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  1. #1
    Registered User NYPat's Avatar
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    Trump to Lose 2020 election in a Landslide Defeat, model predicts

    A national election model has predicted that Donald Trump will suffer a “historic defeat” in November’s election due to the coronavirus economic recession.

    The model by Oxford Economics uses unemployment, disposable income and inflation to forecast election results to predict the elections outcome.

    According to the model, Mr Trump will lose in a landslide, capturing just 35 per cent of the popular vote, according to a report by CNN.

    The model has predicted the winner of the popular vote in 16 of the past 18 elections and is a complete reversal of what the model was predicting before the coronavirus outbreak hit the US.

    Before the public health crisis, Oxford Economics predicted that Mr Trump would win about 55 per cent of the vote, CNN reported.

    “It would take nothing short of an economic miracle for pocketbooks to favour Trump,” Oxford Economics wrote in the report, according to the broadcaster.

    It added that the economy will be a “nearly insurmountable obstacle for Trump come November”.

    The forecaster said that the downturn has emerged in light of the poor economic backdrop the country now faces, and the model assumes that this would still be the case by the time of the election.

    “The economy would still be in a worse state than at the depth of the Great Depression,” Oxford Economics said.
    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/trump...221350340.html

    https://edition.cnn.com/2020/05/20/b...obs/index.html


    I guess everyone here should just start referring to Joe as President Biden.
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  2. #2
    Banned Titansfan08's Avatar
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    Goodbye Pat
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  3. #3
    America First. XterraRob's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by NYPat View Post
    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/trump...221350340.html

    https://edition.cnn.com/2020/05/20/b...obs/index.html


    I guess everyone here should just start referring to Joe as President Biden.
    Bookmark'd for November.
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  4. #4
    Anti-Circumcision JoshSP1985's Avatar
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    Yep more proof COVID is on the decline as all the narrative machines are firing up their election inevitability propaganda.
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  5. #5
    Registered User NYPat's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by XterraRob View Post
    Bookmark'd for November.
    Be sure to give feedback to the model's prediction.




    Originally Posted by JoshSP1985 View Post
    Yep more proof COVID is on the decline as all the narrative machines are firing up their election inevitability propaganda.
    Actually cases are on the rise when you take NY and NJ out of the overall equation.
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  6. #6
    Starvation Mode GO! NitrogenWidget's Avatar
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    goodbye patty
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  7. #7
    Registered User NYPat's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by NitrogenWidget View Post
    goodbye patty
    Goodbye gilligan.
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  8. #8
    Not a "Sir." El Conquistador's Avatar
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    Dedicating this to Pat in November...



    And this time, STAY GONE!
    6 month ban bet with Sillie on Trump winning the 2020 election: https://forum.bodybuilding.com/showthread.php?t=178089971&page=43

    Permaban bet with BadMonkeyFunker on Trump winning the 2020 election: https://forum.bodybuilding.com/showthread.php?t=178387211&p=1604761631#post1604761631

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  9. #9
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    who did they predict to win in 2016?
    -You are only as strong as your weakest link-
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  10. #10
    Registered User NYPat's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by El Conquistador View Post
    Dedicating this to Pat in November...



    And this time, STAY GONE!


    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6UF0BAqWoVg
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  11. #11
    America First. XterraRob's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by NYPat View Post
    Be sure to give feedback to the model's prediction.
    I did!
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  12. #12
    High Plains Lifter Mark1T's Avatar
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    Funny that model didn't use the pandemic at all in its "forecast model."

    So, about as accurate as a blind man shooting skeet.
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  13. #13
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    Is OP the one who cried to mods to get his permaban reversed?
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  14. #14
    Registered User NYPat's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by Mark1T View Post
    Funny that model didn't use the pandemic at all in its "forecast model."

    So, about as accurate as a blind man shooting skeet.
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    models are never wrong. just look at the 1,000,000 covid deaths the models predicted
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    Starvation Mode GO! NitrogenWidget's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by NYPat View Post
    Goodbye gilligan.
    Gilligan stayed on the island and toughed it out.

    What happened to you again last yr little patty?

    was it that time of the month that prompted your forum meltdown and subsequent hissy fit?
    LOL!

    goodbye patty.
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    NYPat, no poll can accurately predict an election because no matter the source, left or right, a poll is only as good as the people it contacts and loads of voters do not participate in polls.

    So, either candidate could really be ahead and we know this from past experiences such as 2016 and most of the MSM's glorious face-plant predicting Hillary would win in a landslide.
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  18. #18
    SillieBazzillie Alt #z4 z4v4's Avatar
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    This place is going to be a ghost town come Nov 4th.
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    Originally Posted by NYPat View Post
    lol fox news. nothing more than veiled opposition.
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    Originally Posted by NYPat View Post
    Actually cases are on the rise when you take NY and NJ out of the overall equation.
    I was referring to the effects of the hysteria machine
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    Why are you double posting this? There's already a thread made.
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    Originally Posted by z4v4 View Post
    This place is going to be a ghost town come Nov 4th.
    I think Trump will win. But If not, I am certain there will not be riots, damaging of property and crying and screaming in the streets like there was in 2016.
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    Originally Posted by NYPat View Post
    How did Biden start losing support as the pandemic progressed? He was nowhere to be seen and Trump was out there getting grilled every day about injecting bleach, opening back up, masks, lack of ventilators, etc.
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    Spoiler!
    ▪█─────█▪ Equipment Crew #53 ▪█─────█▪
    ^^^^^^ 6' 6" and Over Crew ^^^^^^
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    Registered User NYPat's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by Dheep View Post
    Why are you double posting this? There's already a thread made.
    Unaware, my bad if it was already made.
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    Registered User Halfway's Avatar
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    Well it was a good run but I guess it's over

    At what time will Beto be coming over to collect my guns?
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    Registered User NYPat's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by jeffl1980 View Post
    I think Trump will win. But If not, I am certain there will not be riots, damaging of property and crying and screaming in the streets like there was in 2016.
    When Trump loses he'll blame everything and everyone other than himself. He'll blame voter fraud etc and do everything he can to delegitimize the election to try to stay in power. And I fully expect his base to respond.
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    Yahoo and cnn lmfao
    *Bruins/Patriots*
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    MAGA
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    Originally Posted by NYPat View Post
    When Trump loses he'll blame everything and everyone other than himself. He'll blame voter fraud etc and do everything he can to delegitimize the election to try to stay in power. And I fully expect his base to respond.
    Hillary wrote a fuking book blaming other people, lmfao
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    Registered User NYPat's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by DumpsterFire View Post
    Yahoo and cnn lmfao
    Biden makes inroads with two key groups: independents prefer him by 13 points and voters ages 65+ by 17 points. In 2016, Trump won independents by 4 and seniors by 7.
    https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox...ump-on-economy
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