That’s a nice win. I wonder what’s going to happen with spac land, what’s next to pop.
I was hoping I could buy ipob warrants again at 5.5 or below but have all of my capital tied up and they’ve announced a merger date so those warrants are back in the 6s.
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Thread: Official Spac Thread
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11-27-2020, 12:11 PM #751
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11-27-2020, 12:43 PM #752
I was surprised to see KCAC run up 60% today, they've already stated no product until atleast 2023 and even then its solid state battery tech so there's not even a guarantee of that time frame.
Next to pop thats on my radar might be QELL going off of how warrants are trading, they're already trading at a premium and just split + have already had a 'rumored target' Bloomberg article.
I still have about 35Kusd tied up in SNPR which I'm kind of banking on atleast doubling.
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11-27-2020, 03:28 PM #753
- Join Date: Mar 2009
- Location: North Carolina, Singapore
- Posts: 11,601
- Rep Power: 29516
cant help to TP from the APXT hysteria... 14.8 was the selling point.. up 40% from buying the day before thanksgiving...
once ppl realise this is not Snowflake competitor (Every shill out there is doing this), i'm guessing it will retrace more but APXT will definitely do well in the long run, so im fishing in the $12 range to get some orderSloots come and go but moms are forever
Get to know your parents: you never know when they'll be gone for good.
Be nice to your siblings: they're your best link to your past and the people most likely to stick with you in the future.
Enjoy your body: use it every way you can. Don't be afraid of it or of what other people think of it: it's the greatest instrument you'll ever own.
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11-27-2020, 04:17 PM #754
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11-28-2020, 11:51 AM #755
Its kind of funny looking back but you could make the argument that Tesla was instrumental in starting the SPAC craze. The timing of Tesla rocketing significantly boosted NKLA and SHLL which brought a lot of new money into the space. When we first had a dip it was because NKLA started to crap the bed. Then HYLN became the spac leader and when it crapped the bed post merger we had our second dip. Right now we are clearly witnessing spac euphoria with dumb money throwing money at every spac they can. I think one could make an arguement that the reason SBE as well as other EV stocks popped was because of Teslas skyrocket from its inclusion in the S&P. I do think that if Tesla were to drop, so would SBE. However, if SBE were to plummet I think we would see a small drop in spacs but nothing like the 2nd drop when SHLL dropped after merger. It's probably going to take an overall market downturn to stop the euphoria.
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11-28-2020, 03:14 PM #756
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11-28-2020, 03:15 PM #757
- Join Date: Mar 2009
- Location: North Carolina, Singapore
- Posts: 11,601
- Rep Power: 29516
Sloots come and go but moms are forever
Get to know your parents: you never know when they'll be gone for good.
Be nice to your siblings: they're your best link to your past and the people most likely to stick with you in the future.
Enjoy your body: use it every way you can. Don't be afraid of it or of what other people think of it: it's the greatest instrument you'll ever own.
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11-28-2020, 05:41 PM #758
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11-28-2020, 05:47 PM #759
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11-29-2020, 12:40 PM #760
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11-29-2020, 12:45 PM #761
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11-29-2020, 05:48 PM #762
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11-30-2020, 07:25 AM #763
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11-30-2020, 07:29 AM #764
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11-30-2020, 11:39 AM #765
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11-30-2020, 12:06 PM #766
Thoughts on GIX? Looks close to the floor price so little to no risk. Just bought 2000 shares at 10.25
copied and pasted from reddit/spac
GigCapital2, Inc. (GIX) is the most bullish I have been on a SPAC since getting in on CIIG at $11 and APXT at $10.20.
What is their deal? They are forming a dual merger with UpHealth and Cloudbreak to form a leading online medical services business at a combined valuation of $1.35 billion.
Article: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gigca...140000389.html
Cloudbreak site: https://www.cloudbreak.us/solutions/
Uphealth site: https://uphealthinc.com/
Key thoughts:
Revenue Growth: revenue is anticipated to grow by 65% between FY20 and FY21 from $115m to $190m with EBITDA doubling. 69% of this revenue growth is already contracted (locked in) so this isn't speculative. This would mean the company is valued at circa 6.5x 2021 revenues;
Comparable companies: the best known comparable is Teladoc Health (TDOC) an Ark investment. TDOC currently has a market cap of $28.4bn which represents a 33x multiple of current TTM revenue of $867m. Noting that TDOC is loss making (and growing at a slower rate) whereas the post merger GIX company will be profitable shows this is a reasonable multiple to apply to GIX. Giving a 2021 share price target of $50 and hence representing 500% upside in the bull case. I'll leave it up to you to decide what the bear case is but in my view it is not $10;
Scalability: being on an online digital service the business is obviously scalable and hence able to operate and provide services globally, this presents massive upside potential;
Economies of scale and supercharged growth: another factor to note is that with the two companies combined they will be able to achieve economies of scale and the funding received from the GIX merger will enable them to further invest and supercharge growth.
TLDR: I think that the valuation of merger deal of GigCapital2, Inc. is extremely conservative due to both the EV/Revenue multiple applied and the conservative estimate of forecasted FY21 revenue growth (the majority of which is already locked in). Furthermore, the combined company will be disrupting a highly profitable growth industry, this presents room for extreme upside.
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11-30-2020, 12:44 PM #767
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11-30-2020, 02:16 PM #768
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12-01-2020, 01:20 PM #769
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12-01-2020, 01:37 PM #770
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12-02-2020, 01:37 PM #771
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12-02-2020, 01:57 PM #772
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12-02-2020, 02:39 PM #773
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12-02-2020, 06:52 PM #774
can't figure out if this is the best opportunity ever or too good to be true
Gores Holding with GMHI which just announced merger approval with Luminar and skyrocketed to $21 tonight also has another SPAC that is merging with United Wholesale Mortgage under ticker GHIV, supposedly this month or early Jan from what I'm reading. UWM made over $1bil PROFIT last QUARTER and the price of GHIV is only $10 right now. Last news released was from November when UWM announced a 40c/annual dividend. They are one of Rocket Mortgages biggest competitors but unlike RKT they have already announced dividend and will have a lot less shares outstanding.
Don't know if this be a huge flop like the failure that is RKT, but at $10.05/share I feel the risk/reward is huge here. Not exactly sure how it works but isn't $10 the "floor" or threshold for these SPACs?
Somebody that is better doing DD please tell me why I shouldn't go all in on GHIV.
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12-02-2020, 06:57 PM #775
FYI the 10 dollar floor disappears after the vote to merge is approved so that GHIV floor isn't forever.
New trend on spacs seems to be moon on merger though whereas outside of NKLA it used to be a huge sell off would happen so who knows. I know we're in clown world but there's no reason why Luminar and QuantamScape should have mooned, neither are anywhere near being profitable yet and trading at enormous valuations (GHMI is like 50x 2023 projected revenue right now) and QS may never even have a product.
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12-02-2020, 07:32 PM #776
okay good to know
yes it seems like most of the SPACs are just huge money grabs/scams. The only other one I've considered investing is APXT since they are heavily involved with Microsoft.
I don't think many people have heard about UWM the only reason I know about them is because I actually just refinanced using them a few months ago after Quicken dragged me along for 3 months and couldn't get it done because I'm self employed. UWM got me a better rate and I closed in less than 3 weeks of starting the process which was crazy.
I just can't see how getting in on the ground floor with a company that makes a billion dollars profit per quarter is going to turn out badly....however I thought the same exact thing with RKT and that didn't turn out so well
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12-02-2020, 07:43 PM #777
SPACs in non meme industries don't seem to really pick up much steam, Healthcare industry has been pretty much a bust so far in SPACland but getting in at 10.05 is essentially risk free, I think they actually accumulate interest on that 10 dollar floor so it actually works out to neat 10.20 normally for redemption.
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12-02-2020, 07:52 PM #778
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12-02-2020, 07:56 PM #779
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12-02-2020, 08:53 PM #780
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