Biden Leads Trump by 12 in New National Poll

[pondus_levo]

He openly said he would flee the country if Biden won. He knows state secrets. They won't let him flee. They will kill him. And I will laugh.

Go ahead and post a vocaroo. Tell us how you feel about.

He was joking. He was talking about how embarsing it would be to loss to him.

Did you actually watch the rally or are you just repeating what you read in your twitter echo chamber?

[EternaLovE]

He was joking. He was talking about how embarsing it would be to loss to him.

Did you actually watch the rally or are you just repeating what you read in your twitter echo chamber?

its wincel, he takes everything extremely literally through msn, cnn, nbc other MSM fake news lenses. thats the only world he's ever known, through a pack of lies and deceit. he lives in darkness. he's low iq, mentally ill and deluded.

he's also one of the most pathetic losers to ever exist on the internet. you know how big that is, lmao.

[pondus_levo]

its wincel, he takes everything extremely literally through msn, cnn, nbc other MSM fake news lenses. thats the only world he's ever known, through a pack of lies and deceit. he lives in darkness. he's low iq, mentally ill and deluded.

he's also one of the most pathetic losers to ever exist on the internet. you know how big that is, lmao.

What's sad is he has all the free time in the word to see for himself and chooses not to.

The only reason I fell for it for so ling is 1.) I live in CA so there will never be anything possitive written about Trump 2.) I didn't have the time to look for myself.

Every negative liberal narrative about him can be debunked.

What's even more suprising, is that Biden is actually the one thats corrupt, homophobic, and racist, yet all the libs ignore it.

[chaunce54]

TDSPat coping hard today.

[Travis99]

Cars and Trucks with Trump flags were lined up for 96 miles in Arizona recently. All parked on the side of the road.

[chaunce54]

He was joking. He was talking about how embarsing it would be to loss to him.

Did you actually watch the rally or are you just repeating what you read in your twitter echo chamber?

He still thinks Trump told him to drink bleach...

[WoofieNugget]

Trump isn't flipping any states and Biden has many states he can flip. Similar to the Senate elections.

This is bang on. There's no way Trump is taking any new states that Dems won last election. So basically he has to NOT lose enough to create a difference.

If only Wisconsin and Michigan flip (two highest polls for Biden) it isn't enough. Dems need 38 seats to tie and more to win. So Texas alone would do it, plus one other smaller one like Arizona. Florida and one of the rust belt states would do it. NC and Penn wouldn't.

Biden has 9 states in play and looks like he's going to win at least 3-4 of them, which is definitely enough. But it would be very close. If he wins 6/9 it's a destruction.

[BunkerBoy]

Also watching the finale on DVR, everyone just giving this game to Cody lol

But theres no way Biden takes AZ, I'm confident in that. Texas and Georgis also, no way in hell lol

I'd ban bet that Biden doesn't win even 1 of those 3

Arizona voted for Bill Clinton in 1996, and hadnt voted for a Democratic since 1948.
Georgia voted for Clinton in 1996, and hadnt voted for a Democratic since 1980.
Texas hasnt voted for a Democrat since 1976.

I hope you would be confident to do a ban bet with that history.
But all 3 states being in play this cycle doesnt bode well for Trump in this election, or the party as a whole on the Presidential level.
Dark times are coming. Its just a matter of will it be this time, or maybe next time.

[gixxer0.6g]

In for next week melt down by pat and all her cucks

[IH8RICE]

You told us nobody gave a chit about Hillary's emails just like you're telling us nobody gives a chit about hunters laptop. I guarantee you will be here using it as an excuse when biden loses. 100% guarantee. Save this post.

What laptop? Wasn’t it “lost” with no credible backups?

Was any of this substantiated outside of heresay?

The hunter laptop controversy was a little too late especially when it isn’t even something that should really impact Joe either. It most definitely isn’t as scandalous or hurt tho as the emails for Clinton.

[WoofieNugget]

What laptop? Wasn’t it “lost” with no credible backups?

Was any of this substantiated outside of heresay?

The hunter laptop controversy was a little too late especially when it isn’t even something that should really impact Joe either. It most definitely isn’t as scandalous or hurt tho as the emails for Clinton.

All people needed was more of a reason to hate Hillary and the emails just proved corruption, which Trump was really good at hammering on. She wasn't liked in the first place among women or anyone else, really.

The worst thing he can say about Biden is that he's "sleepy" (debates proved that wasn't the case) and hides in his basement (even though he's been touring the country lately) and that his son MIGHT be corrupt. It's not enough for anyone to care. And Biden is much better with women, seniors and blacks.

[IH8RICE]

All people needed was more of a reason to hate Hillary and the emails just proved corruption, which Trump was really good at hammering on. She wasn't liked in the first place among women or anyone else, really.

The worst thing he can say about Biden is that he's "sleepy" (debates proved that wasn't the case) and hides in his basement (even though he's been touring the country lately) and that his son MIGHT be corrupt. It's not enough for anyone to care. And Biden is much better with women, seniors and blacks.

This is my takeaway from all of this too. Gonna be interesting to see the results if any of these polls are even remotely accurate.

[turk75]

Results of poll are from 1,005 respondents

Results of poll are from 1,005 respondents

Results of poll are from 1,005 respondents

Results of poll are from 1,005 respondents

Results of poll are from 1,005 respondents

Results of poll are from 1,005 respondents

Results of poll are from 1,005 respondents

Results of poll are from 1,005 respondents

































Results of poll are from 1,005 respondents

[Jayarbie]

This is bang on. There's no way Trump is taking any new states that Dems won last election. So basically he has to NOT lose enough to create a difference.

If only Wisconsin and Michigan flip (two highest polls for Biden) it isn't enough. Dems need 38 seats to tie and more to win. So Texas alone would do it, plus one other smaller one like Arizona. Florida and one of the rust belt states would do it. NC and Penn wouldn't.

Biden has 9 states in play and looks like he's going to win at least 3-4 of them, which is definitely enough. But it would be very close. If he wins 6/9 it's a destruction.

This is the math in a nutshell. Assuming the "battleground" states are TX, FL, PA, OH, GA, MI, NC, AZ, WI, then the following combinations give Biden a victory:

1. TX alone, although this is one of the least likely to flip at all, so TX only is not going to happen
2. FL + any 1
3. PA + OH, although OH is also one of the least likely, so just these two without any others is unlikely
4. Any three except the three smallest (NC + AZ + WI)

Those are the things to look for on Tuesday.

[Jayarbie]

Results of poll are from 1,005 respondents

Results of poll are from 1,005 respondents

Results of poll are from 1,005 respondents

Results of poll are from 1,005 respondents

Results of poll are from 1,005 respondents

Results of poll are from 1,005 respondents

Results of poll are from 1,005 respondents

Results of poll are from 1,005 respondents

































Results of poll are from 1,005 respondents

Statistics. Learn them.

Statistics. Learn them.

Statistics. Learn them.

Statistics. Learn them.

Statistics. Learn them.

Statistics. Learn them.

Statistics. Learn them.

Statistics. Learn them.

Statistics. Learn them.

Statistics. Learn them.

Statistics. Learn them.

Statistics. Learn them.

Statistics. Learn them.

Statistics. Learn them.

Statistics. Learn them.

Statistics. Learn them.

Statistics. Learn them.

Statistics. Learn them.

Statistics. Learn them.






























































Statistics. Learn them.

[chaunce54]

Statistics. Learn them.

We learned in '16. Apparently you still haven't...

[x-trainer ben]

This late in the game Trump should be winning in half of all of the polls, right?

Additionally in Pat's data, the women 61 vs 37 and the seniors 65 vs 44 are a big fkng deal.

[turk75]

......

[BFast55]

Now do the critical swing states, OP.

[JoshSP1985]

Apparently locking oneself in the basement is the pathway to victory.

It is when you're a Democrat where exposure hurts you.

[kingmanaverage]

Would they be swing states if Biden was leading by 12?

But yes, Biden is winning almost all swing states.

We've done this before, I'd say these early predictions are pretty meaningless atm since they always oversample democrats. Don't celebrate too early op

[WoofieNugget]

......

Fivethirtyeight had her at 72%, which is the key. A 30% chance is not an insignificant number and he pulled it off. Right now they have him at 12% to win. Still not impossible but MUCH more unlikely.

If I told you that there was a three out of ten chance you were going to get hit by a bus if you went outside, you would probably stay home.

The other picture you posted is from June.

[Titansfan08]

What's funny is OP and libs actually believe this chit, lmao. How many times are they going to get fooled? Embarrassing.

Fun to sit back and watch the meltdowns

[PonderingPander]

Does anybody know anybody that has been polled?

[Jayarbie]

Does anybody know anybody that has been polled?

I was called by a polling company yesterday. Basswood Research or something. I dropped a little bone for Jo Jorgensen with them.

[Jayarbie]

......

538 is the only one of those who actually know what they are doing, and they had moved their prediction back to 28% for Trump the weekend before the election. Something happening with a 28% a priori probability is a minor upset (which is what the election actually was), not a repudiation of their entire model. Nice try, though.

[BFast55]

According to Polls, Hillary should be running for a second term.

Polls are used as tools to drive/discourage voter turnout.

[x-trainer ben]

https://electproject.github.io/Early...20G/index.html

Total Early Votes: 78,169,522 •

In-Person Votes: 26,956,112 • Mail Ballots Returned: 51,213,410 • Mail Ballots Outstanding: 40,138,497