How many USA Coronavirus deaths by 5/1?

[ImpressiveGainz]

Well I just found out bill gates agrees with me too so w/e u say about my pov ur also saying about him

and i do not think i am wrong.

I predict 1-2M us deaths and 10-20M globally. I predict most of the deaths will come before May 1. I do not believe our social distancing measures have been very effective because we haven't done a legit nazi lockdown.

Bill Gates has been railing on uncontrollable population growth for years...he's all about eugenics. Take from that what you will.

And of course you don't think you're wrong; you're a narcissist. Unfortunately, it also means when you are proven to be wrong, you'll never admit it and fall back on some "but the models said!" nonsense argument. Whatever, *******.

[wincel]

Bill Gates has been railing on uncontrollable population growth for years...he's all about eugenics. Take from that what you will.

And of course you don't think you're wrong; you're a narcissist. Unfortunately, it also means when you are proven to be wrong, you'll never admit it and fall back on some "but the models said!" nonsense argument. Whatever, *******.

Is he wrong? Exponential growth is fuking dangerous. I never said I knew the future. I said it was a guess, and I explained why my guess made sense. You are reacting emotionally because you don't like my prediction. You're a triggered snowflake.

[Dave22reborn]

Good post.

Deep down they know this, which is why they keep talking about China. These guys legit have to have an enemy to hate when anything negatively impacts America. If a meteorite came down and blew a 200 mile crater into Kansas, it would be something political.

The virus came from China, did it not?

[Dave22reborn]

Well I just found out bill gates agrees with me too so w/e u say about my pov ur also saying about him

and i do not think i am wrong.

I predict 1-2M us deaths and 10-20M globally. I predict most of the deaths will come before May 1. I do not believe our social distancing measures have been very effective because we haven't done a legit nazi lockdown.

I also fear the possibility of another mutation, political and economic instability leading to revolution, and a potential new world war. The death tolls could be very severe. But yea that's my guess. Take it or suck my dick.

10-20 million will die worldwide before May 1st? **** son, I was sort of joking about you being retarded, but now I'm being serious. You may truly be retarded.

[FatBallz]

Bill Gates has been railing on uncontrollable population growth for years...he's all about eugenics. Take from that what you will.

And of course you don't think you're wrong; you're a narcissist. Unfortunately, it also means when you are proven to be wrong, you'll never admit it and fall back on some "but the models said!" nonsense argument. Whatever, *******.

It takes a big man to admit he's wrong. Wincel is not a big man.

[SillieBazzillie]

Bill Gates has been railing on uncontrollable population growth for years...he's all about eugenics. Take from that what you will.

And of course you don't think you're wrong; you're a narcissist. Unfortunately, it also means when you are proven to be wrong, you'll never admit it and fall back on some "but the models said!" nonsense argument. Whatever, *******.

omfg you just described Trump to a T. Yet you never seem to have an issue with his constant lying and "I take no resposibility"

Plus Trump is clearly a moron.

[SillieBazzillie]

It takes a big man to admit he's wrong. Wincel is not a big man.

bahahaha

you can not make this chit up...I can't even with you people...SMH

[JoshSP1985]

10-20 million will die worldwide before May 1st? **** son, I was sort of joking about you being retarded, but now I'm being serious. You may truly be retarded.

Too early to make that call bro. Hopefully Wincel is wrong but it is too early.

[FatBallz]

bahahaha

you can not make this chit up...I can't even with you people...SMH

I knew somebody would relate it to Trump.

I'll admit, I think it is a character flaw and it makes him look like a douchebag sometimes, but it's a minor issue and doesn't outweigh the positives.

Most people will take that over old Dementia Joe any day.

[wincel]

10-20 million will die worldwide before May 1st? **** son, I was sort of joking about you being retarded, but now I'm being serious. You may truly be retarded.

I think most of if not all of the deaths will come before may 1 at these rates. It is possible that a nazi lockdown can buy us some more time.

[JUSA]

I think most of if not all of the deaths will come before may 1 at these rates. It is possible that a nazi lockdown can buy us some more time.

1-2 million deaths all told, with 'most' coming before May 1. I'll give you the best case on all that, 1 million, most being 50% and just call it May 1.

So, on May 1, 500,000 deaths in the USA. We'll know really by tomorrow, if not today's figures, how reasonable that one is. We would need to see exponential growth in the deaths, which I will note: you hope does not happen.

(In thousands) 1 --> 2 --> 4 --> 8 --> 16 --> 32 --> 64 --> 128 --> 256 --> more-or-less 500, that's 8 exponential jumps total with roughly 30 days to get there. So, we'd have to see a doubling every 3.5-4ish days. So 2k on Sunday, 4k by the 2cnd, 8k by Sunday 4/5, etc... and we'll see here shortly how close/short your lowest predicted #s are.

[ImpressiveGainz]

Is he wrong? Exponential growth is fuking dangerous. I never said I knew the future. I said it was a guess, and I explained why my guess made sense. You are reacting emotionally because you don't like my prediction. You're a triggered snowflake.

He wants there to be less people on Earth. You tell me.

You never said guess. Ever. You said the models are showing this, then when the models were revised, you refused to admit you're wrong. *******.

I'm not acting emotionally whatsoever, *******. Scientifically prove I am. Show me the math.

[Slayermanlet]

Deep down they know this, which is why they keep talking about China. These guys legit have to have an enemy to hate when anything negatively impacts America. If a meteorite came down and blew a 200 mile crater into Kansas, it would be something political.

So true. The house of cards can only be propped up by never-ending global militarism, which is why the people always need a foreign enemy to channel their impotent bile towards.

Nationalists in America are so incredibly flexible and adaptable. They can seamlessly pivot from hating on muslims, to latin Americans, to Chinese - as soon as their political masters blow the dog whistle!

[wincel]

He wants there to be less people on Earth. You tell me.

You never said guess. Ever. You said the models are showing this, then when the models were revised, you refused to admit you're wrong. *******.

I'm not acting emotionally whatsoever, *******. Scientifically prove I am. Show me the math.

What was revised? wtf u talkin about kid? this is exponential growth...we fuked

[Dave22reborn]

I think most of if not all of the deaths will come before may 1 at these rates. It is possible that a nazi lockdown can buy us some more time.

Right now the worldwide death toll is 25 thousand, and you expect it to reach 20 million in 33 days?

Thought you were supposed to be a mathematician?

[wincel]

Right now the worldwide death toll is 25 thousand, and you expect it to reach 20 million in 33 days?

Thought you were supposed to be a mathematician?

Wait and see. And yes, that is how exponentials work goofus.

[ImpressiveGainz]

What was revised? wtf u talkin about kid? this is exponential growth...we fuked

Did you totally miss the whole, "We thought it'd be 500k deaths, but really it's like 20k," thing?

https://www.dailywire.com/news/epide...-revises-model

You're willfully ignoring that because it doesn't fit your narrative.

[AltarOfPlagues]

mirin poll accuracy gj misc braws

[wincel]

Did you totally miss the whole, "We thought it'd be 500k deaths, but really it's like 20k," thing?

https://www.dailywire.com/news/epide...-revises-model

You're willfully ignoring that because it doesn't fit your narrative.

That was UK. And I said 20k is reasonable for them. They have like 68M people and are quarantining. The guy also said no quarantine = 500k. Seems like that makes sense. He didn't backtrack anything. He said the lockdown was helping.

IDK why u are so upset about my prediction. You can just wait and see what happens.

[ImpressiveGainz]

That was UK. And I said 20k is reasonable for them. They have like 68M people and are quarantining. The guy also said no quarantine = 500k. Seems like that makes sense.

That wasn't your claim, idiot. You JUST posted this:

Wait and see. And yes, that is how exponentials work goofus.

So...which is it? If the UK has 68 million people and the US has 330 million, or about 5X as much, that means we'd expect 100k deaths according to that model, which is an order of magnitude under your 1 million. Or are you going to try to wiggle out of this one, too?

Admit you're wrong, *******.

[wincel]

That wasn't your claim, idiot. You JUST posted this:



So...which is it? If the UK has 68 million people and the US has 330 million, or about 5X as much, that means we'd expect 100k deaths according to that model, which is an order of magnitude under your 1 million. Or are you going to try to wiggle out of this one, too?

Admit you're wrong, *******.

We are not the same as the UK. I expect us to lose about 1 mill or more.

I will admit I am wrong if I am wrong on May 1. You will have to wait til then to see.

Also they already have 759 deaths so I am guessing they will have way more than 20k bruh.

[AltarOfPlagues]

We are not the same as the UK. I expect us to lose about 1 mill or more.

I will admit I am wrong if I am wrong on May 1. You will have to wait til then to see.

for 2 million people to die in the next 4.5 weeks we need to average 63k deaths per day starting today

are you brain damaged?

[JoshSP1985]

We are not the same as the UK. I expect us to lose about 1 mill or more.

I will admit I am wrong if I am wrong on May 1. You will have to wait til then to see.

I suggest having to post a picture wearing a dunce cap with the word misc written on it.

[ImpressiveGainz]

We are not the same as the UK. I expect us to lose about 1 mill or more.

I will admit I am wrong if I am wrong on May 1. You will have to wait til then to see.

Also they already have 759 deaths so I am guessing they will have way more than 20k bruh.

You'll be "permabanned" again by then...

[GaloisTheory]

Did you totally miss the whole, "We thought it'd be 500k deaths, but really it's like 20k," thing?

https://www.dailywire.com/news/epide...-revises-model

You're willfully ignoring that because it doesn't fit your narrative.

Wrong. He predicted around 20k if locked down and 500k if no actions were taken. Both of those numbers come from the same exact study and are even listed in the same exact table. There was no revision. There was no new estimate. That was a blatant lie you gullible morons ate up because it did fit your narrative.

[ImpressiveGainz]

for 2 million people to die in the next 4.5 weeks we need to average 63k deaths per day starting today

are you brain damaged?

LOL you don't understand how math works, loser!

[wincel]

for 2 million people to die in the next 4.5 weeks we need to average 63k deaths per day starting today

are you brain damaged?

Exponentials don't work that way. It ramps up. Watch.

[ImpressiveGainz]

Wrong. He predicted around 20k if locked down and 500k if no actions were taken. Both of those numbers come from the same exact study and are even listed in the same exact table. There was no revision. There was no new estimate. That was a blatant lie you gullible morons ate it because it did fit your narrative.

After just one day of ordered lockdowns in the U.K., Ferguson is presenting drastically downgraded estimates, crediting lockdown measures, but also revealing that far more people likely have the virus than his team figured.

You can't even lie properly.

[wincel]

Lose 1 million or more, good lord no.

I hope I'm wrong.

[GaloisTheory]

You can't even lie properly.

Because this is apparently too difficult for you to follow

What you said,

Did you totally miss the whole, "We thought it'd be 500k deaths, but really it's like 20k," thing?.

Is a flat out lie.

Wrong. He predicted around 20k if locked down and 500k if no actions were taken. Both of those numbers come from the same exact study and are even listed in the same exact table. There was no revision. There was no new estimate. That was a blatant lie you gullible morons ate up because it did fit your narrative.