Give it to me straight, what are the odds Trump wins?

[SoutheastBeast1]

Don't follow politics all that well and it's hard to get a feel with all the Trump trolling going on here

No trolling, how good of a chance does he really have?

[.aeterna]

i think its 50-50 and ive been following both parties/candidates closely

[GregStren90]

40%

[mferrandi]

To be honest with you.....Trump already won. Mark my words and remember this post.

[SoutheastBeast1]

i think its 50-50 and ive been following both parties/candidates closely

Nice. Really am hoping he takes it. The people who piss me off the most all seem to be Hillary supporters/democrats.

So much bias on ******** from all of them it's nauseating. They will literally say anything and half the time it's more about how bad republicans are and has nothing to do with their own candidate they support being worthy

[Qong]

Pretty good I say. People aren't happy with the state the country is in and the way we're dealing with issues at home and abroad. Terrorism is a major issue. Talk to an average American about terrorism and they aren't happy with what we're doing. Same with trade and the economy. If it continues to get pushed that Clinton is more of the same, more Obama and his policies, while Trump is the candidate with a different stance, he has a great chance.

[OliverTwisterJr]

The year 2000 all over again. Clinton wins the popular vote, Trump wins electoral vote.

Liberals mad

[adamsz]

Debates haven't even started yet, too hard to say

[kcadrenalin]

Close but 51/47 Trump
Might be bigger depending on how many Hillary scandals break between now and the election.
If Hillary croaks between now and then (very possible) then I would probably give it to her replacement.

[stfudonny]

The year 2000 all over again. Clinton wins the popular vote, Trump wins electoral vote.

Liberals mad

except it will be the other way around

[baroni01]

I think it's gonna be clearer once the debates get underway, even then you can't count out **** coming out left field like these leaks.

[rjones416]

mark my words. trump will make america great again.

[jiujitsubro]

Everyone I know. Immigrant made Us citizen to national average income want trump to win.

They all say they don't want to go through another 8 years of what they had to go through.

[Cuchulainn]

Nate Silver is money.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...tion-forecast/

52.8-47.1 in favor of Hillary as of today.

[Bar182]

I think he has already own.

Reuters are now resorting to changing how they do polling to keep the appearance that Hillary is winning.

[sammywatkins]

50/50 Either he wins or he doesnt...there are no other options.

[BigRangs]

Close but 51/47 Trump
Might be bigger depending on how many Hillary scandals break between now and the election.
If Hillary croaks between now and then (very possible) then I would probably give it to her replacement.

[TexasMajor]

10,000rd post

[BigRangs]

I think it's gonna be clearer once the debates get underway, even then you can't count out **** coming out left field like these leaks.

I think there is a 75% chance that Crooked hillary weasels out of at least one debate. She's gonna get rekt.

[yobrahss]

if trump doesnt win... america is doomed

[KazBrah]

I think there is a 75% chance that Crooked hillary weasels out of at least one debate. She's gonna get rekt.

The fact that it's this close even before the debates have started is great news for Trump.

[RightKindaGuy]

Terrorism is a major issue.e.

lol at dumbass sheep

terrorism is a minor problem. more people die from cow deaths than terrorists per year idiot

[JonZ]

Trumps chances arent good. Hes even and has a slight edge now but look at how Kerry and Romney imploded.

Shillarys been doing this for 30 years. She's a master liar and manipulator.

Trump can'tget out of his own way and can't help but say potato nonsense. I watched his speech today and he was incoherent and rambling. Going on tangents, unfocused.

Shillarys on right now and while everything shes saying is bull**** she on point, just gave a huge list of promises she can't keep, is clear in her platform, etc. She promised everything from free high scpeed internet to everyone to free college, and people are so stupid they just clap like seals and eat it up.


I think as this goes on Shillary will woo people with her BS and people will give up on Trump because he cant stay out of his own way. I already know a few people who are shaking their heads and are becoming a bit disillusioned at some of the stupid things he says. Hes said 3 completely stupid retarded things in 3 days.

Wait until debates. While her record is abhorrent she can at least answer specific questions about foreign policy and such. People are going to start loosing faith in him as he goes more and more off the deep end.

Were so ****ed.

[onaed]

Depending on which poll and given how much the media has been pumping her, Hillary *seems* to have an edge right now. In some polls he leads. I don't know what to think.

But come the 1v1 debate, he will demolish her and I think win favor with undecideds and moderates. There is just too much dirt available that progressives have ignored or dodged due to watching CNN, MSNBC, reading New York Times, HuffPost etc. He can be painted in a bad light when reduced to sound bites, but when he puts her on blast and it might be too damaging for her.

He might body her like Jeb. And I don't think he would hesitate for second "because...woman"

He is very quick in debate/talk. Thats where he is strong. Engages around/with people. She is an extrovert, too, but she plans her grandstanding. Hes just another level from what Ive seen. Good at getting a crowd on his favor. Shes too canned.

When she gets hit off script or unfavorable questions/words she ignores or deflects. He takes it head on and flips it and controls the situation.

[MartinFultz]

Debates haven't even started yet, too hard to say

this, in all reality. debates could make or break either one. Trump is doing great though so far he has a very good chance of winning I would say.

[brahdude]

The real question is how hard they'll push for a recount or change of rules when he wins.

[SomedayIllBeMe]

Nice. Really am hoping he takes it. The people who piss me off the most all seem to be Hillary supporters/democrats.

So much bias on ******** from all of them it's nauseating. They will literally say anything and half the time it's more about how bad republicans are and has nothing to do with their own candidate they support being worthy

This. Fuking retards regurgitating whatever unsupported dross they read on BuzzfeedNews bashing Trump on ********. If you call them out then they play it like you're a bigot for supporting Trump and a tryhard for arguing on ********. It's like if you don't want people to comment on your opinion and why it's wrong and retarded, then don't fuking post it on social media. Like they're entitled to spout whatever chit they want, that's within their right, but are taken aback when someone else voices their opinion.

[BeerCalories]

Trump will win.

[IsthisreaLife]

10,000rd post

coke is a hell of a drug

[Tier0]

90% winning. I'm a political junkie, and I can't see an effective way for Hilary to win. She will fail in the debates very hard.