**OFFICIAL** Trading and Investing Thread: Part XVI -- BAG HOLDING EDITION

[camaleom]

strong job reports and CPI is gonna come in lower or at expect range... no amount interest rate hikes are going to cool down the inflation, perhaps a few sector but not all of them. jmho

[headturner1]

In on this thread. The misc has gone downhill.

Better and stronger every day bro!

[RobParks2M]

DMS getting their buyout offer at $2.50. Time to find out tomorrow what my 30,000 warrants are worth . Black scholes model with 3 years to go seems to me like $0.40 or $.50 per is possible? My cost basis is $0.11 ayy lmao

Sold at $0.42 today. Fukkin hyped. This could have ended in disaster but worked out well with the cash buyout offer. There could be a lot of deals like this coming with prices so low on recent companies that went public. Honestly might rebuy if it ever panic dips below 0.30. My black scholes calculation says 70 cents is the value of the warrants. Depends heavily on a couple factors though so no clue if that will be the end payout.

[lntense]

Sold at $0.42 today. Fukkin hyped. This could have ended in disaster but worked out well with the cash buyout offer. There could be a lot of deals like this coming with prices so low on recent companies that went public. Honestly might rebuy if it ever panic dips below 0.30. My black scholes calculation says 70 cents is the value of the warrants. Depends heavily on a couple factors though so no clue if that will be the end payout.

Solid! Good job

[RobParks2M]

Solid! Good job

hehe tymen!

Looking into trying to find some other diamonds in the rough similar to this. I think ATIP could end up having something similar happen. Snax and OPAD are another solid couple of buyout candidates. I'll post more of these with more indepth info when I look into it more.

[Muscle2021]

Sitting on some cash. Is now the time to buy index funds or no?

[RobParks2M]

Sitting on some cash. Is now the time to buy index funds or no?

Nah. Buy ****cos with values 1/20-1/10th ipo price and wait for buyout. It’s all the rage right now.

[camaleom]

CPI is gonna come in lower and we are really gonna fly... Spy already over 410

[Carbonfibre]

This is the oversold rally.

Looks like front running CPI data and into Friday opex.

If RSI gets over 75+ will be another chance to short.


That being said have to watch that 200DMA.

If that gets taken over than bear market is done.

4272ish area to watch.

[Carbonfibre]

Heard really good podcast other day EU official talking about US pulling master stroke with Ukraine war.


-all the billions that US is sending via weapons is done using lend lease (meaning Ukraine will have to pay it back)

-when war ends EU will be on the hook to rebuild Ukraine and adopt them to European union which will pay back for all the weapons that US sent Ukraine

-US is sending old weapons that are obsolete (HIMARS)

-NATO is gonna get stronger after this now what EU countries are investing heavy into their military budgets

-EU countries investing big into military will be huge win for US defense companies (LMT, RTX etc)

-Russia weaponry got exposed as inferior garbage and there goes their market share in arms deals.

-US NGL just gained big on Europe moving away from Russia gas/energy

-Russia being threat to EU democracy just went to zero

-US can now focus fully on China

-EU/China relationship took many steps back now since China is supporting Russia

-Huawei 5g in Europe is dead




tldr

US is gonna win big here for years and years to come from this war.

[camaleom]

Heard really good podcast other day EU official talking about US pulling master stroke with Ukraine war.

-US is sending old weapons that are obsolete (HIMARS)

I have read this multiple times from good military analyst.

all in all this is great for US and Europe... u weakening your enemy without wasting your on human resources. Also, now you have a "friendly" active war theater that allow you to test weapons on the low low.

there is a LOT of US special forces in Ukraine.

[Carbonfibre]

I have read this multiple times from good military analyst.

all in all this is great for US and Europe... u weakening your enemy without wasting your on human resources. Also, now you have a "friendly" active war theater that allow you to test weapons on the low low.

there is a LOT of US special forces in Ukraine.

makes total sense.

after war ends (unless Russia drops nuke)

Ukraine won't be going back to mig's etc

they will be ordering F35's

just what Poland has done and many of former soviet countries are doing.


US arms companies have won big for years and years.

[OT2000]

LMT and RTX to the moon.

[Carbonfibre]

if you ever need sure thing.....

LMT and RTX to the moon.

As long term hold beyond few years. RTX / NOC etc.

Sees like good bet.

Unless Russia goes well phuck it nuke time.

https://finviz.com/screener.ashx?v=3...e&o=-marketcap


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Previous CPI was 8.5%

Here is what they think tmmrw reading will be. (this will move market / atm showing +/- 100 points on sp so $10 on spy. )

[OT2000]

I did pick up AAPL and DVN shares lw. Never really thought of looking into the war tech stocks other than BA. I may still buy BA. My only worry is airline stocks are still dropping and BA has had some things to work out the past year or two.

[RobParks2M]

Why is euro ripping higher?

[Destor]

Why is euro ripping higher?

Financial media seems to be pointing to a hawkish Euro Central Bank signaling further rate hikes

[heiltrump2024]

does anyone think the fed tightening will affect stem jobs? not tech, but stem

consensus is that fed wants to reduce demand and part of that is by massive layoffs (to reduce spending i presume)?

[camaleom]

does anyone think the fed tightening will affect stem jobs? not tech, but stem

consensus is that fed wants to reduce demand and part of that is by massive layoffs (to reduce spending i presume)?

open indeed and look for positions in the stem field... does it look to u like is slowing down?



we still hiring and in fact just last week I was in a meeting about how we need to lower the bar and hire candidates without all the skills because we can't find anyone with what we want...

[MinisterOfLust]

Tech to the moon?

[Elias373]

Inflation comes in hot... Thanks Biden

[taf1968]

CPI . . . ouch.

8.3% actual vs 8.1% expected.

[Elias373]

Guess we need to cancel more student debt to help deal with this

[heiltrump2024]

open indeed and look for positions in the stem field... does it look to u like is slowing down?



we still hiring and in fact just last week I was in a meeting about how we need to lower the bar and hire candidates without all the skills because we can't find anyone with what we want...

yea but the so called tightening hasnt started yet right?

[reinsdorfsucks]

When are they going to stop selling off gold and silver with these hot CPI prints?

[MinisterOfLust]

Brutal today. RIP guys

[dankydank]

Energy gonna moon. Can’t hide the drop behind it anymore. Food will go up as well. Jpow already told you. Pain is coming. If eviction moratorium wasn’t in place, probably would have mass evictions as well

[camaleom]

angus not ready - calls went brrrrrr

[Destor]

I'm genuinely surprised inflation came in above expectations here, very interested to see the breakdown and analysis

[Lefticle]

Brutal today. RIP guys

Brutal indeed. You voted for joe biden. You deserve this.