Official Sig Bet Thread - Huse vs. Greg1983

[Greg1983]

You never actually updated the scoring :P.

[kethnaab]

You never actually updated the scoring :P.

oops!

updated, as of now:

1) Wins = Brady 14, Rodgers 11
2) Total Yardage = Brady 3755, Rodgers 4260
3) YPA = Brady 7.92, Rodgers 8.17
4) TD-TO = Brady 31, Rodgers 22
5) PR = Brady 109.8, Rodgers 102.5

this is updated, using the official stat pages of each player from nfl.com

for clarification, total yardage includes passing + rushing - sacked yardage.
Yards per attempt includes ONLY passing, it does not include rushing or sack totals
TD-TO includes passing TD + rushing TD - interceptions - fumbles LOST
passer rating is calculated using the standard NFL method for PR

This is updated as of now, and includes Rodgers' wildcard game

next week, everything counts double. So a win next week counts as 2 wins, a TD counts as 2 TDs, 300 yards counts as 600 yards, and 1 pick counts as 2 picks.

If either advances to the conference finals, they count 3x (i.e. conf win = 3 wins, 3 TDs = 9 TDs, etc)

then the SB counts 5x.

[Scorer]

Love the playoff scoring wrinkle, anyone's game right now.

Looks like it will come down to whoever can advance further, which is really what its all about. Perfect.

[kethnaab]

kethnaab your idea was Perfect.

fixed, and acknowledged

dealwithit.jpg

[Greg1983]

Not too shabby. Though I'm sure the Jets will fuck me again.

[kethnaab]

a huge game from Rodgers next week coupled with a few turnovers or poor play by Brady can even things up rapidly

[Greg1983]

a huge game from Rodgers next week coupled with a few turnovers or poor play by Brady can even things up rapidly

I think you said something similar before the last Pats/Jets game.

[kethnaab]

I might've

[Greg1983]

144.8 rating so far, in a game worth double. Look out Tommy; we're coming for you.

Edit: Down to 136.1 now. Pull it together A Rodge!

[Chill Will 33]

3 passing TD's, 1 rushing TD

and its not even the 4th

[kethnaab]

haha.....looking good for Rodgers so far.

[kethnaab]

ok, this includes Rodgers' divisional championship game, obviously Brady hasn't played yet.

so essentially, Rodgers went 62 for 72, 732 yards, 6 TD passes, 0 picks, and then ran for another 26 yards and 2 TDs. He was sacked for a total of 40 yards, however

totals from today:

724 yards, 8 TDs, 0 turnovers

as I said, Rodgers was close enough in the playoffs that he can still win this:

1) Wins = Brady 14, Rodgers 13
2) Total Yardage = Brady 3755, Rodgers 4984
3) YPA = Brady 7.92, Rodgers 8.42
4) TD-TO = Brady 31, Rodgers 30
5) PR = Brady 109.8, Rodgers 107.6

of course, if Brady eviscerates the Jets once again, he could pull far ahead.

[Greg1983]

Total yards is a lock for me either way, but you said you'd scale to 16 games if one played a wild card game and one didn't? Or is that tossed to make up for the game Rodgers missed due to concussion?

[kethnaab]

Total yards is a lock for me either way, but you said you'd scale to 16 games if one played a wild card game and one didn't? Or is that tossed to make up for the game Rodgers missed due to concussion?

yeah, exactly. And we already agreed that the wildcard would count as a standard 1:1 game anyway, so it ended up working out perfectly.

[Huse]

why is rodgers being such a turd

[Greg1983]

Let's go Jets!

[Greg1983]

Brady doesn't throw picks.

[Greg1983]

Stat padding douche.

[kethnaab]

well, looks like it's Rodgers' to win or lose now.

so with today's performance, Brady went 29 for 45, 299 yards, 2 TDs, 1 pick, 2 yards rushing, and a fumble that was NOT a fumble lost. He was also sacked for 40 yards.

Double everything

58 for 90, 598 yards, 4 TDs, 2 picks, 4 yards rushing, -80 sack yards, for 522 yards total

1) Wins = Brady 14, Rodgers 13
2) Total Yardage = Brady 4277, Rodgers 4984
3) YPA = Brady 7.73, Rodgers 8.42
4) TD-TO = Brady 33, Rodgers 30
5) PR = Brady 107.5959, Rodgers 107.5856

wow. Rodgers has the total yardage as an absolute. If Packers win next week, he pulls ahead permanently in the wins department as well.

Close one on the passer rating. 1 TD without a turnover next week ties Rodgers with Brady for the TD-TO total.

Looks like Rodgers has a firm grasp on the YPA as well.

[Greg1983]

Well I don't see me losing either yardage category so a win should clinch it. If the Pack lose, there's a few ways it could go:

1) Bad game. Brady wins.
2) High rating (>107.6 or so) and/or TD-Int>1. Rodgers wins.
3) Rating under 107.6ish and TD-Int = 1. A draw (wtf).

Obviously I'm just rooting for the win. Props for being on the ball with this.

[kethnaab]

Well I don't see me losing either yardage category so a win should clinch it. If the Pack lose, there's a few ways it could go:

1) Bad game. Brady wins.
2) High rating (>107.6 or so) and/or TD-Int>1. Rodgers wins.
3) Rating under 107.6ish and TD-Int = 1. A draw (wtf).

Obviously I'm just rooting for the win. Props for being on the ball with this.

The passer rating is going to be impossible to get without getting the TD-TO. He already has yardage. If he gets the passer rating, then that will mean, by necessity, he locks up the YPA and the TD-TO, unless he fumbles like 4 times or something, which doesn't factor into passer rating

[Greg1983]

The passer rating is going to be impossible to get without getting the TD-TO. He already has yardage. If he gets the passer rating, then that will mean, by necessity, he locks up the YPA and the TD-TO, unless he fumbles like 4 times or something, which doesn't factor into passer rating

Good point. And either way it's Chicago in January, so I'm not banking on winning the passer rating unless Rodgers can pad his stats in Dallas, too. And if that's the case, I've already won based on wins.

So we've now simplified this to either a) win the game or b) TD-TO>1. Ballin.

[Huse]

brady is the new peyton manning

fuuuuuuu

[PotKettleBlack]

Congrats and repped [as soon as I can] Greg. That is all.

[kethnaab]

brady is the new peyton manning

fuuuuuuu

honest question Huse, do you want to concede? It is looking fairly likely that this will not end well for you.

Not trying to rub it in or anything (srs, not my style), just curious

[Greg1983]

honest question Huse, do you want to concede? It is looking fairly likely that this will not end well for you.

Not trying to rub it in or anything (srs, not my style), just curious

One bad game and Brady still wins. Let's not forget this is Chicago in January against a good defense. 1 TD + 1 pick + loss = game over.

[Huse]

honest question Huse, do you want to concede? It is looking fairly likely that this will not end well for you.

Not trying to rub it in or anything (srs, not my style), just curious

dnt care ill just put it up now and if rodgers plays flat out terrible against chicago who knows

[kethnaab]

good sport Huse. I'd say I'm sorry about your loss, but I'm not. I really didn't want to face Brady in January in Foxborough

[kethnaab]

wow. Horrible day for Rodgers, but it pretty much seals the deal

1) Wins = Brady 14, Rodgers 16
2) Total Yardage = Brady 4277, Rodgers 5534
3) YPA = Brady 7.73, Rodgers 8.38
4) TD-TO = Brady 33, Rodgers 27
5) PR = Brady 107.6, Rodgers 100.5

Please note, because the Super Bowl is a 5x game, in order for Rodgers to lose this, he would have to post a bad game, YPA-wise. He could throw 12 picks, but as long as his YPA don't get screwed up, he'll be fine.

For example, if he gets only 150 yards on 30 attempts, he'll be at 7.76 YPA still. This little contest still isn't over yet.

[Greg1983]

So I still win off 30-150? I like my chances.