Give it to me straight, what are the odds Trump wins?

[Streetbull]

Don't follow politics all that well and it's hard to get a feel with all the Trump trolling going on here

No trolling, how good of a chance does he really have?

Based on speaking skills, loyalty of followers, health, and debate skills...Trump would be about a 3/5 favorite.

With voting laws being undone in swing states, giving felons and illegal aliens the right to vote, it probably becomes 4/5 Trump.

[ThePoz]

This. Fuking retards regurgitating whatever unsupported dross they read on BuzzfeedNews bashing Trump on ********. If you call them out then they play it like you're a bigot for supporting Trump and a tryhard for arguing on ********. It's like if you don't want people to comment on your opinion and why it's wrong and retarded, then don't fuking post it on social media. Like they're entitled to spout whatever chit they want, that's within their right, but are taken aback when someone else voices their opinion.

Its because youre a white male

[MagicMata]

People on this forum are totally out of touch with reality if they think currently Trump has any chance of winning, a LOT would need to happen between now and the election for him to even have a remote chance.

[yobrahss]

People on this forum are totally out of touch with reality if they think currently Trump has any chance of winning, a LOT would need to happen between now and the election for him to even have a remote chance.

that cope

[Boxman]

Gotta admit, we do live in something of a bubble here in R/P:

http://theweek.com/speedreads/640115...ady-evaporated

The truth is, odds are about 50/50 Trump loses. But with that said, all we need are some more damning email revelations and/or some more horrific muslim terror attacks and Trump will pull ahead. On the the other hand, Hillary enjoys the overwhelming and massive support of the entire media and can also count on Trump to make some incredibly stupid gaffes in the months ahead.

So the odds remain pretty much 50/50 for the next few months because all the aforementioned will certainly happen:

-More damning emails about Hillary
-More terror attacks
-Continued media campaign for Hillary
-Trump says stupid or indelicate things which media will seize upon

[ClutchAnalyst]

lol hillary supporters are in so much denial

the crazy bitch wants to strategically schedule debates when no one is watching, but its trump who apparently is trying to avoid it.

trump has a lot of momentum, from the syrian refugees cucking all of europe, ISIS attacks, and Brexit.

a significant amount of gay people will be voting for trump as well, because even they realize that this crazy bitch has a priority to be politically correct before doing something that is right.

and when even more wikileaks come out, it's just going to get worse for her. not to mention she's going to get completely owned during the debates.

only people that will refuse to readjust their standings are going to be the major cucks that hate trump for his "personality" flaws. you people need to realize you aren't dating donald trump, you are just electing him to do the right thing in office.

[anonymous]

Gotta admit, we do live in something of a bubble here in R/P:

http://theweek.com/speedreads/640115...ady-evaporated

The truth is, odds are about 50/50 Trump loses. But with that said, all we need are some more damning email revelations and/or some more horrific muslim terror attacks and Trump will pull ahead. On the the other hand, Hillary enjoys the overwhelming and massive support of the entire media and can also count on Trump to make some incredibly stupid gaffes in the months ahead.

So the odds remain pretty much 50/50 for the next few months because all the aforementioned will certainly happen:

-More damning emails about Hillary
-More terror attacks
-Continued media campaign for Hillary
-Trump says stupid or indelicate things which media will seize upon

Imo it hinges on cuckservatives, unfortunately they are very low information voters who have zero concept of what's at stake here and genuinely believe that they can run Romney or Cruz in 2020 and win.

Scary knowing so many of these people exist.

[mferrandi]

I feel bad for Hillary, srs, she is not going to win. Karma is a bitch

[Azrairc]

Trump has to win PA and FL and a couple of swings states. If he loses pa he'll have to sweep most of the swing states

If he loses Florida it's over

The electoral map gives democrats an edge so I'd say that 52/48 Is pretty spot on

[BorrachoDamor]

About 25% chance. Most trump supporters are to stupid to realize the popular vote doesn't determine the winner.

[Keith10Stone]

Trump will win if he just keeps his damn mouth shut.

[Keith10Stone]

About 25% chance. Most trump supporters are to stupid to realize the popular vote doesn't determine the winner.

to stupid

































to stupid.

[LaoHu7]

Momentum is on Trumps side.

[watertoy]

70% Chance Trump wins. China would have to threaten to nuke America to seriously change these odds.

He wins the white voters of the midwest & the popular vote doesnt matter.

[watertoy]

About 25% chance. Most trump supporters are to stupid to realize the popular vote doesn't determine the winner.

Illegal Mexican- check
Sub 200 pounds - check

Ability to find websites that document events prior to January 2001 - check.

[BorrachoDamor]

Illegal Mexican- check
Sub 200 pounds - check

Ability to find websites that document events prior to January 2001 - check.

Suck me beautiful

[TheDude88]

About 25% chance. Most trump supporters are to stupid to realize the popular vote doesn't determine the winner.

Congratulations, you played yourself. Potato-brained cuck

[BorrachoDamor]

to stupid

































to stupid.

Smart people like Trump and myself tend to make grammar mistakes.

[TDKSparda]

ban my red ass if it isn't a landslide Hilary victory.

lmao imagine genuinely believing someone with zero minority votes can win. dis 2016 guys.

[viku_vv]

[Canadian_Lifter]

I find it rather disturbing that a large portion of voters are going into this election with their ideal simply being to choose the 'lesser of two evils'. This is absurd. Pitiful really... I mean this is the most 'powerful' action you have as an American citizen...

There is a 3rd candidate - Johnson. If enough people vote for him, he does does stand a chance. There's a lot of people dissatisfied with the election - throw your vote in the direction of not being wasted, rather than choosing between 1) a narcissist who masquerades as a powerful business tycoon, and 2) a liar who's most likely deep in the pockets of many foreign nationals.

I mean really... There's no logic in Trump's brain (ffs the guy hasn't even laid out a sound policy that can be pursued) and everything that comes out of Hilary's mouth - well gee, she probably means something completely else.
In terms of Trump - he's worked with many people. Yet, not a SINGLE ONE OF THESE PEOPLE has spoken good words about him. That should be a HUGE red flag to anyone critically thinking about the future leaders of their country and livelihood.

There's a political spectrum... At the moment we have each of the extremes. Those in the middle need to choose one of either extremes - there is no middle party.

Johnson was a business man before going into politics. I wonder how he'd have fared if he had millions of dollars to start with... The guy never once had to file for bankruptcy in the past. He was also a very successful governor.
The guy has sound policies and nothing as extreme as the planned mass deportation (aka racial coercion on a mass scale) by trump. He's got a clean slate - no scandals like with Hilary.
And lastly, if you watch videos on his interviews - the dude seems like a pretty chill dude.



And let's get something clear here - because I seem to be getting a lot of negs with retarded 'go back to Canada' claims.
1. I've been in the US for 14 years
2. Yes, I am a dual citizen.
3. Yes, I actually had to 'do something' to get my citizenship - there was no lottery or 'scot free, here's your passport' incident
4. Yes, I will be voting in the election

I find it really rather surprising that 'go back to XXX' is really the best that some people have to say.

[ClutchAnalyst]

I find it rather disturbing that a large portion of voters are going into this election with their ideal simply being to choose the 'lesser of two evils'. This is absurd. Pitiful really... I mean this is the most 'powerful' action you have as an American citizen...

There is a 3rd candidate - Johnson. If enough people vote for him, he does does stand a chance. There's a lot of people dissatisfied with the election - throw your vote in the direction of not being wasted, rather than choosing between 1) a narcissist who masquerades as a powerful business tycoon, and 2) a liar who's most likely deep in the pockets of many foreign nationals.

I mean really... There's no logic in Trump's brain (ffs the guy hasn't even laid out a sound policy that can be pursued) and everything that comes out of Hilary's mouth - well gee, she probably means something completely else.
In terms of Trump - he's worked with many people. Yet, not a SINGLE ONE OF THESE PEOPLE has spoken good words about him. That should be a HUGE red flag to anyone critically thinking about the future leaders of their country and livelihood.

There's a political spectrum... At the moment we have each of the extremes. Those in the middle need to choose one of either extremes - there is no middle party.

Johnson was a business man before going into politics. I wonder how he'd have fared if he had millions of dollars to start with... The guy never once had to file for bankruptcy in the past. He was also a very successful governor.
The guy has sound policies and nothing as extreme as the planned mass deportation by trump. He's got a clean slate - no scandals like with Hilary.
And lastly, if you watch videos on his interviews - the dude seems like a pretty chill dude.



And let's get something clear here - because I seem to be getting a lot of negs with retarded 'go back to Canada' claims.
1. I've been in the US for 14 years
2. Yes, I am a dual citizen.
3. Yes, I actually had to 'do something' to get my citizenship - there was no lottery or 'scot free, here's your passport' incident
4. Yes, I will be voting in the election

I find it really rather surprising that 'go back to XXX' is really the best that some people have to say.

no fuk johnson

trump isnt even evil

people just get offended by his fuking speech

his fuking speech

fukin speech


speeeeechh

his fukin speeech


there is no evil, there's just a bunch of pussies

[Canadian_Lifter]

no fuk johnson

trump isnt even evil

people just get offended by his fuking speech

his fuking speech

fukin speech


speeeeechh

his fukin speeech


there is no evil, there's just a bunch of pussies

Alright... if this is the extent to which your analysis takes you on what I said - I never once said he was evil. I never even hinted at it. I did say he's a terrible candidate - but so is Hilary.

I more-so said/insinuated he's an idiot that has no logical plans to achieve anything he's spouted on a national stage. Why the hell would anyone vote for him?
He deflects to making such verbose baseless statements whenever anyone asks him 'how do you plan to...?'

I mean it seems that there's really no 'critical' thinking going on for this election, but hey - it's just America.

And lastly, let's not forget - the large majority of his policies that he dramatically conveys at conventions - many of them violate the constitution and legislature put into place long ago. See ACLU 'Trump memos' for full analysis.

[Nomadbrah]

Odds are great, don't let the DNC hysteria (they even had King Obama to denounce the GOP nomination of Trump) get to you.

They're desperate for Trump to actually drop out before the 2nd Wikileaks release which will put Shillary in jail.

[ClutchAnalyst]

Alright... if this is the extent to which your analysis takes you on what I said - I never once said he was evil. I never even hinted at it. I did say he's a terrible candidate - but so is Hilary.

I more-so said/insinuated he's an idiot that has no logical plans to achieve anything he's spouted on a national stage. Why the hell would anyone vote for him?
He deflects to making such verbose baseless statements whenever anyone asks him 'how do you plan to...?'

I mean it seems that there's really no 'critical' thinking going on for this election, but hey - it's just America.

And lastly, let's not forget - the large majority of his policies that he dramatically conveys at conventions - many of them violate the constitution and legislature put into place long ago. See ACLU 'Trump memos' for full analysis.

i dont think you understand, his whole agenda has been about being vague ON PURPOSE

i am completely okay with him being the unknown, because id rather take a chance on that than the KNOWN in hillary clinton.

trump is battling 2 sides of the establishment full force, he is doing perfectly fine and exactly how he should be campaigning. 48 laws of power. 9 D chess. get with the program mate. i seriously dont want a bunch of akbars from syria akbarring every fuking thing i know and cherish.

[Canadian_Lifter]

Odds are great, don't let the DNC hysteria (they even had King Obama to denounce the GOP nomination of Trump) get to you.

They're desperate for Trump to actually drop out before the 2nd Wikileaks release which will put Shillary in jail.

Why in the world would you care what Obama says about trump? Can you not think for yourself and make your own decisions in terms of who to elect as the next President?

This is another entirely baseless retort from you... I don't even watch the conventions. They're completely pathetic.

However, I do know that Obama said something along the lines of Trump isn't one who likes to make plans
It pretty much lines up exactly from seen on my end, so yes - I do agree with him. Trump hasn't given us a single logical plan of how he is going to achieve anything he's spewed on television.

i dont think you understand, his whole agenda has been about being vague ON PURPOSE

i am completely okay with him being the unknown, because id rather take a chance on that than the KNOWN in hillary clinton.

trump is battling 2 sides of the establishment full force, he is doing perfectly fine and exactly how he should be campaigning. 48 laws of power. 9 D chess. get with the program mate. i seriously dont want a bunch of akbars from syria akbarring every fuking thing i know and cherish.

Thank you for your response, really

Because this is EXACTLY what I'm talking about

Don't fkn vote Trump because you don't want to vote Hilary. That is completely stupid.

There is Johnson. The dude is a legit good dude. Vote for him, and don't leave the future of your country to someone who loves to be vague on purpose. I mean really - you're literally putting EVERYTHING you've got on the line. Why would you even go that way?
Him being the 'unknown' - he could benefit the country, and he could completely wreck and destroy the entire country and exploit everything for his own personal gain. He's unknown - so really, anything goes.

We already know he's not down with freedom of speech. He already plans to overturn the libel laws. Your right to the 1st Amendment would go 'bye bye' because he doesn't want people saying bad things about him.

[ClutchAnalyst]

Why in the world would you care what Obama says about trump? Can you not think for yourself and make your own decisions in terms of who to elect as the next President?

This is another entirely baseless retort from you... I don't even watch the conventions. They're completely pathetic.

However, I do know that Obama said something along the lines of Trump isn't one who likes to make plans
It pretty much lines up exactly from seen on my end, so yes - I do agree with him. Trump hasn't given us a single logical plan of how he is going to achieve anything he's spewed on television.



Thank you for your response, really

Because this is EXACTLY what I'm talking about

Don't fkn vote Trump because you don't want to vote Hilary. That is completely stupid.

There is Johnson. The dude is a legit good dude. Vote for him, and don't leave the future of your country to someone who loves to be vague on purpose. I mean really - you're literally putting EVERYTHING you've got on the line. Why would you even go that way?
Him being the 'unknown' - he could benefit the country, and he could completely wreck and destroy the entire country and exploit everything for his own personal gain. He's unknown - so really, anything goes.

We already know he's not down with freedom of speech. He already plans to overturn the libel laws. Your right to the 1st Amendment would go 'bye bye' because he doesn't want people saying bad things about him.

voting for johnson is completely impractical dude

that shyt will get hillary elected, and i actually like a lot of things trump says, including all the insults that showcase freedom of speech which counters your idea of him not wanting first amendment, and thats okay as long as i get to have guns, its not like i even talk that much IRL

fuk johnson

[Canadian_Lifter]

voting for johnson is completely impractical dude

that shyt will get hillary elected, and i actually like a lot of things trump says, including all the insults that showcase freedom of speech which counters your idea of him not wanting first amendment, and thats okay as long as i get to have guns, its not like i even talk that much IRL

fuk johnson

Seems a lot of people want Trump elected
If you vote Johnson and he's going to be elected anyways - so what?
If he is elected and is a disaster - you can say you didn't vote for him

Problem?

[anonymous]

voting for johnson is completely impractical dude

that shyt will get hillary elected, and i actually like a lot of things trump says, including all the insults that showcase freedom of speech which counters your idea of him not wanting first amendment, and thats okay as long as i get to have guns, its not like i even talk that much IRL

fuk johnson

Most johnson shills are hillary voters trying to bleed off enough votes to get her a win.

That Mitt and Jeb endorsement really shows what a True Cuckservative GJ is.

[Canadian_Lifter]

Most johnson shills are hillary voters trying to bleed off enough votes to get her a win.

That Mitt and Jeb endorsement really shows what a True Cuckservative GJ is.

...uhh

You don't see these Johnson 'shills' simply as intelligent people just not wanting to vote for Trump (because of the realization that he's shown absolutely no qualification traits thus far - he's simply just run his mouth endlessly), but realizing that Hilary really isn't a good alternative either?

I mean honestly... Hilary has at least has told us HOW she plans to achieve her goals...
Trump? Nope. Not a single plan. None that are logical or even worth mentioning anyways.

I mean jeebus dude - who else is there to be for?

I mean it's 2 terrible candidates... A third guy wearing a mask would have overwhelming support if he at least sounded intelligent and had a clean record.

Derp