Double Dozen Strategy
Make two individual bets on two dozens and martingale the one that doesn't hit
I modified it so when two of them don't hit I place a bet on the one that recently hit in case of a streak on one dozen to cut some losses but only martingale one dozen
According to chatgpt the odds of a dozen not hitting 9 times in a row is 0.015% in european roulette and two dozens cover 64.8% of the numbers
I tried it on multiple apps with a goal to win $100 and it worked most of the time as long as I start betting with $1
thoughts?
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Thread: Winning Roulette Strategy?
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09-11-2023, 04:55 AM #1
Winning Roulette Strategy?
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09-11-2023, 05:07 AM #2
Best strat: Take your money off the Roulette table and hit the Craps table. Line bet and 6/8 SRS
𝗣𝗨𝗥𝗘𝗕𝗟𝗢𝗢𝗗
ωσяℓ∂ тяανєℓєя ȼяєω ₅₀/₁₉₅
𝕬𝖊𝖘𝖙𝖍𝖊𝖙𝖎𝖈𝖆𝖑𝖑𝖞 𝕮𝖚𝖙 𝕸𝖆𝖘𝖙𝖊𝖗 𝕽𝖆𝖈𝖊 ®
𝘐𝘵'𝘴 𝘫𝘶𝘴𝘵 𝘵𝘸𝘰 𝘸𝘦𝘦𝘬𝘴. 𝘐𝘵'𝘴 𝘫𝘶𝘴𝘵 𝘨𝘳𝘰𝘶𝘯𝘥 𝘵𝘳𝘰𝘰𝘱𝘴. 𝘐𝘵'𝘴 𝘫𝘶𝘴𝘵 𝘢 𝘵𝘢𝘤𝘵𝘪𝘤𝘢𝘭 𝘯𝘶𝘬𝘦. 𝘐𝘵'𝘴 𝘫𝘶𝘴𝘵 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘮𝘢𝘫𝘰𝘳 𝘤𝘪𝘵𝘪𝘦𝘴. 𝘐𝘵'𝘴 𝘫𝘶𝘴𝘵 𝘢 𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘵𝘭𝘦 𝘳𝘢𝘥𝘪𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘱𝘰𝘪𝘴𝘰𝘯𝘪𝘯𝘨. 𝘐𝘵'𝘴 𝘫𝘶𝘴𝘵 𝘧𝘢𝘮𝘪𝘯𝘦.
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09-11-2023, 05:13 AM #3
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09-11-2023, 05:21 AM #4
From ChatGpt:
Explain why the Martingale strategy doesn't work.
The Martingale strategy is a popular betting and gambling strategy that involves doubling your bet after each loss in the hopes of eventually recovering all your losses and making a profit. While it may seem like a simple and logical way to recover losses, the Martingale strategy has significant flaws and limitations that make it a risky and ineffective approach in the long run. Here are some reasons why the Martingale strategy doesn't work:
Infinite Bankroll: The Martingale strategy assumes that you have an infinite bankroll or, at the very least, a sufficiently large bankroll to keep doubling your bets after losses. In reality, no one has an infinite bankroll, and there are practical limits to how much you can bet.
House Edge: Most casino games and betting systems have a house edge, which means that over time, the casino or bookmaker has an advantage that ensures they make a profit. The Martingale strategy does not change the odds or the house edge, so in the long run, the player is still likely to lose money.
Risk of Exponential Losses: While the Martingale strategy can work in the short term, it is highly risky in the long term. If you encounter a series of consecutive losses, you may end up reaching a point where your bets become prohibitively large, and a single win may not be enough to recover your previous losses.
Table Limits: Casinos and betting platforms often have maximum bet limits to prevent players from using strategies like the Martingale to bankrupt them. Once you reach the table limit, you can no longer double your bet, which means you cannot continue the strategy effectively.
Psychological Stress: Doubling your bets after each loss can lead to significant psychological stress and emotional turmoil. It can be emotionally taxing to watch your losses accumulate rapidly, and this can cloud your judgment and lead to poor decision-making.
Randomness and Streaks: The Martingale strategy assumes that wins and losses alternate evenly, which is not how random events work. In reality, streaks of wins or losses can occur, and if you encounter a prolonged losing streak, it can be devastating to your bankroll.
Commission and Fees: In some betting environments, such as sports betting or trading, there may be commissions or fees that eat into your profits and make it even harder to recover losses with the Martingale strategy.
In summary, the Martingale strategy is fundamentally flawed because it relies on unrealistic assumptions, doesn't change the underlying odds or house edge, and can lead to substantial losses, especially in the face of practical limitations and the unpredictable nature of random events. While it may provide short-term wins, it is not a sustainable or reliable strategy for long-term profit in betting or gambling. It's important to approach gambling with a clear understanding of the risks involved and to use strategies that are based on sound principles of probability and bankroll management.
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09-11-2023, 05:22 AM #5
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09-11-2023, 05:23 AM #6
What is the probablity of reaching ruin of you aim to win $100 and how much do you lose if you do? It's a strategy that shapes your chances into a high probability of a small win and a low probability of a large loss, the proverbial picking up pennies in front of a steam roller. It is not EV +ve over a large sample but it does increase the probability of a win in small number of spins vs many other strategies, but as I said that win will be relatively small compared to other strategies and if you do get unlucky it is larger loss. You can emulate this payout probability scheme with the EV neutral strategy of not buying lottery tickets.
Good spinners have a level of control over where it lands. I thought this concept was ridiculous when someone told me but I've seen it in action. Be friendly, place your bets to give them a target, make sure they're aware of the target and they will try hit it. It is theoretically possible for this to be +ve EV and works really well for my brother but I am an autistic miscer and I seem to fail the first step most of the time.
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09-11-2023, 05:49 AM #7
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09-11-2023, 06:30 AM #8
The secret my friends is always bet on 23.
*Simplicity is the key to life*
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09-11-2023, 06:33 AM #9
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09-11-2023, 06:41 AM #10
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09-11-2023, 06:43 AM #11
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09-11-2023, 06:45 AM #12
Casino gaming of all kinds sucks balls.
If you're trying any kind of progressive staking then do it in sports betting where it's easier to have an edge and apply skill."Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it... he who doesn't... pays it" ~ Albert Einstein.
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11-13-2023, 09:41 AM #13
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02-14-2024, 08:40 AM #14
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02-14-2024, 08:47 AM #15
- Join Date: Feb 2009
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Being the first bettor when odds become available on sports (and the maximum allowed wager is only like $100) is really the only easy way to beat Vegas, and even then your bets are severely limited because the house is just using you to adjust the line so they can increase the wager allowance later on.
I've taken many bets at +500 or higher that would adjust to +200 or lower several days later.
Had one go from like +3500 to something like +800 once.
Just gotta be early.Spoiler alert; you die at the end.
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02-14-2024, 08:52 AM #16
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02-14-2024, 08:53 AM #17
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02-14-2024, 09:02 AM #18
There's 4 games that are beatable:
poker
blackjack
sports
progressive slots
not that most people are capable of beating them, but it can be done. Blackjack has the additional downside that to make a worthwhile amount of money counting cards you have to be doing enough size to attract the wrong kind of attention.
minus 0, 00, and apparently now 000"Bones heal, pain is temporary, and chicks dig scars" - Evel Knievel
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02-14-2024, 09:03 AM #19
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02-14-2024, 09:04 AM #20
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02-14-2024, 09:05 AM #21
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