How many USA Coronavirus deaths by 5/1?

[wincel]

I assume at least 75% of people in encounter day to day are retarded.... so

Well if ppl get bored and decide to go out in 2 weeks, my million estimate will probably be pretty accurate.

That's what that 500k -> 20k uk study guy was saying. No distancing = 500k. The growth factor is very sensitive to distancing as indicated in the video. The video isn't using a full sophisticated model but the point is the same here.

[cromofo]

15k minimum, conservatively

My 1-2k prediction until April 1 is already toast

[kingmanaverage]

US at 2k now, hopefullt the curve is flattened soon.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

[wincel]

2kcels are out...20k cels next

[Mr Beer]

Australia has cut daily new cases after ramping up the rules. Nowhere that has public gatherings is open, no gatherings of more than 10 people, but schools and most retail stores are open. Our daily new cases have dropped over the past few days. The US is behind us because they lack central organisation but I think it's coming soon as people chit themselves over whats happening so it should slow down fairly soon. At least I hope so.

EDIT

I'm a 20K-cel but that's based on the US leadership and population not behaving like absolute fuktards so you know...I'm not planning to die on that hill. Kind of concerning that GOP voters are way more likely to be in the 'it's just a flu bra' camp than they should be.

[JesseV87]

Kind of concerning that GOP voters are way more likely to be in the 'it's just a flu bra' camp than they should be.

At this point it's willful ignorance.

[|ceman]

Yeah, I just looked again. Still don't think we hit the 2k mark.

this post aged well.

Clearly you know nothing at all and are just talking out of your ass, spattering verbal diahrrea on the forums.

[|ceman]

Deaths doubled in two days boyos. Case fatality rate is also getting higher, now at 1.6%. And hospital systems aren't even hitting crisis capacity levels yet.

A lot can happen in 30 days, but unfortunately we will easily hit 100,000. How much beyond that depends on the federal government response.

[nyp9773]

We're at what, ~600 deaths now, if that number is even accurate. I don't think it'll be much over 1k, honestly, and everyone who does die will be really old or have some condition that would cause them to die if they got a cold.

Are we counting the morons who self-suicide by fish cleaner?

There’s apparently three types of people in New Braunfels Texas.

stupid, stupider, and stupidest

You would be stupidest.

[Reliance012]

Mentioned this in the main thread, but almost a quarter of all US deaths have come in the last 24 hours.

[isingmodel]

this post aged well.

Clearly you know nothing at all and are just talking out of your ass, spattering verbal diahrrea on the forums.

That guy is legit fukkin retarded.

And yeah, just saw today's big jump in deaths. You burgers really need to stay safe and actually practice social distancing religiously. This just isn't the kind of thing where you want to stubbornly hang on to your initial carelessness as it actually spreads and starts killing more and more.

[kingmanaverage]

The 20,000 figure is becoming more and more of a plausability which is alarming. 200 more deaths in 2 hours!!!! 2202 dead now...

[wincel]

That guy is legit fukkin retarded.

And yeah, just saw today's big jump in deaths. You burgers really need to stay safe and actually practice social distancing religiously. This just isn't the kind of thing where you want to stubbornly hang on to your initial carelessness as it actually spreads and starts killing more and more.

They don't listen. They were thinking this would end this or next week...They aren't mentally ready for the massive chitstorm coming.

[|ceman]

The 20,000 figure is becoming more and more of a plausability which is alarming. 200 more deaths in 2 hours!!!! 2202 dead now...

and we haven't even started to slow down the number of new cases. Knowing deaths lag behind new case identification, the acceleration of deaths is still happening. 100,000 deaths by May 1 is my low estimate

[wincel]

BeReRkERdannyg1217dj006xxGefellgwem32170191ifistho leImpressiveGainzKhumatMibrampomerleMyLastSerenade ProctaRamoneb87RoldzTEGGSRB18C1WIBELZ

confirmed retarded

2kcels on suicide watch

[Slayermanlet]

BeReRkERdannyg1217dj006xxGefellgwem32170191ifistho leImpressiveGainzKhumatMibrampomerleMyLastSerenade ProctaRamoneb87RoldzTEGGSRB18C1WIBELZ

confirmed retarded

2kcels on suicide watch

Honestly you have to be a complete and utter moron to have predicted <2K

[Cazken]

Deaths around 1,700 today, and in Wincel's defense (or rather defending his ideas about exponential growth), the growth rate is increasing daily it seems. I don't agree with him, I'll explain more in detail why in a second, but ignoring his position simply because of his many personal flaws isn't quite right at this point (or, honestly at any point before either).

To try and explain his position, or at least as I understood it, the daily deaths are going to increase. Maybe it was only a handful yesterday or the day before, but if it increases by 100 every day, that's cumulative, every day it's more on top of the already growing number. And then, maybe it's not 100 more every day, it's more and more and more, at some point it's 1,000 or 1,000s more every day than the day before. If that never slows down or peaks, or only does so after massive growth, then the numbers would be huge.

Now, I still do not think that is the case and I hope I am right. I think while there is still a lot of room for potential growth of the spread (millions and millions who haven't been exposed who are targets), I think our leadership has taken a lot of steps, that despite there being a lot of dumb (mostly young) kids ignoring social distancing that widely overall people have taken it seriously and I also have a lot of faith in this country and it's people to pull together. Trump has enacted wartime powers to push production of ventilators, something like 1/2 a million volunteers stood up and such. I also don't see our situation anything like Italy, who had awful leadership, a weak infrastructure teetering on collapse anyway and a lot less faith in their people to come together vs. Americans (sorry, I think this country has proven time and time again we're made of sterner stuff, particularly when compared to Italy at least).

I think the biggest drawback we have right now isn't our leadership, whether it's Trump or most Democrats, our medical foundation or our people, but the media who seems actively working against everyone's best interest, actively sucking China's dick, actively censoring in strange ways and actively trying to politicize this in a time when we need to come together.

well, there isn’t that many old ppl to go around you know. i think it might be peaking around now and it will drop down, cuz ppl who are gonna get it will have gotten it already relatively quickly, people who are quarantined/good immune system are safe

[|ceman]

well, there isn’t that many old ppl to go around you know. i think it might be peaking around now and it will drop down, cuz ppl who are gonna get it will have gotten it already relatively quickly, people who are quarantined/good immune system are safe

It's not peaking yet. The rate of new cases per day is still growing exponentially.

[SillieBazzillie]

They don't listen. They were thinking this would end this or next week...They aren't mentally ready for the massive chitstorm coming.

Gee. I wonder where they get their info from?

[wincel]

Gee. I wonder where they get their info from?

probably a man...a certain very orange man...a very bad orange man

[TrinnieBuu]

I am personally hoping it’s only around 40k fatalities by May 1st (voted 20-50k a while back). Hopefully all the morons still throwing parties to prove a point stop being morons.

Saw some “news article” about a N.Y. dad refusing entry to his 21 year old son who won’t cancel spring break and went anyway. Gave him some groceries and sent him back to his college town. Maybe parents of Gen Z out there can take a hard stand like this.

[ImpressiveGainz]

this post aged well.

Clearly you know nothing at all and are just talking out of your ass, spattering verbal diahrrea on the forums.

Go **** yourself, retard. Seriously. Reveling in death...

[voltio8836]

My honest prediction:

Italy population: 60 mil

US population 330 mil

5.5x

Italy will peak at 18K probably

18 x 5.5 = 100K

100K is my prediction

[JesseV87]

Go **** yourself, retard. Seriously. Reveling in death...

Pointing out your willful ignorance =/= reveling in death.

[SillieBazzillie]

Go **** yourself, retard. Seriously. Reveling in death...

Reveling in death?

Da phuk is wrong with you? Just admit you were wrong as wrong could be and move on.

[|ceman]

Go **** yourself, retard. Seriously. Reveling in death...

when will you stop sharting all over the forum with your stupidity?

You know nothing about anything.

[PlanoLifter]

Dr. Fauci predicts 100k-200k US deaths:

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/worl...-avoid-travel/

According to the article:

The confirmed global death toll surpassed 31,000 and new virus epicentres emerged in U.S. cities like Detroit, New Orleans and Chicago. Even rural America has not been immune, as virus hot spots erupt in Midwestern towns and Rocky Mountain ski havens.

Spain and Italy alone account for more than half of the world’s death toll, and are still seeing over 800 deaths a day each.

Experts say, however, that virus toll numbers across the world are being seriously under-represented because of limited testing and political decisions about which bodies to count. Unlike the U.S., France and Italy do not count deaths that take place at home or in nursing homes, even though nursing homes are known coronavirus incubators around the world.

[wincel]

Dr. Fauci predicts 100k-200k deaths:

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/worl...-avoid-travel/

According to the article:

The confirmed global death toll surpassed 31,000 and new virus epicentres emerged in U.S. cities like Detroit, New Orleans and Chicago. Even rural America has not been immune, as virus hot spots erupt in Midwestern towns and Rocky Mountain ski havens.

Spain and Italy alone account for more than half of the world’s death toll, and are still seeing over 800 deaths a day each.

Experts say, however, that virus toll numbers across the world are being seriously under-represented because of limited testing and political decisions about which bodies to count. Unlike the U.S., France and Italy do not count deaths that take place at home or in nursing homes, even though nursing homes are known coronavirus incubators around the world.

lol and that is if we honor distancing...if not, welcome to 1M+

[JUSA]

Came in bc we’re @ 2K, looks like that’s already been reported here. I voted 2-20k but felt like it was closer to 2 than 20, which is now unlikely.

Hopefully it’s still below 20,000 - really depends on the rate. Does it continue to grow every day, flatline or (eventually) drop off.

Right now, while any death is tragic, 2,000 people in a country of 320,000,000 is minor, it goes right back to Wincel’s fears, and whether this thing is just getting started or not

[JewishSuperHero]

I voted 20k to 50k. Thinking it’ll be on the lower side of that. We had 1000 deaths on Thursday. Now today, on Sunday, we’re at 2000 deaths. And there’s no sign on slow down. I’m expecting it to really ramp up in the next two weeks. Especially once it starts hitting the Midwest and then the west coast.