**OFFICIAL** Trading and Investing Thread- Part -X-

[mike.hunt]

Huawei CFO arrested and being extradited to USA
CME reports circuit breakers triggered to stop selloff of futures


Tomorrow should be a rollercoaster

[iifymbro]

[mike.hunt]

The only thing I want for Christmas is for Mr Tariff Man to get permabanned from Twitter.

[mike.hunt]

Futures getting pummeled, appears CME might have stepped in again to stop selloff. This bad fam

[RobParks2M]

Fukin gay the markets are closed today over the funeral of Bush.

Lmfao. Some government offices closed too I guess? DA fuk kinda of office closes for this BS? Does it count as some sort of national holiday? Also, glad I left the short term market- chit was insane. Tesla valuation still stupid

[Comply_or_Die]

Huawei CFO arrested, let the trade wars begin...

[iifymbro]

[tunafish01]

See you guys in 2 years

[Comply_or_Die]

lmao

[Comply_or_Die]

What free site(s) do you guys use for news on the stock markets?

[Venom08]

I have mild support coming up at 24,380 on /YM (Dow futures) otherwise targeting 23,995. Fukkkkk this **** and fuk you Euro.

[chickenbroccoli]

Anyone have an opinion regarding inverted yield curves which appear to be happening in treasury bonds?

[WhAtNoWbChSs]

Donald Trump is gonna make gold great again. Still in UGLD with loads of dry powder to add.

[WhAtNoWbChSs]

New low on financials with massive chunks getting blown out. holy chit.

[Kane_89]

If this level doesnt hold...

[Barn01]

What's going on in here?

[MillerDecaXC]

Anyone have an opinion regarding inverted yield curves which appear to be happening in treasury bonds?

I Read that the 2 and 10-year inverted before every crash/bear market since like 1955(?).

But what I’m wondering tho, did a crash follow EVERY time the 2 and 10 inverted?

[Barn01]

I Read that the 2 and 10-year inverted before every crash/bear market since like 1955(?).

But what I’m wondering tho, did a crash follow EVERY time the 2 and 10 inverted?

I did a lot of backtesting a few years ago to see if I could use yield inversion as a leading indicator and by its self I found to be useless.

[WhAtNoWbChSs]

I did a lot of backtesting a few years ago to see if I could use yield inversion as a leading indicator and by its self I found to be useless.

what's your opinion on the markets?

technology is trying to bounce but financials are still deep red. This market is not trustworthy IMO.

[ghostfacedup]

We're probably due for a huge correction, like pretty huge and painful. However, if Trump can get a deal with China, we'll be good long term..they were sucking us dry. Trump's gotta come through on this and correct immigration.

[RobParks2M]

We're probably due for a huge correction, like pretty huge and painful. However, if Trump can get a deal with China, we'll be good long term..they were sucking us dry. Trump's gotta come through on this and correct immigration.

These 2 + scaling back military spending + certain "entitlements" are really all I could hope for outta Trump's presidency. That and the more conservative justice we got.

[Venom08]

"We are still in this obsession with interest rates and how people are completely brainwashed with respect to their impact. Wage growth picked up across America and the job market continued to strengthen. The market is still in a position to test the key support. However, keep in mind that should come cyclically in 2019. The obsession with interest rates and that a strong economy is somehow bearish for stocks is really strange logic. When the economy turns down, interest rates fall, but so do stock prices. This is very weird logic to cheer lower interest rates fear rising rates. In a normal economy that is growing, rates rises BECAUSE the demand for money rises for investment. The whole problem in Europe is that not even negative rates have helped because people see no opportunity for investment so they do not borrow. What we must remain concerned about is crossing that line in the Paradox when rising rates reflects the collapse in confidence. Then rates rise exponentially and capital flees to private assets.

The US economy continues to hold up the entire world and Asia and Europe are declining. In Europe, we see the funds shifting to German bunds against just about everyone else in the EU especially ahead of next week's vote on BREXIT. We still have chaos coming next week with Directional Changes and Panic Cycles in various markets. We warned that December was a crazy money. We even have Merkel stepping down as the head of the CDU."

Pretty good post by Martin Armstrong

[Venom08]

I did a lot of backtesting a few years ago to see if I could use yield inversion as a leading indicator and by its self I found to be useless.

Almost as funny as the "Death Cross" everyone posts about each year

[mike.hunt]

Almost as funny as the "Death Cross" everyone posts about each year

next week it will be something else

first it was bonds, then it was death cross, then yield inversion

meanwhile economy is strong af, everybody has jobs, rev is highest ever etc etc
its like they just looking for a reason to crash, even though the economy is great

[stevesteve12]

next week it will be something else

first it was bonds, then it was death cross, then yield inversion

meanwhile economy is strong af, everybody has jobs, rev is highest ever etc etc
its like they just looking for a reason to crash, even though the economy is great

do you even know how the stock market work?

discounted cash flow model? the bond/equities risk model? hello?

[Venom08]

Donald Trump is gonna make gold great again. Still in UGLD with loads of dry powder to add.

Nah, look at /gc. It’s range bound 1185-1245. A break above either level will tell you where it’s going. So far the rejection at 1245 has been incredible. Sure it gets to 1249 but it always fails to close above 1245.

[mike.hunt]

do you even know how the stock market work?

discounted cash flow model? the bond/equities risk model? hello?

[WhAtNoWbChSs]

Nah, look at /gc. It’s range bound 1185-1245. A break above either level will tell you where it’s going. So far the rejection at 1245 has been incredible. Sure it gets to 1249 but it always fails to close above 1245.

nope the shorts are about to get popped.

[mike.hunt]

Think it’s time to go long oil boys

Huge call volume coming in today on USO/RIG/HAL

[PrimarisIn]

tfw in such volatile market... was almost down 50% but now its going back up. 49% gains in one of my companies today lol.