Based on the early Florida voting, it seems like it will be left up to Texas, so maybe like -300 to -400?
I just guess I don't get it, I don't see political odds like traditional odds. If Trump is (for example, I have no idea) - a 2% favorite in Texas or whatever fabricated number it is, I don't consider it a 52% chance to win Texas vs a 48% Biden wins Texas. If you ran the election 100 times, I wouldn't expect Biden to win 48 of them - I'd expect him to win zero. I haven't spent any time looking into it, so maybe I am stating something that is already well known, but polling =/= probability in my eyes.
|
Closed Thread
Results 241 to 270 of 9642
-
11-03-2020, 11:49 AM #241
- Join Date: Jun 2011
- Location: California, United States
- Posts: 27,623
- Rep Power: 72804
#FreeCryptoBandit
-
11-03-2020, 11:51 AM #242
Who's going to be drinking tonight?
-Engineering Crew
-Self Improvement Crew
-Third Position Crew
-Keith Woods Crew
-Consolecel Crew
-Dr. Edward Dutton Crew
-
11-03-2020, 11:56 AM #243
-
11-03-2020, 11:57 AM #244
-
-
11-03-2020, 11:59 AM #245
Probably should throw a few Chinese flags in the thread title so our resident liberals know they can come post here.
-
11-03-2020, 12:00 PM #246
At this point I"m just hoping R's keep the Senate. Very pessimistic about Trump's enthusiasm right now.
-
11-03-2020, 12:01 PM #247
Lol @ people who think Trump can take CO.
The most interesting state this election is Texas, because the sheer amount of voting increase. Augmented voting is conventionally never a good thing for the GOP, so it will be interesting to see how close Texas is or if Biden actually flips it."I am a rational animal who occupies the intermediary position between angel and beast"
"The upper class is afforded their position by the collective burden the underclass must carry for them"
**Summer Walker Crew**
-
11-03-2020, 12:02 PM #248
-
-
11-03-2020, 12:02 PM #249
- Join Date: Apr 2006
- Location: California, United States
- Posts: 11,933
- Rep Power: 73593
Some of y'all need to calm the fuk down. You're all of a sudden throwing in the towel based on what facts?
*SillieBazzillie isn't that bad of a guy Crew*
*STEM Master Race*
*Fly Navy Crew*
*Always Pick 5 Crew*
*STL Cardinals/Blues/MIZ-ZOU Crew*
-
11-03-2020, 12:02 PM #250"I am a rational animal who occupies the intermediary position between angel and beast"
"The upper class is afforded their position by the collective burden the underclass must carry for them"
**Summer Walker Crew**
-
11-03-2020, 12:02 PM #251
-
11-03-2020, 12:03 PM #252
-
-
11-03-2020, 12:05 PM #253
-
11-03-2020, 12:07 PM #254
- Join Date: Feb 2015
- Location: Houston, Texas, United States
- Posts: 3,932
- Rep Power: 43792
In boyos.
-
11-03-2020, 12:08 PM #255
-
11-03-2020, 12:08 PM #256
-
-
11-03-2020, 12:09 PM #257
-
11-03-2020, 12:09 PM #258
-
11-03-2020, 12:09 PM #259
Trumps leading all the cookie and donut polls in PA he’s fine
-
11-03-2020, 12:11 PM #260
-
-
11-03-2020, 12:12 PM #261
Turnout way down in Philly. Not good for Biden
-
11-03-2020, 12:13 PM #262
-
11-03-2020, 12:14 PM #263
- Join Date: Nov 2009
- Location: Austin, Texas, United States
- Posts: 10,212
- Rep Power: 8610
Commenting to come back later and see who needs to eat **** on all this BS I see posted hahaha
Austin Texas Crew
Ditched the weights
found Pilates
and Inner Peace
-
11-03-2020, 12:15 PM #264
So many conflicting posts
Misc'in since '07
2x cancer survivor
-
-
11-03-2020, 12:16 PM #265
Good thing is Rural is turning out in huge numbers.
-
11-03-2020, 12:16 PM #266
Most conservatives are still at work.
-
11-03-2020, 12:17 PM #267
- Join Date: Feb 2006
- Location: Jacksonville, Florida, United States
- Posts: 100,870
- Rep Power: 1578593
damn how slow is their process lol
China is asshoe !!!
Super Straight HTC Crew, Pureblood Crew & a Jeepbrah (no ducks)
Florida is GOAT
Gen X: Humanity's last hope
-
11-03-2020, 12:17 PM #268
-
-
11-03-2020, 12:17 PM #269
stop worrying about PA
https://www.inquirer.com/politics/el...-20201020.html
the early voting numbers have been known for weeks
its all about todays expected 65/35 GOP favored turnout
-
11-03-2020, 12:18 PM #270
Bookmarks