🤪🤪🤪 COVID-19 Speculation, Conspiracy Theories Thread #2 🤪🤪🤪

[NorthernLad93]

Boris Johnson has been diagnosed with coronavirus

[TrinnieBuu]

I think at the very least they could be tapped as a support role for existing manufacturers to help increase their current production.

It’s more realistic for them to make parts of the ventilators, maybe make the automated parts and computerized bits for the screens. Even easing the supply chain for the medical devices companies to spit out these ventilators would help.

Even major medical devices companies can only make 20-30k ventilators a year. If automakers can make sure they have no supply bottleneck, it’s more feasible then saying Tesla is going to make 250k of these in weeks.

[dontstopbelief]

LOL, British PM has corona now

[Jayarbie]

Didn't see keyboard post today's stats

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

USA COVID-19 projections / official number reported

March 5: 201 / 221
March 6: 271 / 319
March 7: 366 / 435
March 8: 494 / 541
March 9: 667 / 704
March 10: 900 / 994
March 11: 1,215 / 1,301
March 12: 1,640 / 1,697
March 13: 2,214 / 2,247
March 14: 2,989 / 2,943
March 15: 4,035 / 3,680
March 16: 5,447 / 4,663
March 17: 7,353 / 6,411
March 18: 9,926 / 9,259
March 19: 13,400 / 13,789
March 20: 18,090 / 19,393
March 21: 24,421 / 24,207
March 22: 32,968 / 33.546
March 23: 44,496 / 43,734
March 24: 60,070 / 54,823
March 25: 81,094 / 68,211
March 26: 109,477 / 85,594
March 27: 147,794
March 28: 199,522
March 29: 269,355
March 30: 363,629
March 31: 490,899
April 1: 662,714

Yesterday was 14 days since chit got real (NBA/NHL suspended seasons, concerts and other large public gatherings canceled), so with a 14 day incubation period, this is the time when we should start to see some effect and the exponential infection rate this week has decreased from 35% to 25%. We still weren't told to do social distancing all the time yet and schools & restaurants weren't closed, so as we get into next week, we should see even more slowing in new infections.

Since I think everyone understands that this only represents the positives in the people that are getting tested and nowhere near to total actual infections, as an accurate measure of the rate of spread, it is dependent on the testing standards staying constant over time as well. So far, I think they generally have - testing is only done for people who are either already in the hospital in serious condition or who have symptoms and fall into an at-risk group (elderly, underlying conditions, healthcare workers / first responders). If that standard changes in either direction (either everyone can get tested or they stop testing), then the measure will no longer be consistent enough to use.

[SoutheastBeast1]

There’s no way testing standards have stayed consistent since this began

Not sure if srs if you really believe that

[HMFIC_BROWSIN]

There’s no way testing standards have stayed consistent since this began

Not sure if srs if you really believe that

This.

That data is useless unless everyone with symptoms was being tested since 1/1....

BRB, exponentially more tests are available
BRB, exponentially more diagnosis

[AltarOfPlagues]

we're in first place!

[BetaAsPhuck]

I didn't explain it well but if you have a big population with lots of people close together, it's going to spread much faster than in a smaller, more spread out population.

Higher chance of people coming in contact with each other and giving someone else the virus.

I think you are talking about population density, not population size.

[Johnez]

Yesterday was 14 days since chit got real (NBA/NHL suspended seasons, concerts and other large public gatherings canceled), so with a 14 day incubation period, this is the time when we should start to see some effect and the exponential infection rate this week has decreased from 35% to 25%. We still weren't told to do social distancing all the time yet and schools & restaurants weren't closed, so as we get into next week, we should see even more slowing in new infections.

Since I think everyone understands that this only represents the positives in the people that are getting tested and nowhere near to total actual infections, as an accurate measure of the rate of spread, it is dependent on the testing standards staying constant over time as well. So far, I think they generally have - testing is only done for people who are either already in the hospital in serious condition or who have symptoms and fall into an at-risk group (elderly, underlying conditions, healthcare workers / first responders). If that standard changes in either direction (either everyone can get tested or they stop testing), then the measure will no longer be consistent enough to use.

I get what you're saying, but the US is a huge country, with some areas winding down (Washington state for example), others right in the middle of outbreaks (NYC), and some at the start of a potential outbreak (Los Angeles). NJ, New Orleans, and a few other areas are experiencing upticks currently, with testing seemingly rationed still to the more serious areas, we aren't out of the woods yet. I despise the MSM fear mongering, these are just things to note.

[Jayarbie]

There’s no way testing standards have stayed consistent since this began

Not sure if srs if you really believe that

This.

That data is useless unless everyone with symptoms was being tested since 1/1....

BRB, exponentially more tests are available
BRB, exponentially more diagnosis

The standards have been very consistent around here. As I said, from the start, the only people being tested are either people already in the hospital with symptoms or people with symptoms who fall into an at-risk group (elderly, underlying conditions, and healthcare workers / first responders). There have been more actual tests, but there are also more people to test and so far it appears that the increase in testing is just matching the spread of the virus because the types of people who are getting tests hasn't changed. If you have symptoms that are sufficiently mild and you're not at-risk, you're not getting tested, you're just told to stay at home and self-quarantine. There hasn't been a huge change in the percent of positives either, which has been 10-15%. If the testing criteria had been significantly expanded or contracted, you'd expect the hit ratio to change as well (i.e. if you start testing everyone, you're going to get a significantly lower hit ratio or if you only test people in serious condition, you'll get a lot higher). So, yes, I do believe the testing standards have been relatively consistent throughout this.

[Jayarbie]

I get what you're saying, but the US is a huge country, with some areas winding down (Washington state for example), others right in the middle of outbreaks (NYC), and some at the start of a potential outbreak (Los Angeles). NJ, New Orleans, and a few other areas are experiencing upticks currently, with testing seemingly rationed still to the more serious areas, we aren't out of the woods yet. I despise the MSM fear mongering, these are just things to note.

We're definitely not out of the woods at all. Right now, it's still getting worse, and in terms of the stress on the healthcare system, that's only going to continue to get worse for at least several more weeks as the people in the incubation period right now start to get sick. It's only the rate that the positives are increasing that is starting to turn, which is a positive sign that it might be under control in another month or so if we stay diligent about it.

I do believe that patient 0 in WA was nowhere near the first case of this in the US, and the number of people who had this between Dec & Feb is likely as many as a couple million. That's more of a head start towards herd immunity than anyone has incorporated into any of their equations yet, so I'm optimistic that that will help burn this out at least by summer, and it's not going to be a year long or 18 month long thing that some people have suggested.

[bremer45]

Didn't see keyboard post today's stats

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

USA COVID-19 projections / official number reported

March 5: 201 / 221
March 6: 271 / 319
March 7: 366 / 435
March 8: 494 / 541
March 9: 667 / 704
March 10: 900 / 994
March 11: 1,215 / 1,301
March 12: 1,640 / 1,697
March 13: 2,214 / 2,247
March 14: 2,989 / 2,943
March 15: 4,035 / 3,680
March 16: 5,447 / 4,663
March 17: 7,353 / 6,411
March 18: 9,926 / 9,259
March 19: 13,400 / 13,789
March 20: 18,090 / 19,393
March 21: 24,421 / 24,207
March 22: 32,968 / 33.546
March 23: 44,496 / 43,734
March 24: 60,070 / 54,823
March 25: 81,094 / 68,211
March 26: 109,477 / 85,594
March 27: 147,794
March 28: 199,522
March 29: 269,355
March 30: 363,629
March 31: 490,899
April 1: 662,714

This is good news. Will be interesting to see where we are at in a few days. It doesnt seem to be growing exponentially as projected (thx to social distancing).

[Jayarbie]

This is good news. Will be interesting to see where we are at in a few days. It doesnt seem to be growing exponentially as projected (thx to social distancing).

It's still growing exponentially, it's just that the rate of growth this week slowed from 35% to 25%.

[Budjola]

Spain getting gang raped today, highest death count in the world.

[AltarOfPlagues]

Spain getting gang raped today, highest death count in the world.

spain was always gonna get fuked. more cases than italy with fewer hospitals. watch they will have like 200k cases and 8% cfr (16k deaths)

here go my dumb spain projection



^i called day zero roughly 300 cases and lined up everybody "day zero"

[kingmanaverage]

Your explaining population density here.

I think you are talking about population density, not population size.

Actually yeah, you're both correct. Population density, not size.

[EoR]

https://www.mopo.de/news/panorama/ei...hose--36465384

86 cases, 0 deaths

What a time to be alive when the people of Be-la-fookin-rus have more rights and freedoms than Americans and Western Europeans.

They're gonna get rekt, right boyos? It's just a ticking viral time bomb surely. Their population will get decimated by this mutating killer flu.

I can tell you right now many politicians and secret groups are noting down what laws and intrusive measures they can get away with when they have their population all irrational and scared. This is a great testing ground to see how far they can push their authority without any rebellion.

[5x10]

44 yr old in the town I live in died
Didn’t drink or smoke

http://herald-zeitung.com/community_...bfc0d412b.html

[IronBrahh]

44 yr old in the town I live in died
Didn’t drink or smoke

http://herald-zeitung.com/community_...bfc0d412b.html

This keeps happening in the US

[5x10]

This keeps happening in the US

its everywhere
Italian docs have been warning everyone weeks ago

[Phobaphobia]

44 yr old in the town I live in died
Didn’t drink or smoke

http://herald-zeitung.com/community_...bfc0d412b.html

Man in his 40s died in my town as well. Yesterday

[messomi]

lol scumbag strikes again I am 100% sure they are going to (try) drag it out till the summer

[wincel]

lol scumbag strikes again I am 100% sure they are going to (try) drag it out till the summer

Bill dropping truth bombs. HE GETS IT. Damnit I hate the monopolistic bastard, but he is a smart man. I'd vote for him srs. I really don't get why he won't just fuking run. Country needs people like him at the helm.

[bezarker]

[messomi]

Bill dropping truth bombs. HE GETS IT. Damnit I hate the monopolistic bastard, but he is a smart man. I'd vote for him srs.

when is your next mental breakdown scheduled btw?

[nin-com-poop]

I can't believe how many people are gullible to the fact the China's count has hardly budged and think that some western country has overtaken them in count at this moment. Not buying it. Plus even if they did they're not some communistic regime that orders people to stay in the homes for two months. A free(r) society would have a higher count regardless at some point.

[MiscInformed]

lol scumbag strikes again I am 100% sure they are going to (try) drag it out till the summer

Bill Gates was a friend and sometime guest of Jeffrey Epstein.

That tells you everything you need to know about him.

https://observer.com/2019/09/bill-ga...a-lab-problem/
https://www.theverge.com/2019/10/12/...stein-meetings

[MiscInformed]

Bill dropping truth bombs. HE GETS IT. Damnit I hate the monopolistic bastard, but he is a smart man. I'd vote for him srs. I really don't get why he won't just fuking run. Country needs people like him at the helm.

Why are you unbanned? Are you blowing one of the mods or something??

[keyboardworkout]

Thanks iwant2beswole. Tried to post projections last night and was getting errors from the site.

Testing has been all over the place here in Arizona. We have people who have still not received results after 7 days. The average time to get test results back is 3-5 days.

That means that most of the daily reported positive test numbers from AZ are at minimum 3 days old. I think on a national level it is probably close to the same.

[messomi]

Why are you unbanned? Are you blowing one of the mods or something??

he has been rehabilitated he is totally fit to go back in misc society now.