Here's something to think about. While we all see that the polls generally understate the Trump vote in the Midwest (and to a lesser extent FL/Southeast), they also understate Dems in the Southwest (which would include both TX and AZ).
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/202...trump-n1244753
So when you look at polling for places like MI and WI and think that they are closer than the polls look for Trump, keep in mind that it may be the opposite in TX.In the Midwest and Great Lakes states, polls undershot Republicans' final margin in 28 of 33 cases, including by an average of 4.4 points in the "Trump triumph" of 2016 and 2.5 points in the "blue wave" of 2018.
But in the Southwest, polls undershot Democrats' final margin in 17 of 19 cases, including by an average of 1.4 points in 2016 and 4.2 points in 2018.
The Southeast was a mixed bag: In Florida, polls underestimated the GOP margin by an average of 2.4 points in 2016 and 3.3 points in 2018 — a polling error similar to that in the Midwest. In North Carolina, polls undershot Republicans by 2.8 points in 2016 (there was no statewide race in 2018). And in Georgia, there wasn't a huge polling error in either year.
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10-29-2020, 04:04 AM #31
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10-29-2020, 04:14 AM #32
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10-29-2020, 05:19 AM #33
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10-29-2020, 05:24 AM #34
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10-29-2020, 05:31 AM #35
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10-29-2020, 05:37 AM #36
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10-29-2020, 05:40 AM #37
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10-29-2020, 05:49 AM #38
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10-29-2020, 05:51 AM #39
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10-29-2020, 05:52 AM #40
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10-29-2020, 05:54 AM #41
- Join Date: Jan 2010
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10-29-2020, 05:58 AM #42
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10-29-2020, 05:58 AM #43
Texas is not going Biden LOL. Libs have spent 100+ million in out of state money on ads in just the last 30 days targeting every race in Texas and still haven't moved the needle.
They have a tatted up, Harley Riding bull-dyke running against Cornyn for Senate that is even more unlikeable than Beto was. 2 of the house seats they flipped in 2018 look like they are going back to the GOP.
Allen West, the Texas GOP chairman, reports early voting totals almost daily on a local news-talk show here in DFW, and as of yesterday Republicans were leading Dems in early voting by about 20 points.
Unless there is some hidden giant last minute Dem vote out there (there isn't - Republicans cream Dems on election day voting) this race will not be close.
Anyone saying Texas is flipping this cycle is lying, misinformed or flat out delusional.________
MFC
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Democracy is two wolves and a lamb voting on what to have for lunch. Liberty is a well-armed lamb contesting the vote. -Benjamin Franklin
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10-29-2020, 06:00 AM #44
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That's not what I am talking about. How the electors decide to vote it entirely left up to each state individually. That's why those states can join a pact saying their electors will vote based on the nationwide popular vote. There is no federal law requiring a popular vote for President. Each state can change it at any time.
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10-29-2020, 06:21 AM #45
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10-29-2020, 06:41 AM #46
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10-29-2020, 06:53 AM #47
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10-29-2020, 06:54 AM #48
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10-29-2020, 07:33 AM #49
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10-29-2020, 08:47 AM #50
you realize that california has more republicans than any other state right? lol. some of us are "stuck" here because we don't want to leave our family/have good jobs and careers. I will move once i finish my MBA, and you can bet your sweet ass i'm never voting for democrats or dem policies.
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10-29-2020, 08:50 AM #51
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10-29-2020, 06:26 PM #52
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10-29-2020, 06:32 PM #53
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11-19-2020, 05:02 AM #54
poor predction op
“Steroids is now just a word that the lazy and ignorant use to describe any guy that has more muscle and dedication than them”– Mike O'Hearn
"I am like getting the feeling of cumming in the gym; I'm getting the feeling of cumming at home; I'm getting the feeling of cumming backstage; when I pump up, when I pose out in front of 5000 people I get the same feeling, so I am cumming day and night. It's terrific, right? So you know, I am in heaven."
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