Is Florida likely going blue the next election?

[Noliberals4]

I don't agree with this. Yes, demographics are changing, as in younger people voting blue, but more and more Hispanics are going red, because they hate socialism. This is nationally. This is only to grow.

Texas is lucky in that the Latinos there (a lot of Tejanos) tend to vote red (something like 40% of Latinos in Texas vote red), and this is one of the reasons Texas goes red in an election. Trump actually won quite a few 70%+ Hispanic border counties in 2020.

But that's not the problem - it's white voters. Georgia and Arizona went blue in 2020 not because of Latinos, but white voters. Trump collapsed with white suburban voters in those states even though he INCREASED his support with Hispanics.

Texas won't go blue in 2024, and maybe not 2028 but it will be a full on swing state then.

[128]

Doubt it, Trump won by a good margin and Democrats have done nothing but turn off normal people since.


One thing to acknowledge is a lot of people leaving the blue states are conservatives too

[Dan3582]

Doubt it, Trump won by a good margin and Democrats have done nothing but turn off normal people since.


One thing to acknowledge is a lot of people leaving the blue states are conservatives too

President Trump shall win Florida for the third time, this time, at least five- plus percent. Florida is a solid red state now. DeSantis will win re-election by at at least 10 percent in November.
- Source, Richard Baris, the best pollster in the country
https://twitter.com/Peoples_Pundit

https://floridianpress.com/2021/12/d...-registration/
"Over the weekend, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) celebrated what he’s calling a “Historic win in the Sunshine State.” The Biden Administration and Democrats have struggled with Florida voters in recent weeks, and a number of polls have indicated that support for either has taken a hit both in the state and nationally.

As a result, Governor DeSantis informed supporters that “for the first time in the history of Florida, there are more registered Republicans than Democrats.”

[Dan3582]

Surely those natural conservatives will come through this time

typical liberal conventional thinking, thinking Hispanics will vote one way in the long-run

[DeshaunWatson]

President Trump shall win Florida for the third time, this time, at least five- plus percent. Florida is a solid red state now. DeSantis will win re-election by at at least 10 percent in November.
- Source, Richard Baris, the best pollster in the country
https://twitter.com/Peoples_Pundit

https://floridianpress.com/2021/12/d...-registration/
"Over the weekend, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) celebrated what he’s calling a “Historic win in the Sunshine State.” The Biden Administration and Democrats have struggled with Florida voters in recent weeks, and a number of polls have indicated that support for either has taken a hit both in the state and nationally.

As a result, Governor DeSantis informed supporters that “for the first time in the history of Florida, there are more registered Republicans than Democrats.”

Let’s not forget the independents too. (I’m one of them on paper) there’s many more just like me

[RIKTER]

typical liberal conventional thinking, thinking Hispanics will vote one way in the long-run

Since 1980 the (R) nominee has avg 31% of the hispanic vote.

Thats not liberal thinking, that's math.

Liberals think math is racist and conservatives dont fully grasp it.

[Dan3582]

Since 1980 the (R) nominee has avg 31% of the hispanic vote.

Thats not liberal thinking, that's math.

Liberals think math is racist and conservatives dont fully grasp it.

Hispanics are not a monolithic voting group like Blacks and you're so-called 31 percent for GOP nominee is not backed by accounting data. Past data has no predictive power, if that was that was case, active management funds would beat passive index funds on the regular basis. Hispanics are trending R bigly, especially when you look at Texas counties that are majority Hispanics along the Rio Grande Valley, particularly the Hispanics working-class without four year college degrees.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/hispani...ds-11638972769
"Hispanic Voters Now Evenly Split Between Parties, WSJ Poll Finds
Republicans have made rapid gains among a crucial voting demographic that has long favored Democrats"