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  1. #1
    Registered User deadwoodgregg's Avatar
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    Realtime Coronavirus Stats

    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/


    1st confirmed case in China - November 17

    1st confirmed death in China - January 9
    Last edited by deadwoodgregg; 03-23-2020 at 03:49 PM.
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    Originally Posted by deadwoodgregg View Post
    Interesting to see the variations in cases/million in the population. Varies from 0.02 in Uganda (probably way under-reported, or else not too many contacts with the rest of the world) to 5,158 in San Marino, which is of course a small principality inside Italy.

    I'm sure it will change fast.
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    Registered User deadwoodgregg's Avatar
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    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/


    I see that there are no numbers from North Korea. 86%-90% of North Korea's trade is with China.

    Kinda questioning the numbers from India, Russia, and Mexico so far. That is a lot of population.

    US numbers are exploding now.

    Smaller new case numbers in China and South Korea are encouraging.

    Spain and Italy have seen more than their fair share of cases.




    William Schaffner of Vanderbilt University stated, "I think it's unlikely that this coronavirus—because it's so readily transmissible—will disappear completely" and "might turn into a seasonal disease, making a comeback every year". The virulence of the comeback would depend on herd immunity and the extent of mutation.
    Last edited by deadwoodgregg; 03-23-2020 at 03:31 PM.
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    Weak and foolish OldFartTom's Avatar
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    Unfortunately the underlying data is difficult and some predictions are difficult to read. For example worst case scenario (involving 70% of population being infected and no public health interventions or behavioural changes) predicted 550,0000 deaths in UK before Aug 1st due to the virus. However... approx 500-600 000 people die each year in UK, and the people who'd die from Corona are predominantly elderly people with serious underlying health issues, some of whom may have died in that period anyway.

    So how many might die from Corona virus who wouldn't have died anyway in this period. These kind of numbers are proving particularly difficult to predict due to so many unknowns. Yes it's bad... very bad, but exactly how bad? only time will tell.

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    High Plains Lifter Mark1T's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by deadwoodgregg View Post
    William Schaffner of Vanderbilt University stated, "I think it's unlikely that this coronavirus—because it's so readily transmissible—will disappear completely" and "might turn into a seasonal disease, making a comeback every year". The virulence of the comeback would depend on herd immunity and the extent of mutation.
    This is true. But, there will be treatments in the relative short-term and a vaccine eventually.
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    Humble Megalomaniac ElrondHubbard's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by deadwoodgregg View Post
    I see that there are no numbers from North Korea. 86%-90% of North Korea's trade is with China.

    Kinda questioning the numbers from India, Russia, and Mexico so far. That is a lot of population.

    US numbers are exploding now.

    Smaller new case numbers in China and South Korea are encouraging.

    Spain and Italy have seen more than their fair share of cases.




    William Schaffner of Vanderbilt University stated, "I think it's unlikely that this coronavirus—because it's so readily transmissible—will disappear completely" and "might turn into a seasonal disease, making a comeback every year". The virulence of the comeback would depend on herd immunity and the extent of mutation.
    The bottom line is we're really going to need a vaccine.
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  7. #7
    Nihilist Karl_Hungus's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by deadwoodgregg View Post
    I see that there are no numbers from North Korea. 86%-90% of North Korea's trade is with China.

    Kinda questioning the numbers from India, Russia, and Mexico so far. That is a lot of population.

    US numbers are exploding now.
    Yeah, as I posted in another thread, it looks like the number of cases are doubling every 2 days. If the trend continues, we will have 100k cases by Wed/Thurs and 200K by Saturday. I suspect the number of actual cases is grossly underestimated. Where I live, they won't even test you unless you are seriously ill.
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    Nihilist Karl_Hungus's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by ElrondHubbard View Post
    The bottom line is we're really going to need a vaccine.
    That will be awhile. Hopefully the drug combos (chloroquine/azithromycin) pan out and at least reduce severity enough to keep people out of the hospital.
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  9. #9
    Squats and Milk Bando's Avatar
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    Can we just have one or 2 Corona threads? Thanks.
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    Weak and foolish OldFartTom's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by Bando View Post
    Can we just have one or 2 Corona threads? Thanks.
    WHY?? These are the forums for coronabuilding.com. What do mean

    Edit: agree with Bando, we should combine Corona threads into 1

    Here's a suitably misc link, it combines the themes of coronavirus and Harvey Weinstein, both of whom seem to be misc "favourites"
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-52000173 the poor man, he walks with a frame too, what more misfortune could fall on such a pillar of society?
    Last edited by OldFartTom; 03-23-2020 at 01:41 AM.
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  11. #11
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    Thanks for this OP I posted this on FB as well since on my feed there are a bunch of fcking idiots spewing false information.
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  12. #12
    Registered User deadwoodgregg's Avatar
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    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/


    Unless my math is wrong (county education) Italy's CV death rate is at 9.5%.

    Iran (7.8%) and Spain (6.6%) rates are high as well.

    US is at about 1.25 % currently.

    South Korea 1.2%

    China is about 4%



    I read somewhere that the worldwide peak for this will be around August at the latest.


    Bats and virus

    https://www.sciencedaily.com/release...0210144854.htm

    https://www.sciencedaily.com/release...0317175442.htm

    https://www.paysonroundup.com/covid-...55674d741.html
    Last edited by deadwoodgregg; 03-23-2020 at 04:51 PM.
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    This is from today, from Johns Hopkins.
    They are a leader in today's medicine.

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  14. #14
    Finally accused of juicin Corbi's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by deadwoodgregg View Post
    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/


    Unless my math is wrong (county education) Italy's CV death rate is at 9.5%.

    Iran (7.8%) and Spain (6.6%) rates are high as well.

    US is at about 1.25 % currently.

    South Korea 1.2%

    China is about 4%



    I read somewhere that the worldwide peak for this will be around August at the latest.

    I have stated this before but will repeat it, without knowing how many actually have this covid 19 any death number percentages are incorrect. We could and probably do have 10's of millions of people infected here in the USA but for various reasons they are not & most likely will never be tested.

    Originally Posted by smokinal View Post
    This is from today, from Johns Hopkins.
    They are a leader in today's medicine.

    Bingo, you win a cookie. We freak over this new variation but the old ones that kill far more people gets the country locked down...why?
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