China's going to fuk us no matter what. So, some kind of deal for the positive psychological effect is better than no deal.
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11-13-2019, 08:45 PM #31
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11-13-2019, 08:54 PM #32
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11-13-2019, 08:56 PM #33
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11-13-2019, 09:10 PM #34
- Join Date: Jun 2008
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11-13-2019, 09:13 PM #35
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11-13-2019, 09:24 PM #36
well the kids will have graduated college and I'll see what they've left me in taxable accounts. In the tax deferred accounts I plan to keep on the rebalancing of my portfolio to be inline with my retirement horizon. I do believe we'll have a recession sooner rather than later (we're overdue) and I'm well positioned for it.
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11-13-2019, 09:38 PM #37
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11-13-2019, 09:42 PM #38
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11-13-2019, 10:14 PM #39
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11-13-2019, 10:36 PM #40
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11-14-2019, 12:37 AM #41
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11-14-2019, 01:01 AM #42
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11-14-2019, 01:44 AM #43
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11-14-2019, 02:14 AM #44
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This week I moved 50% of portfolio into bonds. Regardless of my feelings for Trump, I'd rather lock in most gains and risk missing another 10% upside than a 40% downside. I've been doing this for the last couple years. If the market falls back 10%+, I'll start moving back into mostly equities.
As old as I am I'm getting pretty risk adverse. Thank goodness for social security.Early AM workout crew.
Holy crap dude, Satan's huge crew.
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11-14-2019, 06:21 AM #45
Invested a large sum and stared making monthly contributions from collected rent.
If you've investing only, I can't help - but there are plenty of instruments and tactics out there that will allow you to make big money in a falling market if you swing or day trade. Learn about them.
Optimally, I'd like to profit take and then get back in after the dust settles.
Maybe I am overthinking it but I can easily see the late 2020 market being a train wreck.Last edited by nosirrahx; 11-14-2019 at 06:30 AM.
Eat in a deficit to lose weight.
Hit your protein and fat minimums to stay healthy and keep your gainz.
Lift heavy and do HIIT to look and feel awesome.
Use the internet to learn why you should do these things and how to do these things.
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11-14-2019, 06:28 AM #46
Don't forget that things had plateaued at the end of Obama's presidency and he and others were telling everyone to brace for downturns, lower GDP, etc. Trump came along and said fcuk that, were getting 3+% growth. Obama said Trump didn't have a magic wand...
And then trump comes in, shakes things up for that American is no longer the whipping boy of the world, and boom. An economy that everyone said was juiced is thriving. Funny how that works.
I think there are important geopolitical aspects to the economy that most are overlooking. Trump is looking to do a complete financial reset, and he positioned for this from day 1. Tax cuts to encourage companies to stay or return to America. New trade deals that favor the US. Tariffs for china and others and doing big trade deals around china to squeeze them out of the equation or to get them to negotiate. USMCA, as soon as the dems get off their ass to sign it, says that 75% of cars are going to be made in north America. This will squeeze germany to get audi, Mercedes, BMW, etc. factories over here if they want to keep the US market.
Everything has been strategically done to improve our economy from day 1, despite resistance every step along the way. An establishment dem will destroy that faster than you can blink an eye.
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11-14-2019, 06:29 AM #47
Not 30, maybe 15 or so. We got started at an amazing time though, when the Dow was ~22,500. Pure coincidence that we are up this much but it is what it is and we are way ahead of projections.
Like you are saying with the long game though, its an insignificant amount of time. If we pulled out in July 2020 and got back in January 2021 worst case we lose 6 months. Best case we profit take and buy back in at a lower point.Eat in a deficit to lose weight.
Hit your protein and fat minimums to stay healthy and keep your gainz.
Lift heavy and do HIIT to look and feel awesome.
Use the internet to learn why you should do these things and how to do these things.
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11-14-2019, 06:29 AM #48
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11-14-2019, 06:30 AM #49
China is feeling the burn. They thought they could get Trump to sign a **** deal considering the upcoming election, and trump said go pound sand. They are holding out hope that a dem will get into office and give them a cupcake deal. If Trump wins, we will beat China. That is our only hope. It takes huge nuts to go against china, and nobody on the left has anywhere close to it.
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11-14-2019, 06:32 AM #50
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11-14-2019, 06:34 AM #51
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11-14-2019, 06:34 AM #52
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11-14-2019, 06:53 AM #53
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11-14-2019, 07:06 AM #54
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11-14-2019, 07:46 AM #55
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11-14-2019, 09:57 AM #56
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11-14-2019, 10:06 AM #57
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11-14-2019, 04:32 PM #58
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11-14-2019, 09:22 PM #59
Saw the title and wondered why this was in R&P. Think that what appears to be the failure to repair the issues at the root of the 2008 crisis are a lot more worrisome than which party is in office.
https://forum.bodybuilding.com/showt...hp?t=177734571
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The global economy is in a synchronized slowdown and we are, once again, downgrading growth for 2019 to 3 percent, its slowest pace since the global financial crisis. ... Overall, trade volume growth in the first half of 2019 has fallen to 1 percent, the weakest level since 2012.
What's more concerning is what negative interest rates signal. The idea that some investors have become so risk averse that they're willing to pay money to store capital in a safe-haven investment like a bond suggests a bleak outlook for the global economy.INTP Crew
Inattentive ADD Crew
Mom That Miscs Crew
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11-15-2019, 11:37 AM #60
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