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  1. #5671
    God loves you Venom08's Avatar
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    Watch the USD/HKD peg.... gonna break soon because pegs have never worked!

  2. #5672
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    I'm getting to watch a P&D from the beginning. I was stuck in the ticker for 2+ years, and the message board was dead. The message board suddenly got active and it jumped .0007 to .005. The accounts are known pumpers, and they loaded now, some probably on free shares. Gonna be interesting to see how high they can get it to go. Other pumper accounts are posting on the board now too.
    EPSC if anyone wants to watch this chit show.

  3. #5673
    mad hatter RobParks2M's Avatar
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    Long:
    LNG, MRO, NFLX $350 calls 8/17 for $3.20 I didn't get many contracts because I am a little concerned about how markets are ending today. Feeling perhaps we see more drops in tech going into next week based on negative news some of which I highlighted down below.

    Short:
    NVDA $240 puts 8/17 $3.10 Basis for this: they revise down or keep flat sales for remainder of year- lower crypto based sales, Tsla no longer buying, and competition from amd in gaming. Holding off on buying many until Monday/Tuesday. Want to minimize decay, but some skin in the game.

    TSLA: $330 puts 8/17 $3.80 Negative news either stemming from Musk tweets of going private or perhaps realization they gotta raise more money, or really anything else that can possibly go wrong.

    Trend is always your friend, but I am thinking perhaps we see a down week.


    EDIT:

    Pumpers out in full force on zerohedge lmao
    Server-chip sales growth expected to jump 78%, compared with Intel’s 27%

    "Nvidia on average is expected to post adjusted earnings of $1.66 a share, up from the $1.47 a share expected at the beginning of the quarter. Estimize, a software platform that uses crowdsourcing from hedge-fund executives, brokerages, buy-side analysts and others, calls for earnings of $1.93 a share"

    lmfao if they aren't setting unrealistic expectations

    ...inb4 20% gain on Friday morning.
    Last edited by RobParks2M; 08-10-2018 at 07:54 PM.
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  4. #5674
    God loves you Venom08's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by Venom08 View Post
    It's not really a Trump market. Look at Europe and china. Europe is uncertain as hell, China has its own problems so they've all been declining as we've been rallying. Simply more foreign investors are abandoning their countries for the US which is seen as the only safe haven.
    Key plays: Stay long US shares market
    Short the EURO
    US$ is king
    Avoid foreign government bonds (especially emerging markets) as they're up to their heads in debt denominated in US$ and a rallying dollar combined with higher interest rates is going to make their ability to pay back their debt and interest on that debt very difficult.
    Originally Posted by Venom08 View Post
    There's going to come a time where gold, the dollar and the stock markets all rally in unison. It's strange to hear but as we enter these turbulent times, that's what will happen. People will lose faith in the government (just look at how splintered the democrat and republican parties have become) and we will see them also lose faith in central banks. They'll simply be shown through the crash and burn that no central body/bank/government can alter the economy and that lack of confidence in government (public sector) will force capital into the private sector. So gold will be seen as a hedge against the government once again and thus it'll rally. Stocks will rise because where else can anyone put their money and get returns, and the dollar will rise to unprecedented levels fueled in large part by the collapse of the Euro and European Union.
    Originally Posted by ctownballer04 View Post
    Where do you get some of the chit you say lol?? Damn near everything you said is incorrect. Europe and EM starting to realize fundamental improvement, while the US is mostly grinding up on soft data. China equities have been the best performer YTD, far outpacing the US. Lastly, foreign govt's have relatively low levels of US$ denominated debt. Foreign sovereigns and corporates have been issuing far more in local currency than US for quite some time now.



    He's been saying crazy chit itt for years.
    From 04/25/2017 (page 32 in this thread)
    All this chit I've been posting about Emerging Markets is starting to come to fruition with what we've seen from Turkey the past few days. Turkey is the first EM country to go. The contagion is starting. A ton of banks rushed in to buy their paper a month ago at 20% with the mindset that a country cannot default. Well let's see how Turkey's hyperinflation in the coming years makes them feel.

    The euro is totally fuked. A weekly close below 1.1165 and it's on to parity, maybe a slight bounce to 1.05, then down to 0.87 real fuking quick.
    Close below 1194 on the gold and it's crash mode on gold too.

    Disclosure: I have built up a position that will net me four figures for every percent that the Euro falls and US$ rises

    Edit: Euro futures gapped down just now

  5. #5675
    mad hatter RobParks2M's Avatar
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    ^What are you holding again? Might be time to relook at whatchu got. Although I'm not certain the Euro is going away in the next 5 years.

    I've been trying to get into a home so I'm on the prowl for something that will net me a downpayment
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  6. #5676
    God loves you Venom08's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by RobParks2M View Post
    ^What are you holding again? Might be time to relook at whatchu got. Although I'm not certain the Euro is going away in the next 5 years.

    I've been trying to get into a home so I'm on the prowl for something that will net me a downpayment
    I've got:
    EUO calls
    FXE puts
    IEMG puts
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    UUP calls are my biggest position

  7. #5677
    mad hatter RobParks2M's Avatar
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    Interesting. What time frame you got?
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  8. #5678
    God loves you Venom08's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by RobParks2M View Post
    Interesting. What time frame you got?
    Dec 2018 and Feb 2019 for most of them. Just bought even more this morning on the slight bounce. Euro is Currently selling off and in the red for the day

    The biggest crash will come once we get a weekly close below 1.1165 which should hopefully be this week.

  9. #5679
    Banned float365's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by Venom08 View Post
    From 04/25/2017 (page 32 in this thread)
    All this chit I've been posting about Emerging Markets is starting to come to fruition with what we've seen from Turkey the past few days. Turkey is the first EM country to go. The contagion is starting. A ton of banks rushed in to buy their paper a month ago at 20% with the mindset that a country cannot default. Well let's see how Turkey's hyperinflation in the coming years makes them feel.

    The euro is totally fuked. A weekly close below 1.1165 and it's on to parity, maybe a slight bounce to 1.05, then down to 0.87 real fuking quick.
    Close below 1194 on the gold and it's crash mode on gold too.

    Disclosure: I have built up a position that will net me four figures for every percent that the Euro falls and US$ rises

    Edit: Euro futures gapped down just now
    I like you

  10. #5680
    mad hatter RobParks2M's Avatar
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    Welp I'm a little nervous now. Put quite a bit of money in NVDA Aug 24th 240 puts for $3.30. I guess we will see. Market feels jittery and uncertain, but hopefully we see a breakout either way. Got netflix for dat dere high flyer gain and NVDA for hopefully bad earnings/forecast revision and should drop quick in the event of tides going out.
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  11. #5681
    God loves you Venom08's Avatar
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    oh damn gold is trading under 1200...

  12. #5682
    born to roam WhAtNoWbChSs's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by Venom08 View Post
    oh damn gold is trading under 1200...
    Are you max bearish yet? Time to go long?

    Venom was a great contrarian indicator in 2016 when gold was at 1120 - calling for a break below 1000.

    Where is Ctownballer? His "consensus play" of long euro short usd sure seems to be turning out wonderfully. Does he have any other gems for us?
    You can walk outside and listen to all kinds of talk, get told you're a god or a total bastard. The iron always kicks you the real deal. It's the great reference point, the all-knowing perspective giver. I have found it to be my greatest friend. It never freaks out on me, never runs. Friends may come and go. But 200 pounds is always 200 pounds.

  13. #5683
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    Originally Posted by WhAtNoWbChSs View Post
    Are you max bearish yet? Time to go long?

    Venom was a great contrarian indicator in 2016 when gold was at 1120 - calling for a break below 1000.

    Where is Ctownballer? His "consensus play" of long euro short usd sure seems to be turning out wonderfully. Does he have any other gems for us?
    If gold closes below 1194 this week then look for a massive crash into October or so. Gold crashing as the US$ rallies is certainly something that makes sense rn.

  14. #5684
    mad hatter RobParks2M's Avatar
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    ^Just ignore the peasant troll. Literally everything he posts he lost money on. Hasn't posted a winning call in ages--- but I have no doubt the second I lose money on something- perhaps netflix or NVDA this week or next week he'll be all over gloating about how great he is and how badly I'm doing. The type of bitch that gets excited when other miscers fail. It is pathetic. Just put him on ignore and stop quoting his posts.
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  15. #5685
    born to roam WhAtNoWbChSs's Avatar
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    My call is to start using overvalued USD to start buying undervalued blue chip ADRs.

    Im in BTI. Just executed first buys on VOD, HSBC and RDS-A. Expecting to average in. The UK also doesn't charge me tax on dividends unlike US.
    You can walk outside and listen to all kinds of talk, get told you're a god or a total bastard. The iron always kicks you the real deal. It's the great reference point, the all-knowing perspective giver. I have found it to be my greatest friend. It never freaks out on me, never runs. Friends may come and go. But 200 pounds is always 200 pounds.

  16. #5686
    born to roam WhAtNoWbChSs's Avatar
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    Oh. Rio Tinto maybe too.
    You can walk outside and listen to all kinds of talk, get told you're a god or a total bastard. The iron always kicks you the real deal. It's the great reference point, the all-knowing perspective giver. I have found it to be my greatest friend. It never freaks out on me, never runs. Friends may come and go. But 200 pounds is always 200 pounds.

  17. #5687
    God loves you Venom08's Avatar
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    The euro is in crash mode rn... pretty crazy but I think it bounces a bit tomorrow and then resumes selling off Thursday/Friday. Should test 1.1165 and once that gives, there's nothing but air until 1.05.
    Currently watching the DJIA. Seems there's 25,050 support with resistance at 25635. Watching for a break of either side to confirm correction or ATHs, respectively.

  18. #5688
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    Originally Posted by WhAtNoWbChSs View Post
    My call is to start using overvalued USD to start buying undervalued blue chip ADRs.

    Im in BTI. Just executed first buys on VOD, HSBC and RDS-A. Expecting to average in. The UK also doesn't charge me tax on dividends unlike US.
    How is the USD overvalued? There's a world economic crisis and there's been a flight to the US$. The troubles in Turkey are just a taste of what's to come. And what has the US$ done in response to TUR? It's rallied.

    Also, it's game over once Draghi begins tapering QE in September and then totally ends it in December. Like there's gonna be zero bids on their long term debt, so you're gonna see crashes like never before.
    Sucks that the EU banned shorting them, but whatever. Just trade it by shorting the Euro.
    Last edited by Venom08; 08-14-2018 at 12:56 PM.

  19. #5689
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    https://www.express.co.uk/news/world...-Angela-Merkel

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-i...-idUSKBN1KY1N2
    Italy's League sees euro collapse without ECB bond guarantee

    Just so you see that I'm not talking nonsense

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    10 years of Failed QE is the reason why all of this mayhem will unfold. So gtfo of any equities markets that aren't American.

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    Manlet Extraordinaire romajc's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by Venom08 View Post
    10 years of Failed QE is the reason why all of this mayhem will unfold. So gtfo of any equities markets that aren't American.
    What about the failed US quantitative easing? What about rising interest rates? How will the US consumer pay off their debts? Record high debt in the US, with rising interest rates and inflation.

    Wouldn't be so confident in the US personally.

    Nothing has changed since 2008 except the bubble is much bigger and we are in much more debt.

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    God loves you Venom08's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by romajc View Post
    What about the failed US quantitative easing? What about rising interest rates? How will the US consumer pay off their debts? Record high debt in the US, with rising interest rates and inflation.

    Wouldn't be so confident in the US personally.

    Nothing has changed since 2008 except the bubble is much bigger and we are in much more debt.
    Lol no. The us is fine economically and unemployment is at record lows. Plus we won’t see the crazy rate spikes Europe and emerging markets will experience.

    Besides, any economic woes in this country will more than be mitigated by foreign capital inflows.

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    Registered Hustler CptClean's Avatar
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    Anyone here invested in Canadian weedstocks? Holy fukk did we ever get owned today thanks a lot Ontario. That entire province should be annexed they do nothing for us but bleed us dry.
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    Originally Posted by Venom08 View Post
    Lol no. The us is fine economically and unemployment is at record lows. Plus we won’t see the crazy rate spikes Europe and emerging markets will experience.

    Besides, any economic woes in this country will more than be mitigated by foreign capital inflows.
    Unemployment numbers are useless without also looking at participation.... which has tanked right alongside unemployment.

    Literally every problem we faced in 2008 is still the same today except with double the national debt, more consumer debt, crazy student loan debt, the same ****ty mortgage loans. Household debt is over $13trillion.

    All the QE just went into bailing out the people who created the recession.

    We have less people working, more part time jobs and more people on welfare.

    I have no faith in this economy. We have gotten by this year with a slight correction but eventually it will be 2008 all over again if not worse due to rising interest rates and inflation this time.

    Which is fine by me, 2008 didn't affect me at all but it did the country as a whole.
    Last edited by romajc; 08-15-2018 at 05:01 AM.

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    Originally Posted by CptClean View Post
    Anyone here invested in Canadian weedstocks? Holy fukk did we ever get owned today thanks a lot Ontario. That entire province should be annexed they do nothing for us but bleed us dry.
    I have MJ etf. Been getting killed on it lately. Don’t really care though, I am in long term anyways.

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    Originally Posted by romajc View Post
    Unemployment numbers are useless without also looking at participation.... which has tanked right alongside unemployment.

    Literally every problem we faced in 2008 is still the same today except with double the national debt, more consumer debt, crazy student loan debt, the same ****ty mortgage loans. Household debt is over $13trillion.

    All the QE just went into bailing out the people who created the recession.

    We have less people working, more part time jobs and more people on welfare.

    I have no faith in this economy. We have gotten by this year with a slight correction but eventually it will be 2008 all over again if not worse due to rising interest rates and inflation this time.

    Which is fine by me, 2008 didn't affect me at all but it did the country as a whole.
    Do you think that perhaps the next crash will occur in the public sector instead of the private sector? By this I mean that instead of stocks crashing, it's government bonds because those issues you bring up of debt and interest rates will most destroy govt. bonds because they've borrowed a disgusting amount thanks to QE. QE was made to be a solution to the 2008 crisis, but because it's just another form of market intervention, they created a new crisis. And that crisis will be in the public sector. It's their fault for raising taxes, borrowing incessantly, and doing whatever they can to maintain and only increase their govt. pensions and benefits by robbing more from the taxpayer.
    There's going to be a massive pension crisis too, no thanks to govt. mandates that something like 20-50% of funds be invested in govt. bonds. It's even worse in Europe where they've mandated it to be 75% in some countries!!

    There won't be any bear markets in the US any time soon. If anything, we're going to be seeing the DJIA at 60,000 by 2030 and the US$ rallying to such levels that the world monetary system breaks because the US is the last safe haven left. QE and socialism fuked everything up and you'll see it all fall apart when the summer ends because that'll be when the ECB stops buying govt. debt. Interest rates will spiral out of control and expose their biggest selling point of the Euro which was the same rate for every member state.

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    born to roam WhAtNoWbChSs's Avatar
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    Ok. today is a fairly nasty sell off. anyone expecting continuation?
    You can walk outside and listen to all kinds of talk, get told you're a god or a total bastard. The iron always kicks you the real deal. It's the great reference point, the all-knowing perspective giver. I have found it to be my greatest friend. It never freaks out on me, never runs. Friends may come and go. But 200 pounds is always 200 pounds.

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    Originally Posted by Venom08 View Post
    The euro is in crash mode rn... pretty crazy but I think it bounces a bit tomorrow and then resumes selling off Thursday/Friday. Should test 1.1165 and once that gives, there's nothing but air until 1.05.
    Currently watching the DJIA. Seems there's 25,050 support with resistance at 25635. Watching for a break of either side to confirm correction or ATHs, respectively.
    Originally Posted by WhAtNoWbChSs View Post
    Ok. today is a fairly nasty sell off. anyone expecting continuation?
    Broke below 25,000 but it's the closing that's important. 25,052 is what to watch today.

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    Originally Posted by romajc View Post
    the same ****ty mortgage loans.
    You don’t know what you’re talking about.


    I guess you’ve heard of Dodd Frank

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    Originally Posted by chickenbroc**** View Post
    You don’t know what you’re talking about.


    I guess you’ve heard of Dodd Frank
    Something that concerns me more than crappy loans is the number of people buying 2nd properties to rent either long or short term. A lot of them haven't even finished paying off their first property. What happens when there is an employment contraction? Suddenly lots more homes available for sale
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