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  1. #1
    Registered User Jayarbie's Avatar
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    Texas Poll: Biden +5

    Oh lawdy, Trump is turning the US socialist.

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...0200712_TX.pdf

    I get that there is a long way to go in this election, and a poll in July certainly does not mean it's over for November, but there is a lot of lulzy numbers in this one:

    Top line:
    Biden 48 - 43 Trump

    Senate Race:
    Hegar 29 - 42 Cornyn

    So, Trump is -5, Cornyn is +13 and Trump is running 18 points behind the Senate race.

    Approval Rating
    Approve 43 - 50 Disapprove

    Independent Approval
    Approve 30 - 59 Disapprove (52% strongly disapprove)

    Coronavirus Approval
    Approve 41 - 51 Disapprove (28-61 among independents)

    Has the federal govt coronavirus response caused you to reconsider your vote?
    A great deal - 21%
    Fair amount - 16%

    Those 37% are certainly not reconsidering to supporting Trump due to his exemplary response. LMAO.


    I won't say Texas is officially purple yet because it's just Trump while Cornyn is cruising to an easy victory, but Texas is clearly a battleground for the Presidential race this fall. Given the focus of disapproval on Trump's coronavirus response, it's only going to go downhill for him the further the state's outbreak worsens and hospitals max out capacity.
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  2. #2
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    Originally Posted by Jayarbie View Post
    Oh lawdy, Trump is turning the US socialist.

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...0200712_TX.pdf

    I get that there is a long way to go in this election, and a poll in July certainly does not mean it's over for November, but there is a lot of lulzy numbers in this one:

    Top line:
    Biden 48 - 43 Trump

    Senate Race:
    Hegar 29 - 42 Cornyn

    So, Trump is -5, Cornyn is +13 and Trump is running 18 points behind the Senate race.

    Approval Rating
    Approve 43 - 50 Disapprove

    Independent Approval
    Approve 30 - 59 Disapprove (52% strongly disapprove)

    Coronavirus Approval
    Approve 41 - 51 Disapprove (28-61 among independents)

    Has the federal govt coronavirus response caused you to reconsider your vote?
    A great deal - 21%
    Fair amount - 16%

    Those 37% are certainly not reconsidering to supporting Trump due to his exemplary response. LMAO.


    I won't say Texas is officially purple yet because it's just Trump while Cornyn is cruising to an easy victory, but Texas is clearly a battleground for the Presidential race this fall. Given the focus of disapproval on Trump's coronavirus response, it's only going to go downhill for him the further the state's outbreak worsens and hospitals max out capacity.
    lol if you actually believe that. That's some big league cope.
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  3. #3
    On The True Path Dorich's Avatar
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    Same thing like 2016.

    Lmao @ polls.

    When will you learn?

    Trump 2020 landslide.

    I said it before and I'll say it again, if Trump loses I will film myself licking a toilet seat and post the video on the misc.
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  4. #4
    Registered User leafs43's Avatar
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    This shows that polls are off by 10 points.
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  5. #5
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    Ban bet Trump wins Texas?
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  6. #6
    Registered User Jayarbie's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by Dorich View Post
    I said it before and I'll say it again, if Trump loses I will film myself licking a toilet seat and post the video on the misc.
    Bookmarked for future use.
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  7. #7
    Registered User Jayarbie's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by wickedman View Post
    Ban bet Trump wins Texas?
    No. Did you actually read what I wrote?
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  8. #8
    Registered User scheal's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by Jayarbie View Post
    Oh lawdy, Trump is turning the US socialist.

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...0200712_TX.pdf

    I get that there is a long way to go in this election, and a poll in July certainly does not mean it's over for November, but there is a lot of lulzy numbers in this one:

    Top line:
    Biden 48 - 43 Trump

    Senate Race:
    Hegar 29 - 42 Cornyn

    So, Trump is -5, Cornyn is +13 and Trump is running 18 points behind the Senate race.

    Approval Rating
    Approve 43 - 50 Disapprove

    Independent Approval
    Approve 30 - 59 Disapprove (52% strongly disapprove)

    Coronavirus Approval
    Approve 41 - 51 Disapprove (28-61 among independents)

    Has the federal govt coronavirus response caused you to reconsider your vote?
    A great deal - 21%
    Fair amount - 16%

    Those 37% are certainly not reconsidering to supporting Trump due to his exemplary response. LMAO.


    I won't say Texas is officially purple yet because it's just Trump while Cornyn is cruising to an easy victory, but Texas is clearly a battleground for the Presidential race this fall. Given the focus of disapproval on Trump's coronavirus response, it's only going to go downhill for him the further the state's outbreak worsens and hospitals max out capacity.
    How’s your libertarian candidate doing?
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  9. #9
    Registered User Jayarbie's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by scheal View Post
    How’s your libertarian candidate doing?
    Not good. This country will be in trouble until libertarianism becomes mainstream, but it's not happening this election. Maybe if Amash runs in 24.
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  10. #10
    Registered Abuser John L's Avatar
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    Texas is trending purple due to demographics, but main reason it is going to be much closer than it should be this year is due to Trump and his behavior. I think Trump will win Texas by +5. If say Pence was the GOP candidate, he’d win it by a wider margin.
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  11. #11
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    Originally Posted by Dorich View Post
    Same thing like 2016.

    Lmao @ polls.

    When will you learn?

    Trump 2020 landslide.

    I said it before and I'll say it again, if Trump loses I will film myself licking a toilet seat and post the video on the misc.
    I think this is a dangerous mindset. I’m supporting Trump, but he’s losing right now. Conservatives need to wake up. Calling every poll that shows Biden ahead fake gets us nowhere.

    I could understand if Biden was up by 3-5 points (like Hillary) but he’s not. He’s leading by double digits. Even a flawed poll provides some valuable context.

    Trump supporters are getting complacent, hoping for the silent majority to poll through. I fear that will only lead to failure as the independents needed to win will feel abandoned and either stay home or begrudgingly vote blue.
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  12. #12
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    If you’re voting for an R senator, you are 100% voting for Trump.


    Trump wins in 2016 fashion. Get the balloons ready and have the libs fill them up with helium at checkout.
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  13. #13
    Registered Abuser John L's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by DeshaunWatson View Post
    If you’re voting for an R senator, you are 100% voting for Trump.


    Trump wins in 2016 fashion. Get the balloons ready and have the libs fill them up with helium at checkout.
    Not necessarily. In 2016 Trump won my congressional district by +12, but our R congressman won by close to +20
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  14. #14
    Registered User RIKTER's Avatar
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    Once hispanics in Texas realize they control American politics, then MAGA dies. If they(across the country) voted at the same % as whites, MAGA never would of existed to begin with. Thats Fact.
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    Registered User A-man's Avatar
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    Meh didn’t read and don’t pay attention to polls. The last election taught us they don’t mean anything and be manipulated to show anything.

    We won’t have any conclusions until election night.
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  16. #16
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    Liberal cucks falling for poll numbers again.

    I predict mass liberal suicides in 2020. Which is a double win. Less voters and less mentally ill unemployed incels wandering our streets
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  17. #17
    Cthulhu fhtagn GreatOldOne's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by John L View Post
    Not necessarily. In 2016 Trump won my congressional district by +12, but our R congressman won by close to +20
    This time is different
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  19. #19
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    Faulty poll. He'll likely lose TX by a couple of points.
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  20. #20
    No Huevos katya422's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by John L View Post
    Texas is trending purple due to demographics, but main reason it is going to be much closer than it should be this year is due to Trump and his behavior. I think Trump will win Texas by +5. If say Pence was the GOP candidate, he’d win it by a wider margin.
    If Pence were the candidate I believe he would win.

    Originally Posted by GuineaDago585 View Post
    I think this is a dangerous mindset. I’m supporting Trump, but he’s losing right now. Conservatives need to wake up. Calling every poll that shows Biden ahead fake gets us nowhere.

    I could understand if Biden was up by 3-5 points (like Hillary) but he’s not. He’s leading by double digits. Even a flawed poll provides some valuable context.

    Trump supporters are getting complacent, hoping for the silent majority to poll through. I fear that will only lead to failure as the independents needed to win will feel abandoned and either stay home or begrudgingly vote blue.
    Saw a bit on polling on Face the Nation this morning. Focused on 3 of the state with spiking C-19 (TX, FL, and AZ). Polls showed about 60% of respondents said they believed that their state opened up too soon. Some number attributed it to pressure from the Trump administration. Respondents who were most concerned about C-19 were also most likely to say they would be voting for Biden.

    I'm not sure how you could possibly spin the story towards a consensus that Trump has been an effective leader re:handling the C-19 pandemic.

    Also, FWIW, I've read a forecast that the US pandemic will peak in early November.

    I'm holding on to some very slight hope that we will have a legit 3rd party candidate, or that Trump will step down and give the race to Pence.
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  21. #21
    Registered User wickedman's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by Jayarbie View Post
    No. Did you actually read what I wrote?
    I'll spot you 6% in this battleground state. Giving you 11% per today's polls.

    If you really believe it's a battleground state, ez bet. I'll even throw in $100 if you win.
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    samo neČural bajo moj cromofo's Avatar
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    Not gonna happen this election year, nor the next, but I can see it in 2028 or 2032. Once that happens, the GOP is toast
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    I’m pretty sure there is a higher chance of me getting struck by lightning in my living room right now than trump losing Texas lmao... especially to Biden...


    If the DNC is smart they will swap Biden out. He is not electable.
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    hillary clinton 98.7% chance of winning
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    Originally Posted by John L View Post
    Texas is trending purple due to demographics, but main reason it is going to be much closer than it should be this year is due to Trump and his behavior. I think Trump will win Texas by +5. If say Pence was the GOP candidate, he’d win it by a wider margin.
    Not true. Texas is going blue because of white people - seriously. Trump did better than Romney with Latinos in Texas but did significantly worse because he collapsed with white people.
    digitalchi;1556326171: "imagine him not only getting elected in 2020 but also in 2024 due to some pro trump movement.

    Is there anything in the rules that prevents you from getting elected even though you dont run? I know you technically cant run for a 3rd term"
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    Permaban bet Trump wins Texas?
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    Originally Posted by GuineaDago585 View Post
    I think this is a dangerous mindset. I’m supporting Trump, but he’s losing right now. Conservatives need to wake up. Calling every poll that shows Biden ahead fake gets us nowhere.

    I could understand if Biden was up by 3-5 points (like Hillary) but he’s not. He’s leading by double digits. Even a flawed poll provides some valuable context.

    Trump supporters are getting complacent, hoping for the silent majority to poll through. I fear that will only lead to failure as the independents needed to win will feel abandoned and either stay home or begrudgingly vote blue.
    Agreed. I'm sure there are some degrees of inaccuracy in these polls, but to dismiss ALL polls because of the fiasco of 2016 is wrong. Hillary was not polling as good as biden currently is at this point in her campaign. Once we get closer to Sept and October the polls will find their final resting place.

    Bear in mind biden is polling the way he is WITHOUT the announcement of his VP, and all candidates naturally get a healthy bump in the polls once they announce their VP, and then it levels off once people start digging up skeletons in the VP's closet. Remember Sarah Palin? Everyone thought it was GG for obama because McCain exploded in the polls shortly after announcing her as his running mate.
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    Poll: Hillary Clinton Leads Donald Trump in Texas


    How eager the left is to forget.

    Originally Posted by Maestro View Post
    Agreed. I'm sure there are some degrees of inaccuracy in these polls, but to dismiss ALL polls because of the fiasco of 2016 is wrong. Hillary was not polling as good as biden currently is at this point in her campaign. Once we get closer to Sept and October the polls will find their final resting place.

    Bear in mind biden is polling the way he is WITHOUT the announcement of his VP, and all candidates naturally get a healthy bump in the polls once they announce their VP, and then it levels off once people start digging up skeletons in the VP's closet. Remember Sarah Palin? Everyone thought it was GG for obama because McCain exploded in the polls shortly after announcing her as his running mate.
    Biden greatly lags Trump in enthusiasm. And by wider margins than hillary did in 2016. That decides your election.
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    Originally Posted by DeshaunWatson View Post
    If you’re voting for an R senator, you are 100% voting for Trump.


    Trump wins in 2016 fashion. Get the balloons ready and have the libs fill them up with helium at checkout.
    This.
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  30. #30
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    Originally Posted by Jayarbie View Post
    No. Did you actually read what I wrote?
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