Market is bad and I think it gets worse. Also don't expect any kind of huge rally for quite some time.
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05-09-2022, 03:04 PM #61
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05-09-2022, 03:04 PM #62
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05-09-2022, 03:11 PM #63
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05-09-2022, 03:26 PM #64
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05-09-2022, 03:42 PM #65
LethalGainz posted this in another thread earlier-
Many index-fund holders will be disappointed if this comes to pass, of course, so Farrell encourages investors to add more active management to their portfolio. Said Farrell: âWeâre going from a period where the best money was made being in an index fund to a period where you make money identifying the right individual stocks and sectors. Iâd concentrate more on that.â (Rule No. 10: âBull markets are more fun than bear markets.â)INTP Crew
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05-09-2022, 03:43 PM #66
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YTD I'm -20.83%. Would be a lot better if I didn't have 25% in a leveraged 3x sp500 stock. That went from +40% to -22%. Haven't sold anything, gonna rideeeee it out.
Last summer I met with a financial advisor and they wanted me to move over $75k I had in cash to the market, I was like derp derp and only moved over $10k. Very happy about that. Also my savings account interest rate went from .4% to .6%. Yayyy lol.Black Guy Crew Christian Crew Sportbike Crew Occasionally Alone Crew UMD Terp Alumni Crew No Supps Crew Keeps Shirt On In Avi Crew Georgia Tech Alumni Crew
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05-09-2022, 03:44 PM #67
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05-09-2022, 04:14 PM #68
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05-09-2022, 04:23 PM #69
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05-09-2022, 04:49 PM #70
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05-09-2022, 04:54 PM #71
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05-09-2022, 05:32 PM #72
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05-09-2022, 05:39 PM #73
I claim no such expertise. Just quoting this guy:
Bob Farrell, a 90-year-old retiree in Florida, is hardly a household name on Main Street. But on Wall Street, Farrell is an absolute legend.
To say that Farrell has seen it all is an understatement. He has witnessed every bull-, bubble- and bear market since 1957, when he joined Merrill Lynch as an analyst trainee and embarked on what became a 45-year career with the firm, including a quarter-century as its high-profile chief stock-market analyst.
In the April 27 webcast for Rosenberg Research clients, Farrell said he expects investors in U.S. stock indexes could be mauled with a 30% loss and that downward pressure on share prices could last through summer. He advises selling into rallies rather than buying dips, and otherwise sheltering in value stocks â specifically in the defense, cybersecurity, utilities and energy sectors, as well as owning gold GC00, -0.34% and income-generating master limited partnerships.
âWe are in a bear market,â Farrell said. (Rule No. 8: âBear markets have three stages â sharp down, reflexive rebound and a drawn-out fundamental downtrend.â) âGrowth-tech is going out of favor; weâre gradually breaking down the big-cap stocks that have kept the S&P 500 SPX, -3.20% up. By the time this is over, itâs likely that they all go into a larger decline. If the S&P 500 comes down 30%, which I think is a possibility, then youâd be down to 3,460.âINTP Crew
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05-09-2022, 05:41 PM #74
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05-09-2022, 05:50 PM #75
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05-09-2022, 05:53 PM #76
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05-10-2022, 02:49 AM #77
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05-10-2022, 02:54 AM #78
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05-10-2022, 02:55 AM #79
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/ma...?mod=home-page
The rise of options trading among average Americans during, and since, the pandemic has been hailed as a welcome introduction to markets for newbies.
Itâs not. It has been an unmitigated disaster to the benefit of three firms and billions of dollars.
Coinciding with the mailing of stimulus payments in mid-2020, the smallest of options trades exploded relative to total volume. From 2002 to 2019, small traders made up about 15% to 20% of all option volume. From mid-2020 through today, that share has doubled.
During the bulk of this period, retail options traders lost $1.1 billion on their trades. Thatâs where part of the $817 billion in stimulus checks went â up in smoke in short-term call options.
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05-10-2022, 03:05 AM #80
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05-10-2022, 03:19 AM #81
LMAO me too.
Love this for me.Italian Crew
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05-10-2022, 03:39 AM #82
My advice is - Allocate, buy, hold, rebalance, and stay the course.
âIt was the best advice and the earliest advice. I was working at a brokerage house one summer while in college, and one of the guys who was another runner at the firm delivering securities said, âLet me tell you all you need to know about the investment business.â I said, âWhatâs that?â He said, âNobody knows nuthinâ.â That sounds cynical, but we donât know what the markets hold, certainly not in the short run. We have no idea.â - John Bogle
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05-10-2022, 04:05 AM #83
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05-10-2022, 05:51 AM #84
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05-10-2022, 05:56 AM #85
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05-10-2022, 05:56 AM #86
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05-10-2022, 06:04 AM #87
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Def srs
They get into the labour force as apprentices at 16
Fully qualified and doing jobs from 19
Smart ones get their builders license or start doing construction/hydraulics
BRB sole contractors accelerated writeoff on their $150k trucks
BRB warehousing profits at 30% in their companies
BRB cash jobs
BRB mates rates on all the other trades when building their houses
BRB pay zero tax on capital gains from their primary residence and concessional tax on any investment properties
BRB get their building licenses and pick up both the developer margin and the builders margin
BRB housing market of peace and prosperity
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05-10-2022, 06:06 AM #88
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05-10-2022, 06:12 AM #89
Like theyâre getting crushed now buying into meme stocks when the market couldnât lose? Had they listened to the outdated advice, theyâd only be down 10-20% rather than 50-60+.
You forget most people arenât competent enough to read the signals or even understand the factors involved in investing. Most are best off DCAâing into an index fund and forgetting about it until 5-10 years out of retirement.
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05-10-2022, 06:59 AM #90
On mobile canât embed
https://imgur.com/a/wMPCva5"It won't get better, just different."
âYeah, that's what the present is. It's a little unsatisfying because life's a little unsatisfying.â
Bring back ****gâââot, ****gâââot .
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