Texas Poll: Biden +5

[Jayarbie]

Oh lawdy, Trump is turning the US socialist.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...0200712_TX.pdf

I get that there is a long way to go in this election, and a poll in July certainly does not mean it's over for November, but there is a lot of lulzy numbers in this one:

Top line:
Biden 48 - 43 Trump

Senate Race:
Hegar 29 - 42 Cornyn

So, Trump is -5, Cornyn is +13 and Trump is running 18 points behind the Senate race.

Approval Rating
Approve 43 - 50 Disapprove

Independent Approval
Approve 30 - 59 Disapprove (52% strongly disapprove)

Coronavirus Approval
Approve 41 - 51 Disapprove (28-61 among independents)

Has the federal govt coronavirus response caused you to reconsider your vote?
A great deal - 21%
Fair amount - 16%

Those 37% are certainly not reconsidering to supporting Trump due to his exemplary response. LMAO.


I won't say Texas is officially purple yet because it's just Trump while Cornyn is cruising to an easy victory, but Texas is clearly a battleground for the Presidential race this fall. Given the focus of disapproval on Trump's coronavirus response, it's only going to go downhill for him the further the state's outbreak worsens and hospitals max out capacity.

[chaunce54]

Oh lawdy, Trump is turning the US socialist.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...0200712_TX.pdf

I get that there is a long way to go in this election, and a poll in July certainly does not mean it's over for November, but there is a lot of lulzy numbers in this one:

Top line:
Biden 48 - 43 Trump

Senate Race:
Hegar 29 - 42 Cornyn

So, Trump is -5, Cornyn is +13 and Trump is running 18 points behind the Senate race.

Approval Rating
Approve 43 - 50 Disapprove

Independent Approval
Approve 30 - 59 Disapprove (52% strongly disapprove)

Coronavirus Approval
Approve 41 - 51 Disapprove (28-61 among independents)

Has the federal govt coronavirus response caused you to reconsider your vote?
A great deal - 21%
Fair amount - 16%

Those 37% are certainly not reconsidering to supporting Trump due to his exemplary response. LMAO.


I won't say Texas is officially purple yet because it's just Trump while Cornyn is cruising to an easy victory, but Texas is clearly a battleground for the Presidential race this fall. Given the focus of disapproval on Trump's coronavirus response, it's only going to go downhill for him the further the state's outbreak worsens and hospitals max out capacity.

lol if you actually believe that. That's some big league cope.

[Dorich]

Same thing like 2016.

Lmao @ polls.

When will you learn?

Trump 2020 landslide.

I said it before and I'll say it again, if Trump loses I will film myself licking a toilet seat and post the video on the misc.

[leafs43]

This shows that polls are off by 10 points.

[wickedman]

Ban bet Trump wins Texas?

[Jayarbie]

I said it before and I'll say it again, if Trump loses I will film myself licking a toilet seat and post the video on the misc.

Bookmarked for future use.

[Jayarbie]

Ban bet Trump wins Texas?

No. Did you actually read what I wrote?

[scheal]

Oh lawdy, Trump is turning the US socialist.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...0200712_TX.pdf

I get that there is a long way to go in this election, and a poll in July certainly does not mean it's over for November, but there is a lot of lulzy numbers in this one:

Top line:
Biden 48 - 43 Trump

Senate Race:
Hegar 29 - 42 Cornyn

So, Trump is -5, Cornyn is +13 and Trump is running 18 points behind the Senate race.

Approval Rating
Approve 43 - 50 Disapprove

Independent Approval
Approve 30 - 59 Disapprove (52% strongly disapprove)

Coronavirus Approval
Approve 41 - 51 Disapprove (28-61 among independents)

Has the federal govt coronavirus response caused you to reconsider your vote?
A great deal - 21%
Fair amount - 16%

Those 37% are certainly not reconsidering to supporting Trump due to his exemplary response. LMAO.


I won't say Texas is officially purple yet because it's just Trump while Cornyn is cruising to an easy victory, but Texas is clearly a battleground for the Presidential race this fall. Given the focus of disapproval on Trump's coronavirus response, it's only going to go downhill for him the further the state's outbreak worsens and hospitals max out capacity.

How’s your libertarian candidate doing?

[Jayarbie]

How’s your libertarian candidate doing?

Not good. This country will be in trouble until libertarianism becomes mainstream, but it's not happening this election. Maybe if Amash runs in 24.

[John L]

Texas is trending purple due to demographics, but main reason it is going to be much closer than it should be this year is due to Trump and his behavior. I think Trump will win Texas by +5. If say Pence was the GOP candidate, he’d win it by a wider margin.

[GuineaDago585]

Same thing like 2016.

Lmao @ polls.

When will you learn?

Trump 2020 landslide.

I said it before and I'll say it again, if Trump loses I will film myself licking a toilet seat and post the video on the misc.

I think this is a dangerous mindset. I’m supporting Trump, but he’s losing right now. Conservatives need to wake up. Calling every poll that shows Biden ahead fake gets us nowhere.

I could understand if Biden was up by 3-5 points (like Hillary) but he’s not. He’s leading by double digits. Even a flawed poll provides some valuable context.

Trump supporters are getting complacent, hoping for the silent majority to poll through. I fear that will only lead to failure as the independents needed to win will feel abandoned and either stay home or begrudgingly vote blue.

[DeshaunWatson]

If you’re voting for an R senator, you are 100% voting for Trump.


Trump wins in 2016 fashion. Get the balloons ready and have the libs fill them up with helium at checkout.

[John L]

If you’re voting for an R senator, you are 100% voting for Trump.


Trump wins in 2016 fashion. Get the balloons ready and have the libs fill them up with helium at checkout.

Not necessarily. In 2016 Trump won my congressional district by +12, but our R congressman won by close to +20

[RIKTER]

Once hispanics in Texas realize they control American politics, then MAGA dies. If they(across the country) voted at the same % as whites, MAGA never would of existed to begin with. Thats Fact.

[A-man]

Meh didn’t read and don’t pay attention to polls. The last election taught us they don’t mean anything and be manipulated to show anything.

We won’t have any conclusions until election night.

[gixxer0.6g]

Liberal cucks falling for poll numbers again.

I predict mass liberal suicides in 2020. Which is a double win. Less voters and less mentally ill unemployed incels wandering our streets

[GreatOldOne]

Wow, RCP aggregate is a tie
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...iden-6818.html

[DeshaunWatson]

Not necessarily. In 2016 Trump won my congressional district by +12, but our R congressman won by close to +20

This time is different

[ceizer1985]

Faulty poll. He'll likely lose TX by a couple of points.

[katya422]

Texas is trending purple due to demographics, but main reason it is going to be much closer than it should be this year is due to Trump and his behavior. I think Trump will win Texas by +5. If say Pence was the GOP candidate, he’d win it by a wider margin.

If Pence were the candidate I believe he would win.

I think this is a dangerous mindset. I’m supporting Trump, but he’s losing right now. Conservatives need to wake up. Calling every poll that shows Biden ahead fake gets us nowhere.

I could understand if Biden was up by 3-5 points (like Hillary) but he’s not. He’s leading by double digits. Even a flawed poll provides some valuable context.

Trump supporters are getting complacent, hoping for the silent majority to poll through. I fear that will only lead to failure as the independents needed to win will feel abandoned and either stay home or begrudgingly vote blue.

Saw a bit on polling on Face the Nation this morning. Focused on 3 of the state with spiking C-19 (TX, FL, and AZ). Polls showed about 60% of respondents said they believed that their state opened up too soon. Some number attributed it to pressure from the Trump administration. Respondents who were most concerned about C-19 were also most likely to say they would be voting for Biden.

I'm not sure how you could possibly spin the story towards a consensus that Trump has been an effective leader re:handling the C-19 pandemic.

Also, FWIW, I've read a forecast that the US pandemic will peak in early November.

I'm holding on to some very slight hope that we will have a legit 3rd party candidate, or that Trump will step down and give the race to Pence.

[wickedman]

No. Did you actually read what I wrote?

I'll spot you 6% in this battleground state. Giving you 11% per today's polls.

If you really believe it's a battleground state, ez bet. I'll even throw in $100 if you win.

[cromofo]

Not gonna happen this election year, nor the next, but I can see it in 2028 or 2032. Once that happens, the GOP is toast

[exxtracool]

I’m pretty sure there is a higher chance of me getting struck by lightning in my living room right now than trump losing Texas lmao... especially to Biden...


If the DNC is smart they will swap Biden out. He is not electable.

[ArtisticSteven]

hillary clinton 98.7% chance of winning

[Noliberals4]

Texas is trending purple due to demographics, but main reason it is going to be much closer than it should be this year is due to Trump and his behavior. I think Trump will win Texas by +5. If say Pence was the GOP candidate, he’d win it by a wider margin.

Not true. Texas is going blue because of white people - seriously. Trump did better than Romney with Latinos in Texas but did significantly worse because he collapsed with white people.

[tng83]

Permaban bet Trump wins Texas?

[Maestro]

I think this is a dangerous mindset. I’m supporting Trump, but he’s losing right now. Conservatives need to wake up. Calling every poll that shows Biden ahead fake gets us nowhere.

I could understand if Biden was up by 3-5 points (like Hillary) but he’s not. He’s leading by double digits. Even a flawed poll provides some valuable context.

Trump supporters are getting complacent, hoping for the silent majority to poll through. I fear that will only lead to failure as the independents needed to win will feel abandoned and either stay home or begrudgingly vote blue.

Agreed. I'm sure there are some degrees of inaccuracy in these polls, but to dismiss ALL polls because of the fiasco of 2016 is wrong. Hillary was not polling as good as biden currently is at this point in her campaign. Once we get closer to Sept and October the polls will find their final resting place.

Bear in mind biden is polling the way he is WITHOUT the announcement of his VP, and all candidates naturally get a healthy bump in the polls once they announce their VP, and then it levels off once people start digging up skeletons in the VP's closet. Remember Sarah Palin? Everyone thought it was GG for obama because McCain exploded in the polls shortly after announcing her as his running mate.

[Jrd86]

Poll: Hillary Clinton Leads Donald Trump in Texas


How eager the left is to forget.

Agreed. I'm sure there are some degrees of inaccuracy in these polls, but to dismiss ALL polls because of the fiasco of 2016 is wrong. Hillary was not polling as good as biden currently is at this point in her campaign. Once we get closer to Sept and October the polls will find their final resting place.

Bear in mind biden is polling the way he is WITHOUT the announcement of his VP, and all candidates naturally get a healthy bump in the polls once they announce their VP, and then it levels off once people start digging up skeletons in the VP's closet. Remember Sarah Palin? Everyone thought it was GG for obama because McCain exploded in the polls shortly after announcing her as his running mate.

Biden greatly lags Trump in enthusiasm. And by wider margins than hillary did in 2016. That decides your election.

[TaeBoNinja]

If you’re voting for an R senator, you are 100% voting for Trump.


Trump wins in 2016 fashion. Get the balloons ready and have the libs fill them up with helium at checkout.

This.

[LtGoose]

No. Did you actually read what I wrote?

Pussy