|
-
11-18-2014, 12:45 PM #91
-
11-18-2014, 12:46 PM #92
-
-
11-18-2014, 12:47 PM #93
-
11-18-2014, 12:48 PM #94
-
11-18-2014, 12:50 PM #95
-
11-18-2014, 12:53 PM #96
-
-
11-18-2014, 12:54 PM #97
-
11-18-2014, 12:55 PM #98
- Join Date: Nov 2008
- Location: Portland, Oregon, United States
- Age: 35
- Posts: 9,442
- Rep Power: 26895
It's more than a 1 to 1 relationship. There are FAR MORE jobs needed to create a driverless car industry than would be displaced by the advancement.
It's like a 5 to 1 relationship. One software engineer perform all the coding for product that displaces an industry? Riiiiggght. Driverless cars alone would employ more MARKETING and SALES personnel than the entire driving industry (taxis, traffic enforcement, whatever other jobs would be displaced).
Then there is the MASSIVE wealth and productivity increase because of the new industry. new jobs in other industries made possible because of the creation of new capital and higher productivity for everyone. businesses that were not otherwise economically feasible become possible.
Your ideas were debunked in the Wealth of Nations. Here is a summary: http://steshaw.org/economics-in-one-.../chap07p1.html
Self replicating AI is an entirely different subject. It has no carry over to technological innovation and employment structure.
-
11-18-2014, 12:56 PM #99
Calm down bro. When written language was invented people literally thought we wouldn't be able to remember things anymore because everyone would just write thoughts down. People are scared of the unknown. People have worried about every new technological advancement from the beginning of time. Sure each one comes with downsides and risks but every singe time they have improved peoples lives. Technology make people more productive and gives people more free time to explore their creativity.
That said. Have you heard about the idea of the "singularity."…we have not spent the last 65 million or so years finely honing our physiology to watch Oprah. Like it or not, we are the product of a very long process of adaptation to a harsh physical existence, and the past couple centuries of comparative ease and plenty are not enough time to change our genome. We humans are at our best when our existence mirrors, or at least simulates, the one we are still genetically adapted to live. And that is the purpose of exercise. - Mark Rippetoe
-
11-18-2014, 12:59 PM #100
How is it going to "cripple" them? Police might have their salaries cut by $500 per month or something like that. The numbers in that article are a complete joke. 300k per officer? What are these people smoking?
There won't be any crippling, but may be there will be 100,000 + lives saved every year through less car accidents.
-
-
11-18-2014, 01:00 PM #101
-
11-18-2014, 01:01 PM #102
-
11-18-2014, 01:04 PM #103
-
11-18-2014, 01:04 PM #104
- Join Date: Feb 2009
- Location: Arizona, United States
- Posts: 54,731
- Rep Power: 336221
yes. The adjustment is going to be extremely difficult and FAST.
on one hand, after AI is invented we could all be as wealthy as the billionaires of today, and none of us will need to work.
but on the other hand, getting society to go away from buying/selling, or providing service anymore for anything.... EVERYTHING we know will be gone. As soon as you think you have a creative idea, you realize that a robot has thought of that 30 years ago already.
the most innovative people of our time would be forced/discouraged to just "exist" in a world ruled by AI.Spoiler alert; you die at the end.
-
-
11-18-2014, 01:06 PM #105
-
11-18-2014, 01:07 PM #106
-
11-18-2014, 01:09 PM #107
-
11-18-2014, 01:11 PM #108
- Join Date: Jan 2012
- Location: United States
- Age: 35
- Posts: 2,480
- Rep Power: 608
Yes, the legislature determines what the laws are. However, police officers have wide discretion in enforcing the law. Don't act like it is 100% on the legislature.
You state might have more restrictive rules on search warrants obtained from an anonymous tip, but the U.S. Supreme Court has held that anonymous tips can be used to obtain a search warrant so long as the magistrate, when considering the totality of the circumstances, "has a substantial basis for concluding that a search would uncover evidence of wrongdoing." Illinois v. Gates, 462 U.S. 213 (1983).
-
-
11-18-2014, 01:12 PM #109…we have not spent the last 65 million or so years finely honing our physiology to watch Oprah. Like it or not, we are the product of a very long process of adaptation to a harsh physical existence, and the past couple centuries of comparative ease and plenty are not enough time to change our genome. We humans are at our best when our existence mirrors, or at least simulates, the one we are still genetically adapted to live. And that is the purpose of exercise. - Mark Rippetoe
-
11-18-2014, 01:13 PM #110
-
11-18-2014, 01:16 PM #111
-
11-18-2014, 01:16 PM #112
-
-
11-18-2014, 01:18 PM #113
-
11-18-2014, 01:18 PM #114
- Join Date: Sep 2012
- Location: United Kingdom (Great Britain)
- Posts: 12,008
- Rep Power: 10003
The UK will be allowing driverless cars on the road next year...will be interesting to see what happens with that
"Nothing in the world can take the place of Persistence. Talent will not; nothing is more common than unsuccessful men with talent. Genius will not; unrewarded genius is almost a proverb. Education will not; the world is full of educated derelicts. Persistence and determination alone are omnipotent. The slogan 'Press On' has solved and always will solve the problems of the human race."
-
11-18-2014, 01:20 PM #115
- Join Date: Feb 2009
- Location: Arizona, United States
- Posts: 54,731
- Rep Power: 336221
It MIGHT be fuking awesome. But ask yourself this: do you try and explain your thoughts to an earthworm? Is that worth your time?
That is what we will be to AI. For them to take the time to teach us their discoveries would be awesome, but I don't see that happening lol....Spoiler alert; you die at the end.
-
11-18-2014, 01:20 PM #116
- Join Date: Oct 2003
- Location: Tulsa, Oklahoma, United States
- Age: 41
- Posts: 6,795
- Rep Power: 2823
-
-
11-18-2014, 01:21 PM #117
-
11-18-2014, 01:22 PM #118…we have not spent the last 65 million or so years finely honing our physiology to watch Oprah. Like it or not, we are the product of a very long process of adaptation to a harsh physical existence, and the past couple centuries of comparative ease and plenty are not enough time to change our genome. We humans are at our best when our existence mirrors, or at least simulates, the one we are still genetically adapted to live. And that is the purpose of exercise. - Mark Rippetoe
-
11-18-2014, 01:24 PM #119
Yes, some of it is local legislatures, and it's up to cops to enforce those. There will still be 'meter maid' cops and there will be the functional equivalent for petty things, to increase revenues. BRB, flick a cigarette while walking down a sidewalk and the plain clothes litter cop comes over and scans your face to identify you, then hands you a $100 ticket. All done in 60 seconds. Security camera sees people stumbling out of bars who are loud. BRB, they all get $200 fines in the mail. I'm aware an anonymous tip doesn't get cops into a house LEGALLY, but look at the direction of the last 13 years. I wouldn't be so sure the Constitution won't be pissed on ever more.
America needs fewer laws, not more prisons. – James Bovard
-
11-18-2014, 01:27 PM #120
- Join Date: Apr 2014
- Location: Valley Village, California, United States
- Age: 31
- Posts: 366
- Rep Power: 720
I hope traditional cars never become obsolete. Just make public transportation better for people who don't care for cars. and let the car lovers enjoy the open roads.
------------Black Science Man Crew------------
---------^^^Misc Hairstyle Crew^^^---------
--------Escaped Friendzone Once Crew -------
------------------r.i.p. Zyzz-----------------------
Bookmarks