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04-20-2020, 10:42 AM #31
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04-20-2020, 10:51 AM #32Deepfat: "I guarantee I beat you by at least 6 strokes. Afterwards, I'll slide my thick conservative cawk in your old lady just to finish the job."
z4: "So when are you available in September to play?"
Deep: "On second thought, I don't play golf with broads. You're such a scumbag that I'd be much more inclined to just slap the chit out of you."
z4: "MMA match works, too. So when are you available this month?
Deep: "I won't subject myself to being in the presence of a scumbag."
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04-20-2020, 10:55 AM #33
- Join Date: Jul 2011
- Location: Maryland, United States
- Age: 56
- Posts: 38,972
- Rep Power: 216945
The problem with your conclusion is the same one that hampers those who are against providing healthcare. When these folks who decide to "take their chances" get sick they'll:
1. Unknowingly infect others who didn't want to take their chances
2. Show up on the doorsteps of hospitals for care. If these people would stay home and be sick or die by themselves, you'd have a point. But no one ever does that.Early AM workout crew.
Holy crap dude, Satan's huge crew.
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04-20-2020, 11:16 AM #34
- Join Date: Aug 2006
- Location: San Diego, California, United States
- Posts: 35,257
- Rep Power: 245103
Globally, the World Health Organization (WHO) estimates that the flu kills 290,000 to 650,000 people per year.
"To be a warrior is not a simple matter of wishing to be one. It is rather an endless struggle that will go on to the very last moment of our lives. Nobody is born a warrior, in exactly the same way that nobody is born an average man. We make ourselves into one or the other."-- Carlos Castaneda
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04-20-2020, 11:22 AM #35Deepfat: "I guarantee I beat you by at least 6 strokes. Afterwards, I'll slide my thick conservative cawk in your old lady just to finish the job."
z4: "So when are you available in September to play?"
Deep: "On second thought, I don't play golf with broads. You're such a scumbag that I'd be much more inclined to just slap the chit out of you."
z4: "MMA match works, too. So when are you available this month?
Deep: "I won't subject myself to being in the presence of a scumbag."
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04-20-2020, 11:23 AM #36
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04-20-2020, 11:27 AM #37
This virus is killing 10-15x the number of people per day. Flu in April kills less than 100 per day in the US. CV is still hitting 1.5k regularly despite the warming weather and mass lockdowns. It’s scary to think of our death tally had we not locked down. 10k+ per day at least.
"Seen in the light of evolution, biology is, perhaps, intellectually the most satisfying and inspiring science. Without that light it becomes a pile of sundry facts -- some of them interesting or curious but making no meaningful picture as a whole."
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04-20-2020, 11:31 AM #38
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04-20-2020, 01:33 PM #39
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04-20-2020, 03:56 PM #40
This.
I saw Chicago’s health advisor say if you are in hospice with two weeks to live and die, you are a covid death. If you are a health 20 year old asymptomatic covid positive and walk in front of a train, you are a covid death.
There are like 3500 nursing home deaths. I ain’t buyin 40k. Who specifically of the other 37,000 deaths?
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04-20-2020, 04:20 PM #41
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04-20-2020, 04:24 PM #42
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04-20-2020, 04:33 PM #43
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04-20-2020, 05:28 PM #44
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04-20-2020, 05:35 PM #45
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04-20-2020, 05:42 PM #46
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04-20-2020, 05:48 PM #47
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04-20-2020, 05:49 PM #48Deepfat: "I guarantee I beat you by at least 6 strokes. Afterwards, I'll slide my thick conservative cawk in your old lady just to finish the job."
z4: "So when are you available in September to play?"
Deep: "On second thought, I don't play golf with broads. You're such a scumbag that I'd be much more inclined to just slap the chit out of you."
z4: "MMA match works, too. So when are you available this month?
Deep: "I won't subject myself to being in the presence of a scumbag."
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04-20-2020, 05:54 PM #49Deepfat: "I guarantee I beat you by at least 6 strokes. Afterwards, I'll slide my thick conservative cawk in your old lady just to finish the job."
z4: "So when are you available in September to play?"
Deep: "On second thought, I don't play golf with broads. You're such a scumbag that I'd be much more inclined to just slap the chit out of you."
z4: "MMA match works, too. So when are you available this month?
Deep: "I won't subject myself to being in the presence of a scumbag."
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04-20-2020, 05:55 PM #50
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04-20-2020, 06:07 PM #51
April 20, 2020
USC-LA County Study: Early Results of Antibody Testing Suggest Number of COVID-19 Infections
Far Exceeds Number of Confirmed Cases in
Los Angeles County
Los Angeles (April 20, 2020) - USC and the Los Angeles County Department of Public Health (Public Health) today released preliminary results from a collaborative scientific study that suggests infections from the new coronavirus are far more widespread - and the fatality rate much lower – in L.A. County than previously thought.
The results are from the first round of an ongoing study by USC researchers and Public Health officials. They will be conducting antibody testing over time on a series of representative samples of adults to determine the scope and spread of the pandemic across the county.
Based on results of the first round of testing, the research team estimates that approximately 4.1% of the county's adult population has antibody to the virus. Adjusting this estimate for statistical margin of error implies about 2.8% to 5.6% of the county's adult population has antibody to the virus- which translates to approximately 221,000 to 442,000 adults in the county who have had the infection. That estimate is 28 to 55 times higher than the 7,994 confirmed cases of COVID-19 reported to the county by the time of the study in early April. The number of COVID-related deaths in the county has now surpassed 600.
"We haven't known the true extent of COVID-19 infections in our community because we have only tested people with symptoms, and the availability of tests has been limited," said lead investigator Neeraj Sood, a USC professor of public policy at USC Price School for Public Policy and senior fellow at USC Schaeffer Center for Health Policy and Economics. "The estimates also suggest that we might have to recalibrate disease prediction models and rethink public health strategies."
The results have important implications for public health efforts to control the local epidemic.
"These results indicate that many persons may have been unknowingly infected and at risk of transmitting the virus to others," said Dr. Barbara Ferrer, director of the L.A. County Department of Public Health. "These findings underscore the importance of expanded polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing to diagnose those with infection so they can be isolated and quarantined, while also maintaining the broad social distancing interventions."
The antibody test is helpful for identifying past infection, but a PCR test is required to diagnose current infection.
"Though the results indicate a lower risk of death among those with infection than was previously thought, the number of COVID-related deaths each day continues to mount, highlighting the need for continued vigorous prevention and control efforts," said Dr. Paul Simon, chief science officer at L.A. County Department of Public Health and co-lead on the study.
The study's results have not yet been peer reviewed by other scientists. The researchers plan to test new groups of participants every few weeks in coming months to gauge the pandemic's trajectory in the region.
About the study
With help from medical students from the Keck School of Medicine of USC, USC researchers and Public Health officials conducted drive-through antibody testing April 10th and 11th at six sites.
Participants were recruited via a proprietary database that is representative of the county population. The database is maintained by LRW Group, a market research firm.
The researchers used a rapid antibody test for the study. The FDA allows such tests for public health surveillance to gain greater clarity on actual infection rates. The test's accuracy was further assessed at a lab at Stanford University, using blood samples that were positive and negative for COVID-19.
In addition to Sood and Simon, other authors and institutions contributing to the study include Peggy Ebner of the Keck School; Daniel Eichner of the Sports Medicine Research & Testing Laboratory; Jeffrey Reynolds of LRW Group; Eran Bendavid and Jay Bhattacharya of Stanford University School of Medicine.
The study was supported with funding from USC Schwarzenegger Institute, USC Lusk Center, USC President's Office, Jedel Foundation, LRW Group, Soap Box Sample, and several individual donors.
More information
A recent Q&A with Neeraj Sood on antibody testing can be found here.
See the Los Angeles County's April 16, 2020, Health Advisory SARS-CoV2 Serology Advisory for clarification on antibody testing.
B-roll and photos from the April 10-11, 2020 antibody testing conducted in Los Angeles can be found here.
To learn more about the L.A. County Department of Public Health and the work they do, visit the following sites and pages:
L.A. County Channel: http://bit.ly/CountyChannel
Online: http://publichealth.lacounty.gov/
********: https://www.********.com/countyofla/
Twitter: https://twitter.com/LAPublicHealth
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/LAPublicHealth
********twitterinstagramyoutube
The Department of Public Health is committed to promoting health equity and ensuring optimal health and well-being for all 10 million residents of Los Angeles County. Through a variety of programs, community partnerships and services, Public Health oversees environmental health, disease control, and community and family health. Nationally accredited by the Public Health Accreditation Board, the Los Angeles County Department of Public Health comprises nearly 4,500 employees and has an annual budget of $1.2 billion.
Los Angeles County Department of Public Health works to protect health,
prevent disease, and promote health and well-being.
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Oh hey look at that, science...
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04-20-2020, 06:15 PM #52
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04-22-2020, 04:49 AM #53
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04-24-2020, 02:27 PM #54
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04-24-2020, 02:29 PM #55
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04-24-2020, 02:29 PM #56
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04-24-2020, 02:38 PM #57
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04-24-2020, 02:42 PM #58
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04-24-2020, 03:15 PM #59
If you're going to use influenza numbers like they're the holy grail, then we're going to use the hard data presented for covid.
When the numbers converge, the numbers converge. It's on your boy Trump to get the tests out so we can figure out what the denominator is, son, for that to happen. Lately, he's only been interested in looking like a monkey ****ing a football.Deepfat: "I guarantee I beat you by at least 6 strokes. Afterwards, I'll slide my thick conservative cawk in your old lady just to finish the job."
z4: "So when are you available in September to play?"
Deep: "On second thought, I don't play golf with broads. You're such a scumbag that I'd be much more inclined to just slap the chit out of you."
z4: "MMA match works, too. So when are you available this month?
Deep: "I won't subject myself to being in the presence of a scumbag."
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04-24-2020, 03:39 PM #60
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