View Poll Results: How many USA covid deaths on May 1

Voters
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  • Less than 2,000

    20 7.46%
  • 2,000 - 20,000

    88 32.84%
  • 20,001 - 50,000

    71 26.49%
  • 50,001 - 150,000

    55 20.52%
  • 150,001 - 300,000

    12 4.48%
  • More than 300K

    22 8.21%
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  1. #241
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    Originally Posted by gwg77 View Post
    Maybe you just don't know how to maths.
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  2. #242
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    Do I need to explain the logistic equation to you and how social distancing factors into this for you to understand why the estimates vary so much and why it is so critical people remain in lock down? Do you even care to know?

    The rhetoric that this is just a flu may create the situation where u make the death toll far worse.

    Like I said. Come back in May. We'll see if Trump decides to reopen economy before that. And you'll all likely be eating my ass come May.
    Last edited by wincel; 03-27-2020 at 01:56 PM.
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  3. #243
    Registered User gwg77's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by wincel View Post
    Do I need to explain the logistic equation to you and how social distancing factors into this for you to understand why the estimates vary so much and why it is so critical people remain in lock down? Do you even care to know?

    The rhetoric that this is just a flu may create the situation where u make the death toll far worse.

    Like I said. Come back in May. We'll see if Trump decides to reopen economy before that. And you'll all likely be eating my ass come May.
    Wincel, at this point it isn't even about the math that you can't even do for yourself. It's about how idiotic you have to be to say "I believe 1m by May 1 based off this one report, but 80k by August based off this other report also seems reasonable to me."

    u wot m8?
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  4. #244
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    Originally Posted by ImpressiveGainz View Post
    Seriously..?
    Yes seriously.

    Originally Posted by ImpressiveGainz View Post
    Did you totally miss the whole, "We thought it'd be 500k deaths, but really it's like 20k," thing?
    This is a lie. It never happened. The original estimate was 20k. The so called "revised/downgraded" estimate is 20k. So yes, seriously. I'd like to see you explain how a 0% decrease from 20k to 20k is a downgrade.
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  5. #245
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    Originally Posted by gwg77 View Post
    Wincel, at this point it isn't even about the math that you can't even do for yourself. It's about how idiotic you have to be to say "I believe 1m by May 1 based off this one report, but 80k by August based off this other report also seems reasonable to me."

    u wot m8?
    It's very sensitive to the effect of social distancing, goofus.
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  6. #246
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    Originally Posted by ImpressiveGainz View Post
    LOL you don't understand how math works, loser!
    He doesn't; neither do you, son.
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  7. #247
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    I voted 2K -> 20K but IMO nearer 20K than 2K. I think that people will start taking this chit seriously and lock down like Italy but too late. Against that the death toll per capita should be way lower due to age demographics and because the Italians are useless at organising anything.

    Looking at other countries, when they take lockdown seriously, new cases flatten quite quickly. Also, while there will be a lot of cases in the US by 1 May, it takes a week or two to kill the people who are getting to die. Additionally I doubt the healthcare system will be crushed by then, meaning the death rate will stay low.

    So yeah I'm being cautiously optimistic for the US at the stated date. Our new cases are flattening here in Australia after locking down for a few days and we're pretty terrible at doing what we're told.

    Lastly I think 1 May is going to be hilariously too early to start sucking each others' dicks about having made it through. This is going to be a long hard slog.
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  8. #248
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    just fukking lol @ 20kcels u will see in may phaggots
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  9. #249
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    Well what we're doing right now is conflating them with other ailments. And instead of attributing these deaths to a cocktail of other ailments, the death count will continue to rise for covid19
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  10. #250
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    Originally Posted by Jrd86 View Post
    Well what we're doing right now is conflating them with other ailments. And instead of attributing these deaths to a cocktail of other ailments, the death count will continue to rise for covid19
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  11. #251
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    Originally Posted by wincel View Post
    You seem triggered
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  12. #252
    📶 🔌🔋 99% LukeLissen's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by LukeLissen View Post
    ~3,000 total deaths April 1st

    ~7,500 total deaths April 7th

    - peak deaths/day April 8th

    ~10-15,000 total deaths April 31st

    business and life outside of healthcare getting back to normal mostly by May 1st

    virus mostly gone in the US by mid-June and gone in July

    UPDATE: I'm revising that upwards significantly-



    4,900 total deaths April 1st

    14,000 total deaths April 7th

    peak deaths/day April 14th @ 2,300 deaths/day

    61,000 deaths May 1st

    business and life outside of healthcare getting back to normal - UNKNOWN

    virus mostly gone in the US by mid-June and gone in July
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  13. #253
    SillieBazzillie Alt #z4 z4v4's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by LukeLissen View Post
    UPDATE: I'm revising that upwards significantly-



    4,900 total deaths April 1st

    14,000 total deaths April 7th

    peak deaths/day April 14th @ 2,300 deaths/day

    61,000 deaths May 1st

    business and life outside of healthcare getting back to normal - UNKNOWN

    virus mostly gone in the US by mid-June and gone in July
    Wtf contest are you trying to win, son? Morbid fukks itt...
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  14. #254
    📶 🔌🔋 99% LukeLissen's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by z4v4 View Post
    Wtf contest are you trying to win, son? Morbid fukks itt...
    There's nothing morbid or evil about it.

    Understanding predictions and projections is important in dealing with a crisis like this - from the international all the way down to the personal level.

    It's not about winning a contest at all. It's about trying to help myself understand it all and maybe to help others understand what to expect.

    You do understand the WHO, CDC, and many NGO's and others are busy trying to forecast how this pandemic will unfold. It's extremely important to be able to do that as accurately as possible for a variety of reasons.

    Also I've got many years in health care, both emergency and inpatient nursing and as an ER tech before I became a nurse and have seen hundreds of people die so it's probably a little more mundane of a subject to me than it might be to those who haven't experienced that.
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  15. #255
    SillieBazzillie Alt #z4 z4v4's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by LukeLissen View Post
    There's nothing morbid or evil about it.

    Understanding predictions and projections is important in dealing with a crisis like this - from the international all the way down to the personal level.

    It's not about winning a contest at all. It's about trying to help myself understand it all and maybe to help others understand what to expect.

    You do understand the WHO, CDC, and many NGO's and others are busy trying to forecast how this pandemic will unfold. It's extremely important to be able to do that as accurately as possible for a variety of reasons.

    Also I've got many years in health care, both emergency and inpatient nursing and have seen hundreds of people die so it's probably a little more mundane of a subject to me than it might be to those who haven't experienced that.
    Christ, son, you're not from the CDC using science and mathematical models to project infection and death rates. Your input on this matter here = zero, son, sorry.
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  16. #256
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    Originally Posted by z4v4 View Post
    Christ, son, you're not from the CDC using science and mathematical models to project infection and death rates. Your input on this matter here = zero, son, sorry.
    Well the OP literally asked for prediction on how many deaths. And I didn’t see anywhere that lukelissen is not allowed to post his input.
    They said she's gone too far this time

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  17. #257
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    Originally Posted by TrinnieBuu View Post
    Well the OP literally asked for prediction on how many deaths. And I didn’t see anywhere that lukelissen is not allowed to post his input.
    Already addressed the well-known scumbag OP, son.
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  18. #258
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    Originally Posted by z4v4 View Post
    Already addressed the well-known scumbag OP, son.
    You sure did, Bitch.
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  19. #259
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    Originally Posted by Dave22reborn View Post
    You sure did, Bitch.
    Go have another doughnut, son. Just have another pant size bigger ready for when you're back at work a month from now, son.
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  20. #260
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    Originally Posted by z4v4 View Post
    Go have another doughnut, son. Just have another pant size bigger ready for when you're back at work a month from now, son.
    I'm on a cut right now bitch, it's important to be healthy, especially with this virus going around. I'm sure you're stuffing your face with boredom and watching Netflix all day.

    Also a 30 inch waist in the cargo pants at 180lbs.
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    Originally Posted by Dave22reborn View Post
    I'm on a cut right now bitch, it's important to be healthy, especially with this virus going around. I'm sure you're stuffing your face with boredom and watching Netflix all day.

    Also a 30 inch waist in the cargo pants at 180lbs.
    fuking lol worst time to cut bro

    bloatmax for life
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    Originally Posted by Dave22reborn View Post
    I'm on a cut right now bitch, it's important to be healthy, especially with this virus going around. I'm sure you're stuffing your face with boredom and watching Netflix all day.

    Also a 30 inch waist in the cargo pants at 180lbs.
    You wear cargo pants? Do you still listen to 90's grunge, son? Da fukk? Lmao...
    https://forum.bodybuilding.com/showthread.php?t=167564111&p=1372188493&viewfull=1#post1372188493
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    Originally Posted by z4v4 View Post
    You wear cargo pants? Do you still listen to 90's grunge, son? Da fukk? Lmao...
    They're police cargo pants bitch. Most cops wear them.
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    Originally Posted by wincel View Post
    fuking lol worst time to cut bro

    bloatmax for life
    Actually right now is when you should be eating healthy, might want to increase those vegetables guy.
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    Originally Posted by Dave22reborn View Post
    Actually right now is when you should be eating healthy, might want to increase those vegetables guy.
    bloatmaxing helps u survive illnesses
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    Originally Posted by Dave22reborn View Post
    They're police cargo pants bitch. Most cops wear them.
    Ah, well, I guess that settles it then: you must be a cop, son.
    https://forum.bodybuilding.com/showthread.php?t=167564111&p=1372188493&viewfull=1#post1372188493
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    Originally Posted by wincel View Post
    bloatmaxing helps u survive illnesses
    Obese people are more likely to get the virus, look it up.
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    Originally Posted by Dave22reborn View Post
    Obese people are more likely to get the virus, look it up.
    So don't be obese. Just bloat.
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    Originally Posted by ImpressiveGainz View Post
    The US has the best healthcare system in the world...
    “The best”

    A California teenager who died last week, possibly from coronavirus, was turned away from an urgent care because he lacked health insurance.

    Lancaster Mayor R. Rex Parris said in a video that the 17-year-old had no previous health conditions and was healthy Friday, socializing with friends, before he passed away Wednesday.

    "Wednesday, he had gone to an urgent care," he said. "He didn't have insurance, so they did not treat him."

    Parris said the teen was sent to the hospital but went into cardiac arrest on the way and died. He was briefly revived, but ultimately passed away.

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    Originally Posted by Dave22reborn View Post
    Obese people are more likely to get the virus, look it up.
    You're worried about a cheat week at 170 lbs, 26" waist, 6' 4" height, son?
    https://forum.bodybuilding.com/showthread.php?t=167564111&p=1372188493&viewfull=1#post1372188493
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