View Poll Results: How many USA covid deaths on May 1

Voters
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  • Less than 2,000

    20 7.46%
  • 2,000 - 20,000

    88 32.84%
  • 20,001 - 50,000

    71 26.49%
  • 50,001 - 150,000

    55 20.52%
  • 150,001 - 300,000

    12 4.48%
  • More than 300K

    22 8.21%
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  1. #211
    America First. XterraRob's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by wincel View Post
    We are not the same as the UK. I expect us to lose about 1 mill or more.

    I will admit I am wrong if I am wrong on May 1. You will have to wait til then to see.

    Also they already have 759 deaths so I am guessing they will have way more than 20k bruh.
    Lose 1 million or more, good lord no.
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  2. #212
    Registered Troll ImpressiveGainz's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by GaloisTheory View Post
    Wrong. He predicted around 20k if locked down and 500k if no actions were taken. Both of those numbers come from the same exact study and are even listed in the same exact table. There was no revision. There was no new estimate. That was a blatant lie you gullible morons ate it because it did fit your narrative.
    After just one day of ordered lockdowns in the U.K., Ferguson is presenting drastically downgraded estimates, crediting lockdown measures, but also revealing that far more people likely have the virus than his team figured.
    You can't even lie properly.
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  3. #213
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    Originally Posted by XterraRob View Post
    Lose 1 million or more, good lord no.
    I hope I'm wrong.
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  4. #214
    Registered User GaloisTheory's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by ImpressiveGainz View Post
    You can't even lie properly.
    Because this is apparently too difficult for you to follow

    What you said,

    Originally Posted by ImpressiveGainz View Post
    Did you totally miss the whole, "We thought it'd be 500k deaths, but really it's like 20k," thing?.
    Is a flat out lie.

    Originally Posted by GaloisTheory View Post
    Wrong. He predicted around 20k if locked down and 500k if no actions were taken. Both of those numbers come from the same exact study and are even listed in the same exact table. There was no revision. There was no new estimate. That was a blatant lie you gullible morons ate up because it did fit your narrative.
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  5. #215
    WOATbrah of peace :) sooby's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by GaloisTheory View Post
    Because this is apparently too difficult for you to follow

    What you said,



    Is a flat out lie.
    so they didn't change any single other variable aside from social distancing measures vs no social distancing measures, after acknowledging that far more people likely have the virus? We didn't learn a single thing about the virus between initial estimates and what was posted now?

    Is this what they are trying to tell us and they didn't incorporate new data into that different figure? (srs question)

    Not sure I buy that.
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  6. #216
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    Originally Posted by sooby View Post
    so they didn't change any single other variable aside from social distancing measures vs no social distancing measures, after acknowledging that far more people likely have the virus? We didn't learn a single thing about the virus between initial estimates and what was posted now?

    Is this what they are trying to tell us and they didn't incorporate new data into that different figure? (srs question)

    Not sure I buy that.
    I think the new estimat eis jut a revision based on social distancing
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  7. #217
    Registered User GaloisTheory's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by sooby View Post
    so they didn't change any single other variable aside from social distancing measures vs no social distancing measures, after acknowledging that far more people likely have the virus? We didn't learn a single thing about the virus between initial estimates and what was posted now?

    Is this what they are trying to tell us and they didn't incorporate new data into that different figure? (srs question)

    Not sure I buy that.
    I can't even parse what you're trying to say. The 20,000 number comes same exact report as the 500k. He did not give a new estimate for the death toll. On March 16, he predicted 500k deaths with no measures being taken and 20k deaths with a suppression strategy (i.e., shutting down). That's where the 20k comes from.
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  8. #218
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    Originally Posted by GaloisTheory View Post
    Because this is apparently too difficult for you to follow

    What you said,



    Is a flat out lie.
    So you're just going to totally ignore the dude's own statement about BEING WRONG. Got it.
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  9. #219
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    Originally Posted by GaloisTheory View Post
    I can't even parse what you're trying to say. The 20,000 number comes same exact report as the 500k. He did not give a new estimate for the death toll.
    The Washington Examiner ran the article. They are trying to change the story and make it seem like all predictions are bs and people can go back to work. It's become the republican hard line now. They are trying to deny the reality of the situation.

    Guys. It's exponential growth and you are going to have to be locked down. You need to deal with it.
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  10. #220
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    Originally Posted by ImpressiveGainz View Post
    So you're just going to totally ignore the dude's own statement about BEING WRONG. Got it.
    Quote the statement and explain what was wrong and how it shows your statement was remotely accurate. You've made three posts now and have said nothing. At this point I feel like you're deliberately being as vague and general as possible because you have no idea what you're talking about.
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  11. #221
    Registered Troll ImpressiveGainz's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by GaloisTheory View Post
    Quote the statement and explain what was wrong and how it shows your statement was remotely accurate. You've made three posts now and have said nothing. At this point I feel like you're deliberately being as vague and general as possible because you have no idea what you're talking about.
    After just one day of ordered lockdowns in the U.K., Ferguson is presenting drastically downgraded estimates, crediting lockdown measures, but also revealing that far more people likely have the virus than his team figured.
    Seriously..?
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  12. #222
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    Originally Posted by wincel View Post
    The Washington Examiner ran the article. They are trying to change the story and make it seem like all predictions are bs and people can go back to work. It's become the republican hard line now. They are trying to deny the reality of the situation.

    Guys. It's exponential growth and you are going to have to be locked down. You need to deal with it.
    I'm still going to work, deal with it, still working out, deal with it, still going to the grocery stores, deal with it. Still visiting family, deal with it.
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  13. #223
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    Originally Posted by Dave22reborn View Post
    I'm still going to work, deal with it, still working out, deal with it, still going to the grocery stores, deal with it. Still visiting family, deal with it.
    lol ur the captain of ur own ship bro

    just don't cry when it sinks
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  14. #224
    Truth teller kingmanaverage's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by wincel View Post
    Exponentials don't work that way. It ramps up. Watch.
    That would mean 100k+ people dying in a single day. That sounds even more absurd.
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  15. #225
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    Originally Posted by kingmanaverage View Post
    That would mean 100k+ people dying in a single day. That sounds even more absurd.
    Well UW had a different estimate so I'll go with theirs for now. I think they estimate around 80k dead by May 1.

    I think it is entirely possible to have 100k die in a day though. That's how exponential growth is. 100k isn't that much when you look at the entirety of the US.
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  16. #226
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    Wincel sucks at math.

    Wincel can't even calculate 17x6 without a calculator.

    Wincel just listens to whatever MSM tells him and kept spewing 1-2m deaths.

    Wincel is now ok with newest 80k estimate.

    Wincel didn't even try to do any maths.


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  17. #227
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    Originally Posted by gwg77 View Post
    Wincel sucks at math.

    Wincel can't even calculate 17x6 without a calculator.

    Wincel just listens to whatever MSM tells him and kept spewing 1-2m deaths.

    Wincel is now ok with newest 80k estimate.

    Wincel didn't even try to do any maths.


    They have better info than me. I just guessed based on the trend. They estimated the carrying capacity. They are saying around 80k.
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    Wincel is a sheep.

    Wincel is a math fraud.

    Wincel cant even maths.
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    Originally Posted by gwg77 View Post
    Wincel is a sheep.

    Wincel is a math fraud.

    Wincel cant even maths.
    Come back to this thread in may phaggot.
    You'll be shocked at the death rate in the coming weeks if this trend continues.
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  20. #230
    No Agony, No Bragony JUSA's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by AltarOfPlagues View Post
    for 2 million people to die in the next 4.5 weeks we need to average 63k deaths per day starting today

    are you brain damaged?
    iTs eXPoNeNTiaL, 100 today, 200 tomorrow, then 400, over and over and BOOM, 100,000,000 dead.

    Keep in mind, he said elsewhere if it’s only 100,000 dead in the USA he will be very impressed. I’ll be sure to revisit that in May and again Septemberish when we’re fully through this. Trump might end up being extremely impressive to Wincel.
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    Wincel agreed with 1-2m from imperial study.

    Wincel now agrees with 80k from UW.

    Wincel can't even maths for himself.
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    Originally Posted by JUSA View Post
    iTs eXPoNeNTiaL, 100 today, 200 tomorrow, then 400, over and over and BOOM, 100,000,000 dead.

    Keep in mind, he said elsewhere if it’s only 100,000 dead in the USA he will be very impressed. I’ll be sure to revisit that in May and again Septemberish when we’re fully through this. Trump might end up being extremely impressive to Wincel.
    He has impressed me before both by his idiocy and by his achievements. For example, I applauded his desire to seek peace with the taliban.
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    Originally Posted by gwg77 View Post
    Wincel agrees with 1-2m from imperial study.

    Wincel now agrees with 80k from UW.

    Wincel can't even maths for himself.
    I still think it will be closer to 1M by May. Maybe even more, but I'm saying 80k is a reasonable estimate. It really all depends on how good the lockdowns are and stuff.
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    Originally Posted by wincel View Post
    I still think it will be closer to 1M by May. Maybe even more, but I'm saying 80k is a reasonable estimate.
    > Believes it is 1m by May.
    > But 80k by August is reasonable too.



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    Originally Posted by gwg77 View Post
    > Believes it is 1m by May.
    > But 80k by August is reasonable too.



    ok dude
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    Originally Posted by wincel View Post
    ok dude
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    Originally Posted by gwg77 View Post
    We'll find out in May. It's gonna be a lot more than the 20k you guys think it is.
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    Originally Posted by wincel View Post
    Well UW had a different estimate so I'll go with theirs for now. I think they estimate around 80k dead by May 1.

    I think it is entirely possible to have 100k die in a day though. That's how exponential growth is. 100k isn't that much when you look at the entirety of the US.
    80k by August 4, not May 1.

    Wincel has poor reading comprehension, too.
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    Originally Posted by gwg77 View Post
    80k by August 4, not May 1.

    Wincel has poor reading comprehension, too.
    I just looked at the graph. I didn't read the paper.

    I just want to know why 1 M sounds so insane to you guys. I'm seeing ppl saying 60k a day isn't possible in 30 something days. Why not?
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    Originally Posted by wincel View Post
    I just looked at the graph. I didn't read the paper.

    I just want to know why 1 M sounds so insane to you guys. I'm seeing ppl saying 60k a day isn't possible in 30 something days. Why not?
    Maybe you just don't know how to maths.
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