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View Full Version : NFL guys... Need help with season win totals.



Umad Imswole
08-14-2013, 05:32 PM
The team is listed then the over under number of wins for the year. If you see one you like list it and a reason.

Ari 5.5
Atl 9.5
Bal 8.5
Buf 6.5
Car 7.5
Chi 8.5
Cin 8.5
Cle 6.5
Dal 8.5
Den 11.5
Det 8.5
GB 10.5
Hou 10.5
Ind 8.5
Jac 4.5
KC 7.5
Mia 8.5
Min 7.5
NE 10.5
NO 9.5
NYG 9.5
NYJ 6.5
Oak 5.5
Phi 7.5
Pit 8.5
SD 7.5
SF 11.5
Sea 10.5
Stl 7.5
TB 7.5
Ten 6.5
Was 7.5


Any help would be appreciated.

Hoop_Dreams
08-14-2013, 05:39 PM
I'm not a betting man, but ATL looks like a good bet to win 10 games. And Oakland looks like a good bet to win 5 or less, especially since they just lost Veldheer for a good chunk of the season, if not the entire season.

Dave P
08-14-2013, 05:42 PM
I actually like KC winning 8 games.


They have one of the easiest schedules this year and are going to be alot better.

Umad Imswole
08-14-2013, 05:43 PM
I'm not a betting man, but ATL looks like a good bet to win 10 games. And Oakland looks like a good bet to win 5 or less, especially since they just lost Veldheer for a good chunk of the season, if not the entire season.

Thanks Hoop. I was thinking under for Baltimore. They lost some good players.

NorrinRadd12
08-14-2013, 05:43 PM
Chi under
Det under
Ind over
nyj under
sd under
sea under
stl over
tb over

NorrinRadd12
08-14-2013, 05:44 PM
I actually like KC winning 8 games.

Sucker bet

Impurityz
08-14-2013, 05:44 PM
I bet Arizona will win at least 6 games

Dave P
08-14-2013, 05:46 PM
Sucker bet


http://gyazo.com/d740aef90fed4e9759a1d0e889f6100b.png

Umad Imswole
08-14-2013, 05:48 PM
Wow. KC only plays 3 or 4 games against really tough opponents.

Umad Imswole
08-14-2013, 05:50 PM
I bet Arizona will win at least 6 games

They are in the division of death. You have balls my friend.

LanceStone
08-14-2013, 05:53 PM
CIN: Over

DET: Under

CLE: Under

DAL: Over

DEN: Over

ATL: Over

GB: Over

Umad Imswole
08-14-2013, 05:56 PM
Thanks guys. Any reasons behind the choices?

MaxKnuckles
08-14-2013, 05:56 PM
From 9ers fan I dont think we will win 11.5. To hard of a division.

3lixer
08-14-2013, 05:57 PM
Arizona OVER

Decent young defense and they actually have a QB who can throw the ball now. Michael Floyd should have a better year and look for Fitz to put up numbers akin to when Warner was there

San Fran UNDER

12 wins is a lot. Plus they play the entire NFC south this year (ATL, NO, etc.) which is a pretty strong division.

Miami UNDER

Lamar Miller is the #1 back. Lost Jake Long in off season. Mike Wallace has Ryan Tannehill throwing him the ball. Defense looks good up front but will they be able to score enough points to win 9 games this year? Don't think so. 4 game stretch early in the season where they play Colts, Falcons, Saints, Ravens then Steelers and Pats (x2) later on in the season.

BEASTMODE420
08-14-2013, 06:09 PM
The team is listed then the over under number of wins for the year. If you see one you like list it and a reason.

Ari 5.5
Atl Over 9.5
Bal 8.5
Buf 6.5
Car Under 7.5
Chi 8.5
Cin 8.5
Cle Under 6.5
Dal 8.5
Den 11.5
Det 8.5
GB 10.5
Hou 10.5
Ind 8.5
Jac 4.5
KC 7.5
Mia 8.5
Min 7.5
NO 9.5
NYG 9.5
NYJ 6.5
Oak 5.5
Phi 7.5
Pit 8.5
SD 7.5
SF 11.5
Sea 10.5
Stl 7.5
TB 7.5
Ten 6.5
Was Over 7.5




Any help would be appreciated.

Bold are your only gimmes

Umad Imswole
08-14-2013, 07:28 PM
Bold are your only gimmes

Alright BEAST. I'll put all 4 together. If I win I owe you a beer.

BEASTMODE420
08-14-2013, 07:43 PM
Alright BEAST. I'll put all 4 together. If I win I owe you a beer.
Cheers m8

http://i1090.photobucket.com/albums/i372/bainer732/cheers_zps4ed842c3.jpg (http://s1090.photobucket.com/user/bainer732/media/cheers_zps4ed842c3.jpg.html)

liuzhoudragon
08-14-2013, 08:28 PM
The team is listed then the over under number of wins for the year. If you see one you like list it and a reason.

Ari 5.5 (hard to say)
Atl 9.5 ( i could easily bet on over...Sjax>turner JJ developing)
Bal 8.5 (roughly correct)
Buf 6.5 (roughly correct)
Car 7.5 (roughly correct)
Chi 8.5 (seems low I would bet over.....won 10 last year, keep cutler up with a better O line and they do better. should be )
Cin 8.5 (maybe higher, pitts is old and the ravens have tons of turnover. I would look at the scheudule)
Cle 6.5 (rougly correct)
Dal 8.5 (roughly correct)
Den 11.5 (roughly correct)
Det 8.5 (roughly correct)
GB 10.5 (roughly correct)
Hou 10.5 (roughly correct)
Ind 8.5 (roughly correct)
Jac 4.5 (roughly correct)
KC 7.5 (roughly correct)
Mia 8.5 (check the schedule, 9 wins seem aweful high for a FA splurge team and a hurt 1 trick pony as WR1 going from a HOFer qb to a raw 2nd year guy that threw more ints then tds.
Min 7.5 (roughly correct........sorry vikings fans you can't count on AP do carry them for 2k yards annually)
NO 9.5 (roughly)
NYG 9.5 (check schedule....seems high, lots of injuries and going to best blocking Rb in bradshaw wilson who could block my grandma and bennet a very good blocker to myers who also would get burned by grams I see eli lacking protection)
NYJ 6.5 (only right rex ryans D will still be great and if do nothing but cut turnovers from insanse levels to medioqure leves they would have won mulitpe more games)
Oak 5.5 (maybe bet low.........they play the chargers twice and even the top team loses to a stinker once in a while, but they lack talent and would tank for Clowney if they had any brains)
Phi 7.5 (roughly correct)
Pit 8.5 (roughly correct)
SD 7.5 (want to say roughly correct but man has the injury bug ever moved in, I would likely stay away but if you bet under I could understand)
SF 11.5 (roughly correct)
Sea 10.5 (roughly correct)
Stl 7.5 (roughly correct)
TB 7.5 (rougly correct.......want to say they are better the rams but. I could understand betting on over)
Ten 6.5 (roughly correct)
Was 7.5 (roughly correct)


Any help would be appreciated.

my thoughts. I am a very picky better though.

liuzhoudragon
08-14-2013, 08:30 PM
http://gyazo.com/d740aef90fed4e9759a1d0e889f6100b.png

easy schedule of peace.

going to make reid look great the way last year was.

godetroit
08-14-2013, 10:26 PM
Where's New England?

ButWhoWasPh0ne
08-14-2013, 10:53 PM
over on cincy.

CCAurora
08-14-2013, 11:01 PM
http://gyazo.com/d740aef90fed4e9759a1d0e889f6100b.png

lol wut?

Jags, Raiders 2x, Browns, probably the Titans... maybe Philly, maybe one with San Diego

That's 7-9... who do you see when you look at that last that KC can beat to top .500? Don't forget that Buffalo routinely slaughters KC

liuzhoudragon
08-14-2013, 11:41 PM
lol wut?

Jags, Raiders 2x, Browns, probably the Titans... maybe Philly, maybe one with San Diego

That's 7-9... who do you see when you look at that last that KC can beat to top .500? Don't forget that Buffalo routinely slaughters KC

1st this is about prediciting the future not saying what already happened

KC turned over more balls last year then hooker with a buy one get one sale. cut turnovers from epic to mediorcure and you got mutlple more wins. Replace Romeo Cernel with Any Reid. Cassel with Smith.

Jags-win
Raider -2 wins (total 3)
Browns- say .6 win
Titans - .6 win (4.2 total)
Chargers - say 1.2 wins (they are more likely to go 2-0 then 0-2, especially with chargers injuries ) (5.4 total)
Bills- .6 (6)
NFC east Teams say the go even 2 wins (8 wins)

Broncos twice, Colts and texans I am counting as pretty sure losses.

JM18
08-15-2013, 12:12 AM
is it me or are the patriots missing from the list?

Dave P
08-15-2013, 12:12 AM
It was probably removed because of the Tom Brady knee-thing.

liuzhoudragon
08-15-2013, 12:31 AM
It was probably removed because of the Tom Brady knee-thing.

this.

Dan916
08-15-2013, 12:57 AM
Bal 8.5 under
Dal 8.5 under
Den 11.5 over
Det 8.5 under
KC 7.5 under
Mia 8.5 under
NYG 9.5 under
Oak 5.5 under
SD 7.5 over
SF 11.5 under
Sea 10.5 over
Was 7.5 over



this.

yeah ESPN said bet sites panicked

james562
08-15-2013, 04:00 AM
Ari 5.5
Atl 9.5 OVER
Bal 8.5
Buf 6.5
Car 7.5
Chi 8.5
Cin 8.5
Cle 6.5 UNDER
Dal 8.5
Den 11.5
Det 8.5
GB 10.5
Hou 10.5
Ind 8.5
Jac 4.5
KC 7.5
Mia 8.5 UNDER
Min 7.5
NO 9.5
NYG 9.5
NYJ 6.5 UNDER
Oak 5.5
Phi 7.5
Pit 8.5
SD 7.5
SF 11.5
Sea 10.5
Stl 7.5
TB 7.5
Ten 6.5
Was 7.5


These are the only sure things I see this year.

ShweezyBTFO
08-15-2013, 06:06 AM
The team is listed then the over under number of wins for the year. If you see one you like list it and a reason.

Ari 5.5 over
Atl 9.5 over
Bal 8.5 over
Buf 6.5 under
Car 7.5 over
Chi 8.5 under
Cin 8.5 over
Cle 6.5 under
Dal 8.5 under
Den 11.5 over
Det 8.5 under
GB 10.5 over
Hou 10.5 under
Ind 8.5 under
Jac 4.5 under
KC 7.5 over
Mia 8.5 under
Min 7.5 over
NO 9.5 under
NYG 9.5 under
NYJ 6.5 under
Oak 5.5 under
Phi 7.5 over
Pit 8.5 under
SD 7.5 over
SF 11.5 under
Sea 10.5 over
Stl 7.5 over
TB 7.5 over
Ten 6.5 under
Was 7.5 under


Any help would be appreciated.


you're welcome.

Impurityz
08-15-2013, 06:07 AM
you're welcome.

drawing my life savings... the king has spoke

charity4thepoor
08-15-2013, 07:44 AM
KC will get wrecked week 1. jags over 4.5. i'd do over if it was 15.5. we are gud.

Umad Imswole
08-15-2013, 11:35 AM
Line was down because of injury scare for Brady. Back up now at 10.5.

Trequartista
08-15-2013, 12:00 PM
only two of those i would consider playing are Broncos and 49ers under 11.5

sups31
08-15-2013, 12:20 PM
jets under, take it to the fukking bank. 5 wins max.

Hoop_Dreams
08-15-2013, 04:12 PM
I'm not a betting man, but ATL looks like a good bet to win 10 games. And Oakland looks like a good bet to win 5 or less, especially since they just lost Veldheer for a good chunk of the season, if not the entire season.
Just to add to this, Alex fukkin Barron is going to be starting at LT for the Raiders now that Veldheer is out for 3 months.

That OL is going to be a disaster for a QB who already can't throw down the field, and their pass rush is going to be horrendous. They're the least talented team in the league, and just lost one of their 3 best players.

Take the under on the Raiders ASAP.

liuzhoudragon
08-15-2013, 07:32 PM
only two of those i would consider playing are Broncos and 49ers under 11.5

So the broncos added weapons, had there QB get healthy, and got a drastically easier schedule.......................................... ....and you think they are going to be worse?????????

Trequartista
08-15-2013, 08:28 PM
So the broncos added weapons, had there QB get healthy, and got a drastically easier schedule.......................................... ....and you think they are going to be worse?????????


a) you cant look at a preseason schedule and determine how difficult it is because things change so much from year to year in the NFL

b) we have no idea who will get injured or how turnovers will favor or not favor them this season

c) regression to the mean is likely for all teams

i would play the under 11.5 for all teams in the NFL

BenadrylBandit
08-15-2013, 10:10 PM
you're welcome.

Has Eagles winning NFC east.



Just put my house on it.

Saxbro
08-15-2013, 10:17 PM
No way the Patriots lose more than 10. Take the over on 10.5.

Buc-u
08-15-2013, 10:33 PM
Bucs at 7.5 is tough. I have a lot of expectations but with a questionable D-line and Free's sometimey ass I dont know if I'd bet it. Tough divison and NFC West/AFC east. Fuaaaarrrrrkkkkkk

Mac_xX
08-15-2013, 10:55 PM
KC will get wrecked week 1. jags over 4.5. i'd do over if it was 15.5. we are gud.

http://i.imgur.com/NE4UM9m.gif

NoS_oUtLaSt
08-15-2013, 11:08 PM
Bal 8.5 - Over. Too Easy.

Det 8.5 - Under. Somebody in the North has to bomb. I'll take AP and the Vikings D grinding out wins over Det. Bears defense still pretty damn good.

Ind 8.5 - Over. Andrew Luck is legit. Defense is coming around under Pagano.

Oak 5.5 - Under. Literally the worst roster in football. Coach has openly stated he doesn't want their QB throwing over 25 yards.



Maybe the under on Tenn too. Defense is still chit and Jake Locker struggles to even complete 55%.

And possibly the over on ATL. Didn't want to make it one of my main ones cause I'll sound like a homer but we've never had a losing season under Mike Smith and the only time we got 9 wins was when Ryan got hurt. barring serious injury the Falcons are just a double digit lock.

liuzhoudragon
08-16-2013, 12:46 AM
a) you cant look at a preseason schedule and determine how difficult it is because things change so much from year to year in the NFL

b) we have no idea who will get injured or how turnovers will favor or not favor them this season

c) regression to the mean is likely for all teams


i would play the under 11.5 for all teams in the NFL

A. yes you can........the raiders and jags are still going to suck ass. the hawks and 9ers and pats will still be good. Change? yes of couse Chiefs for example could have a big swings. but the SOS is far from meaningless. chargers and raiders are already Dead in water.

B. injuries are just as likely to affect the oposistion as the broncos. not likely they have mchurt on the team.

C. Over time yes, in a season no. not all teams will move to the mean this year........again riaders and jags will still be horrible, Bronoces and 9ers and pats and hawks and falcons will all still be good.

Umad Imswole
08-24-2013, 06:43 PM
Here is what I got so far. Feel free to talk me out of something. No picks locked in yet.

Ticket #1

Atl over
Car under
Cle under
Was over

Ticket #2

Jets Under
Jac under
Oak Under
Colts Over

Ticket #3

KC Over
Pats under
Ten under
Bal Over

CCAurora
08-24-2013, 10:18 PM
1st this is about prediciting the future not saying what already happened

SMH... unless they're fielding an entirely new team, KC is fundamentally mismatched against Buffalo... can't stop our RB's, easy to throw over the top, easy for our LB's to penetrate their line... is what it is, bro... it was reversed 20 years ago when Chiefs slapped Jim Kelly around despite Buffalo being considered the far better team (except the only one that mattered - the Jan. 94 AFC Title Game)


KC turned over more balls last year then hooker with a buy one get one sale. cut turnovers from epic to mediorcure and you got mutlple more wins. Replace Romeo Cernel with Any Reid. Cassel with Smith.

Jags-win
Raider -2 wins (total 3)
Browns- say .6 win
Titans - .6 win (4.2 total)
Chargers - say 1.2 wins (they are more likely to go 2-0 then 0-2, especially with chargers injuries ) (5.4 total)
Bills- .6 (6)
NFC east Teams say the go even 2 wins (8 wins)

Broncos twice, Colts and texans I am counting as pretty sure losses.

What makes you think the turnovers will magically drop? Will Smith outdo Cassel's stupid underrated 2010 season? Probably not.

Dave P
10-07-2013, 05:15 PM
lol wut?

Jags, Raiders 2x, Browns, probably the Titans... maybe Philly, maybe one with San Diego

That's 7-9... who do you see when you look at that last that KC can beat to top .500? Don't forget that Buffalo routinely slaughters KC


KC will get wrecked week 1. jags over 4.5. i'd do over if it was 15.5. we are gud.

u mad?

charity4thepoor
10-07-2013, 06:04 PM
u mad?so mad brah. we can only win 15 games now when we win out to take the SB