the world would be a better place with a lower population if you'd like, lol. Disclaimer, this is not me saying we should execute people to accomplish that. There's a difference between executing and just continuing on with life and letting the chips fall where they may.Last edited by SoutheastBeast1; 04-28-2020 at 06:32 PM.
"One day I won't be able to lift any more. Not I won't want to lift. I mean physically unable. That day could be decades from now or it could be tomorrow. All I know is that's the day I'll wish I could lift more than ever. The day I'd give anything for one more workout, one more set, or one more cardio session. So go hard and enjoy every workout, every set, every rep. Because one day you will wake up and you will never get it back."
-SoutheastBeast1
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04-28-2020, 06:55 PM #1511
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04-28-2020, 07:06 PM #1512
Here's what I said...
Lack of FDA approval doesn't make them invalid. Covid is a new disease so how much vetting could one expect for these tests?. Seems like a strange hill to die on.
Where is the insult? You replied to me dude. And I gave you a one sentence reply back. And all I said was lack of FDA approval doens't make the test invalid.
You then went with another long passive-aggresive reply, and I pointed out that my issue was the tests being called garbage, but that I'm for vetting. I also alluded to your agenda with replies because it's been obvious for a while.
Everyone else in that thread understood why attendance was down 50%, and you were alone in making the bizarre claim that it was proof that the shutdowns had to be eased immediately. The link I posted was two other Miscers specifically asking you WTF the you were talking about, and you doubling down with some especially cryptic silliness.
Most "workcels" are not actually in the hysterical and dramatic situation you attributed to "98-99%" of people. In fact, most are still at work. Yet in "the real world", telling people they've hit rock bottom and need to get their chit together is sometimes what people do when they actually care, rather than enabling.
The government forced them from work, and is preventing them from finding new jobs. Those people would love "to get their chit together", but not allowed . We have people ITT who have openly talked about how they're getting screwed by things.6'3 Master Race
GOATCal Crew
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04-28-2020, 07:11 PM #1513
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04-28-2020, 07:44 PM #1514
Popping in to say this is 100% the correct attitude.
Yes, left unchecked there may be a non "trivial" number of COVID19 related deaths. But that is not a reason to destroy the economy. There will be death if we open back up, but not enough death that it objectively MUST be avoided.
As long as we go into it with a healthy appreciation for what comes next, opening back up is the right move now that we have a handle on how lethal this really is.
The only unknown that could seriously affect things is the morbidity. Are there lasting impacts to your health? We really can't know that for many months to come. Is it worth keeping things shut down and further impacting the economy because we don't know what the lasting effects of Wuflu are? I can't say I personally think it is.
Also, GJDM ANumber1, ether these foolsWe are all gunna make it
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04-28-2020, 08:08 PM #1515
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04-28-2020, 08:10 PM #1516
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04-28-2020, 08:13 PM #1517
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04-28-2020, 08:13 PM #1518
Wuhan lab 'most likely' coronavirus source, U.S. government analysis finds
A Wuhan laboratory is the “most likely” source of the COVID-19 outbreak now ravaging the globe, according to a U.S. government analysis that catalogs the evidence and concludes that other explanations for the origin of the coronavirus are less credible.
The document, compiled from open sources and not a finished product, says there is no smoking gun to blame the virus on either the Wuhan Institute of Virology or the Wuhan branch of the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, both located in the city where the first outbreaks were reported.
But “there is circumstantial evidence to suggest such may be the case,” the paper says.
“All other possible places of the virus’s origin have been proven to be highly unlikely,” the document concludes. A copy of the report, compiled this month, was obtained by The Washington Times.
Chinese authorities have said the origin of the virus is unknown but initially stated that it came from animals at a “wet market” in Wuhan where exotic meat is butchered and sold. They said the virus may have jumped from bats to animals sold at the market last year and then infected humans.
U.S. officials have grown increasingly skeptical of that version of events. President Trump confirmed this month that “a lot of people” are investigating the origin. Army Gen. Mark A. Milley, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, said U.S. intelligence agencies are investigating whether the virus escaped from a lab or was the result of a naturally occurring outbreak.
“At this point, it’s inconclusive, although the weight of evidence seems to indicate natural,” the general said on April 14, “but we don’t know for certain.”6'3 Master Race
GOATCal Crew
No Pillow Crew
Pureblood Crew
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04-28-2020, 08:19 PM #1519
60k deaths for a population of 327 million, pro rated to my city of 80k people, would equal to 15 deaths in the past month.
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04-28-2020, 08:24 PM #1520
- Join Date: Apr 2012
- Location: Alberta, Canada
- Age: 39
- Posts: 26,276
- Rep Power: 237811
Comparing peak unemployment numbers doesn't tell you much, the two events are fundamentally different. The Great Depression was a legit financial crisis that spanned a decade whereas this is a public health crisis that will lead to a really bad Q2 followed by what will likely be a relatively quick recovery
It's remarkable how fast the economy was shuttered from this, but the impact won't be anywhere close to the Great Depression. And that's considering the fact that we also have a massive oil price war happening at the same time
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04-28-2020, 08:32 PM #1521
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04-28-2020, 08:35 PM #1522
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04-28-2020, 08:52 PM #1523
Hopefully officials realize this isnt a walk in a park and lifting the lockdown even partially isnt the smartest thing
Cherish your life. Live to tell your story
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04-28-2020, 09:01 PM #1524
Was reading about the 1918 flu, basically everything happened in October, cities locked down for 4-6 weeks, cases waned and that was that.
https://www.influenzaarchive.org/
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04-28-2020, 09:11 PM #1525
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04-28-2020, 09:12 PM #1526
- Join Date: Jan 2009
- Location: California, United States
- Age: 40
- Posts: 11,236
- Rep Power: 83163
Hopefully you're right and we're able to course correct in a hurry and the only major impact is a couple trillion added to the national debt.
But that would require everyone getting back to normal NOW. The majority of state governors are still dragging their feet. I think there were 8 states that never closed? And maybe 3 that are opening this week. That's a lot of people still not normal.
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04-28-2020, 09:16 PM #1527
- Join Date: Oct 2009
- Location: California, United States
- Age: 51
- Posts: 13,882
- Rep Power: 123110
Infectious Disease Society of America -https://www.idsociety.org/globalassets/idsa/public-health/covid-19/idsa-covid-19-antibody-testing-primer.pdf
Interesting info regarding antibody testing.
I'm always a bit skeptical when researches are constantly pitching for funding, though it's definitely needed in this instance.You don't have to be great to start, but you have to start to be great.
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04-28-2020, 09:31 PM #1528
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04-28-2020, 10:04 PM #1529
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04-28-2020, 10:12 PM #1530
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