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10-26-2020, 06:47 PM #31
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11-01-2020, 09:27 PM #32Anti-Cuck crew
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11-01-2020, 09:44 PM #33
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11-04-2020, 08:47 PM #34
- Join Date: May 2007
- Location: Ohio, United States
- Age: 29
- Posts: 5,665
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doesn't really seem difficult to do this, let's say you start with $25k and look at a stock with decent price movement. say you're looking at something that's already up 3% in the morning and you see that it continues to go up for 30-40 cents then down, etc. You put in your $25k and obviously depending upon the share price that will dictate the volatility of your P/L.
a stock like JWN for example, it's been hovering around $12.50 so let's say one day you notice it start to shoot up. you drop $25k in there and the share price increases to $12.77. that right there is a 2.16% gain that would take you to $25,540.
obviously, you would have to set a stop loss but the idea is to track price movements carefully either via fundamental analysis or just looking for patterns in the share price. usually it's not difficult to snag a small upward trend like this. caveat is that it would probably be a good idea to make sure your spread is very small when playing with that amount of money with such a sensitive share price and also setting a stop loss much lower than the profit you're trying to make.
suppose your goal is $500 a day, you don't just YOLO and shoot for $500 profit with a stop loss of $250, you'd be better off making a high quantity of trades with much smaller stop losses such as $20-40. that way you can take many more stabs at a solid share price increase before losing $250 or whatever your risk tolerance is.
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11-10-2020, 12:26 PM #35
Day Trading is in/out of positions within a day before market close.
If you see support and resistance, so do million others.
If you see RSI high, so do million others.
If you see chart patterns, so do others.
If you see price under/above moving averages, so do millions others.
Broker bots don't care, they just see the volume and when the volume comes in, the banks(brokers) will counter those positions.
They have to counter them, because they are loaned positions.
Then they will try and liquidate the positions or squeeze you out, leaving you trapped before market close.
If I'm trading, I prefer to do a few steps to avoid this.
1. Set my stop loss as Resistance and Support to a 4 hour chart
2. Choose a leverage that can support that stop loss.
3. Define a profit point.
4. Stick to that plan and don't deviate.
5. Ride out the position, until the price hits my profit margin, or stop loss.
Or don't use any leverage, but for that you need big money.
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11-10-2020, 03:39 PM #36
- Join Date: May 2012
- Location: Illinois, United States
- Age: 30
- Posts: 4,598
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It always sounds easy on paper when you think of how little of a gain you'd need each week to make decent money. Especially with options since you'd need an even smaller movement in a stock price to get in/out with the % you are looking for but it probably never plays out well over a long period of time.
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11-13-2020, 01:30 AM #37
You have to have a serious interest enjoying it and the tenacity to sit through blowing your account up a few times. It takes years to really find your edge + trading style.. most people don't last long enough to find out. Check out the book 'Unknown market wizards' for a more up to date interview type book on the most successful traders, you'll find they have some common traits amongst themselves.
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11-13-2020, 05:34 PM #38
This type of thinking actually answers your initial question regarding day trading failure rates. Your example is not a gross oversimplification but a gross failure to understand the reality of stock trading.
You present your example of buying a stock at $115 and then "just waiting" for it to go up a dollar for you to sell take profit and then just do it over and over again. What could possibly go wrong? Well, what about when it doesn't go to $116? What about when it goes to $114, do you sell or do you let it ride while it goes to $113, 112, etc? How many bets on correctly guessing when you can buy and immediately get that $1 increase do you now have to win just to get back to even? Let's say you do guess correctly and get that $1 gain while the stock continues going up to $117,$118, $120 that day? You would have a better chance of winning going to a casino and betting red or black on the roulette tables.
Most trading today is automated by institutions with highly sophisticated algorithms way smarter than any strategy you could devise. On top of that in 2000 the SEC eliminating priority for small orders that effectively killed day trading by removing the ability for day traders to beat the markets by outsmarting and manipulating those algorithms to beat them.
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11-14-2020, 12:51 AM #39
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11-14-2020, 11:17 AM #40
- Join Date: Nov 2008
- Location: MONTREAL!!, qc, Canada
- Age: 29
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- Rep Power: 2431
For some reason people love the retail trader "life" when all the money is in institutional trading. I am the only one i know who basically squeezes a living trading vs many of my friends who make way more and will be making 500K/ year in the future as mediocre risk managers and traders at small funds and banks. Trading has also made me almost unemployable, imagine being 35 after your edge dies with no work experience other that trading for 15 years from home lol. Im in do deep now so i cant quit, i have also been lucky enough to put enough money away to buy small house and live debt free for when that happen its not a question of IF but when
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11-14-2020, 01:13 PM #41
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11-16-2020, 07:35 PM #42
The answer to your question is stop losses (and I'm aware that stop losses aren't always a good failsafe since prices can skip the stop loss). Fortunately I monitor my trades in real time so don't actually rely on stop losses.
So in my example if I were to go for a gain from $115 to $116 and it didn't work out, I wouldn't bag hold until I broke even.
I would have a set tolerance at which point I would sell (reluctantly). In the case of your example, if the price dipped below $115 I would sell at $114.80.
That means I set my risk for losing money very low. I would have a set tolerance for loss each day.
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11-16-2020, 07:41 PM #43
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11-16-2020, 07:52 PM #44
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11-16-2020, 08:05 PM #45
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11-16-2020, 08:57 PM #46
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11-16-2020, 09:03 PM #47
PLTR
I could have easily made another $3k last week swing trading but I was spending literally 16 hours/day moving so couldn't.
I'm finding that my full time job is distracting me. I don't just set things on automatic and leave them, my eyes have to be glued to the screen to make sure I'm not making a mistake
I think that long term my strategy in terms of what stock to actually swing trade will just be based on the largest volume/volatility stocks for the day. It will require some due diligence and attention to any particular stock to see what the status quo is like; PLTR for example, I've been monitoring it for weeks and pretty much know where the support/resistance is at this point so I'm comfortable going in and out. So far in two trades it's netted me $3,250 and if I had the time last week I probably would've made another $2-3k
Also many people seem to think that you have to go all in on day trading. They say you're going to "blow your account" as if I'm dumb enough to drop $25k into a single trade on a highly speculative stock.
Reality is since I've hit the $25k minimum now I can invest small amounts like $5k into a stock, look for a decent price movement, and cash out once I hit something like $75. Do that a few times a day and there's my daily quota. When the daily quota is so reasonable ($250-500), I really don't have to invest too much all at once and I don't have to hold any particular stock for too long. I have unlimited daily trades.
If I lose every now and then, so what? Never figured I'd be 100% consistent day in and day out, but I'm definitely going to be making $.
Every single person that talks about this says it's a huge huge risk but even the strategies that institutional investors use are a joke sometimes. There are people who literally just swing trade AAPL all day.. there are so many ways to make consistent $ that I just can't give up this easy. That, and I find it more interesting than my career by far.Last edited by TugOfPeace; 11-16-2020 at 09:14 PM.
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11-22-2020, 03:24 AM #48
I'm judging by the lack of updates you're not doing well?
I've opened a small account for chits and giggles and gonna see how much I can make by day trading/swing trading by the end of year. I 'll then compare the % gain to my 'safer' long term investments, and so if it was worth it, or if I was just better off throwing it in the S &p500 and chilling.
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11-22-2020, 08:48 PM #49
OP, I lurk in the stock and crypto threads here and there, and if I remember correctly... you started investing right around the COVID crash. You'll see in the next 2 years that making money isn't nearly as easy as it has been these last 7 month.
EVERYONE is a genius/profitable when the whole market is trending upwards. Most stocks have seen nothing but up these last 7 months. When you experience an extended bear market, you'll see why a lot of people don't day trade.
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11-22-2020, 09:17 PM #50
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11-23-2020, 09:27 AM #51
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11-23-2020, 06:49 PM #52
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11-23-2020, 06:54 PM #53
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11-23-2020, 07:56 PM #54
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11-24-2020, 02:28 PM #55
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11-24-2020, 02:39 PM #56
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11-24-2020, 02:42 PM #57
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11-24-2020, 07:27 PM #58
Nice. I'm closing at $2050 for the day. If you're interested in PLTR, it's trading around $24.40 right now. In the morning it may run up a bit more, but it will most likely dip on open. Watch out for that dip, probably down to $22.00 - $22.50 and buy in. Easy money, at least that's what happened today
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11-25-2020, 05:21 PM #59
Shaky day today. Made the mistake of trading on open during extreme volatility and went negative $300. Slowly regained and was up $800 by noon. Then ended up bag holding negative $1200 due to my emotions, but recovered to close the day at +$650.
Usually dont make mistakes like that but given the stock.. too much skepticism which is why it happened (PLTR).
Had a total of 75ish trades today (just buying). Selling would be 75 more. In and out within minutes, sometimes seconds.
I think it’ll be quite a while before I really scale up my trades. Right now it’s nothing more than $5k-7.5k for quick trades.
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11-25-2020, 05:28 PM #60
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