How many USA Coronavirus deaths by 5/1?

[XterraRob]

possibly but then why the exponential growth in deaths and cases? Doesn't make sense for testing itself to grow exponentially nor does it make sense that we would be in late stages and still see exponential growth.

Because we may already be deeper in the curve than we think. Remember, testing was limited previously, and that dictated treatment too. They're still catching up.

[Dave22reborn]

Daily reminder that cuck22reborn is a complete and utter retard.


Best to become fluent in spastic, and only use single syllable words, if you absolutely have to reply to him.

Who the **** are you? And you guys make it sound like the UK is doing a great job handling this crisis.

[BadLee]

Now it is 1290

[Weightaholic]

Because we may already be deeper in the curve than we think. Remember, testing was limited previously, and that dictated treatment too. They're still catching up.

Your curve is still increasing exponentially.

[Brahristotle]

Going for 160k

[LukeLissen]

~3,000 total deaths April 1st

~7,500 total deaths April 7th

- peak deaths/day April 8th

~10-15,000 total deaths April 31st

business and life outside of healthcare getting back to normal mostly by May 1st

virus mostly gone in the US by mid-June and gone in July

[FatBallz]

~3,000 total deaths April 1st

~7,500 total deaths April 7th

- peak deaths/day April 8th

~10-15,000 total deaths April 31st

business and life outside of healthcare getting back to normal mostly by May 1st

virus mostly gone in the US by mid-June and gone in July

Gotta check with Wincel to see if the math checks out.

He knows his stuff. He performed the calculations to determine that we will be in a full scale nuclear war by the end of the decade. It's science bro.

[El Conquistador]

Gotta check with Wincel to see if the math checks out.

He knows his stuff. He performed the calculations to determine that we will be in a full scale nuclear war by the end of the decade. It's science bro.

I would offer up a ban bet to him, but a) he doesn't do ban bets, and b) he would just make two dozen alt accts if he lost because this forum is all he's got and he knows it.

[maverickTT1]

10k

[wincel]

Because we may already be deeper in the curve than we think. Remember, testing was limited previously, and that dictated treatment too. They're still catching up.

late phase it won't look exponential

[Weightaholic]

late phase it won't look exponential

I don't think a lot of these folk are smart enough to understand this. They can't believe that anything outside their own personal experience may actually happen.

[Cleveland33]

I don't think a lot of these folk are smart enough to understand this. They can't believe that anything outside their own personal experience may actually happen.

Don't equate believing with supporting. I believe it could get bad - I don't think it warrants the response.

[Dave22reborn]

I don't think a lot of these folk are smart enough to understand this. They can't believe that anything outside their own personal experience may actually happen.

Okay, how many Australian deaths by 5/1?

[wincel]

I don't think a lot of these folk are smart enough to understand this. They can't believe that anything outside their own personal experience may actually happen.

You can plainly see the death chart is exponential. Problem is most of the Trumpers here have a shoddy background in biology and math. A lot of people grossly underestimate growth. They are in for a reality check. By May, there will almost certainly be more than 20k dead.

[Cleveland33]

what is the cutoff of deaths for this to be "bad," globally?

50k?

100k?

a million?

[JoshSP1985]

what is the cutoff of deaths for this to be "bad," globally?

50k?

100k?

a million?

Well Influenza does 250-500k deaths per year globally. So over 5 mill COVID is probably "bad" territory.

[sooby]

with all the measures in place right now, testing ramping up and increasing, scientists figuring out more and gathering more data so we know more about the virus, more informed and better policies.

I don't think this tops 6K by May 1st, which is probably equivalent to a really bad flu. the social measures put in place take awhile to kick in, or perhaps we are further along the virus lifecycle and near saturation. I think the number of deaths will slow down immensely. We'll probably hit 2K by Mar 31, probably another 4K deaths in April.

[wincel]

When all is said and done, I am guessing about 10-20M will die from this virus globally.

[Dave22reborn]

You can plainly see the death chart is exponential. Problem is most of the Trumpers here have a shoddy background in biology and math. A lot of people grossly underestimate growth. They are in for a reality check. By May, there will almost certainly be more than 20k dead.

So Whackjob, how about you also **** off if you're wrong?

[Cleveland33]

Well Influenza does 250-500k deaths per year globally. So over 5 mill COVID is probably "bad" territory.

That's about where I am. Anything under 1M is sad but by no means earth shattering

[wincel]

with all the measures in place right now, testing ramping up and increasing, scientists figuring out more and gathering more data so we know more about the virus, more informed and better policies.

I don't think this tops 6K, which is probably equivalent to a really bad flu. the social measures put in place take awhile to kick in, or perhaps we are further along the virus lifecycle and near saturation.

It should be 6k within a week or so.

[wincel]

So Whackjob, how about you also **** off if you're wrong?

Nope. I can't read the future. Not gonna bet anything on it.

[Dave22reborn]

When all is said and done, I am guessing about 10-20M will die from this virus globally.

If it gets that bad, someone like you won't die from the virus. You'll probably starve to death because daddy will be gone, and you cant take care of yourself.

[Fishman15]

Quoting for future reference lol

I think some on the left are hoping for that many...

[Dave22reborn]

It should be 6k within a week or so.

How about taking a first step towards being a man, and admitting you were wrong if this doesn't come true?

[sooby]

It should be 6k within a week or so.

if you are so sure then and state it as if you're nostradamus put your account where your mouth is. You're insulting people that you say lack knowledge in math and biology yet you can't even back or have confidence in your own numbers. Or at the very least don't come up with some coping excuse when you are wrong. BuT dEaThS aRe GrOwInG exponentially.

I will bump this thread by the end of March 3 and see if the numbers match up to your 6K in a week and May 1st to see if it matches to above 20K like you are saying.

[sawoobley]

You can plainly see the death chart is exponential. Problem is most of the Trumpers here have a shoddy background in biology and math. A lot of people grossly underestimate growth. They are in for a reality check. By May, there will almost certainly be more than 20k dead.

The scientists are already predicting the deaths reaching the top of the curve in about two to three weeks. Things should slow down soon if people practice social distancing.

[Cleveland33]

wait is 6,000 in four months a lot? Or something to freak out about?

[wincel]

How about taking a first step towards being a man, and admitting you were wrong if this doesn't come true?

ofc I will admit I am wrong if that happens, and I will be very pleasantly surprised...but I don't think I will be wrong

[wincel]

if you are so sure then and state it as if you're nostradamus put your account where your mouth is. You're insulting people that you say lack knowledge in math and biology yet you can't even back or have confidence in your own numbers. Or at the very least don't come up with some coping excuse when you are wrong. BuT dEaThS aRe GrOwInG exponentially.

I will bump this thread by the end of March 3 and see if the numbers match up to your 6K in a week and May 1st to see if it matches to above 20K like you are saying.

Well I can't read the future bro. It's just a guess.