**OFFICIAL** Trading and Investing Thread- Part -IX-

[LoadedWraps]

Dat der JNUG making my panties wet

[blinkers88]

AMZN goin to 1000 this year?

[Slamt]

lmao

RIP my AMZN brahs

[DasBiceps]

2016 was a great year to invest in amazon. Right after the 2015 holidays it dipped, if you caught it right before the upswing it pretty much skyrocketed up until november. I sold at the right moment, make a couple thousand, watched a dip, reinvested and then trump fukt me. I bounced back a little but I took a $500 loss.

I didn't do much this year with it. I am waiting for a split to happen.

lmao

RIP my AMZN brahs

Until earnings.

[dopamine72]

AMZN goin to 1000 this year?

Wouldn't be surprised

Would be nice to see a split soon

[DasBiceps]

Wouldn't be surprised

Would be nice to see a split soon

they better split soon. They need to.

[Venom08]

Tfw I bought AMZN in 2011 in the 200s and sold for a measly 10% because everyone was saying its PE was too damn high and due for a strong crash.

[ctownballer04]

Tfw I bought AMZN in 2011 in the 200s and sold for a measly 10% because everyone was saying its PE was too damn high and due for a strong crash.

You could have bought cognizant at 37x earnings in early 2000s and had 15 bagger.

[DasBiceps]

Tfw I bought AMZN in 2011 in the 200s and sold for a measly 10% because everyone was saying its PE was too damn high and due for a strong crash.

Thats why im not gonna listen to people about nvda. Easily a 150 200 by this years.

[badbart]

Thats why im not gonna listen to people about nvda. Easily a 150 200 by this years.

i've been watching NVDA, big selling a couple days ago hope it shows strength. Been buying everyday locking in a small gain with a stop hoping it pops but no luck so far, I've been getting stopped out.

[hungarian_boss]

FWIW, AMD had 348% increase Year over year compared to NVDA 225%

[CoreMaster75]

What entry point are you guys looking at for AMZN? Curious to hear if people are expecting a crash in the next couple months from Trump, or looking for a small dip to get into the stock. Was seriously considering it at 745 but Trump vendetta is leaving it foggy for me.

i've been watching NVDA, big selling a couple days ago hope it shows strength. Been buying everyday locking in a small gain with a stop hoping it pops but no luck so far, I've been getting stopped out.

Min. $150 by year end IMO. Nvidia is pushing technologies that aren't well understood, which is why it was so underestimated last year. They're branching out and making smart moves - AI, Deep learning, Self Driving Auto, Smart Home, Road Mapping, Cloud Gaming, Google Assistant integration, partnering with Audi, and the 1080 Ti in the near future.

FWIW, AMD had 348% increase Year over year compared to NVDA 225%

I seriously don't see AMD being a big stock in the future, IMO it's making a short term run and is being driven by NVDA hype and it's cheap price. Nvidia is innovating, pushing new markets and still killing it in it's home turf of GPU's.

I mean even their financials - NVDA posting Juicy profits and big increases each quarter, AMD is consistently losing money and staying flat in revenue, showing very little growth. Honestly would love to hear some opinions, I seriously can't get behind AMD as a stock. IMO - NVDA will be a powerhouse over the next 10 years as they grow into an innovative, multi-sector company, while AMD will fall by the wayside and struggle to stay afloat. JMO.

Financials:
Nvidia: http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/nvda/revenue-eps
AMD: http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/amd/revenue-eps

[DasBiceps]

What entry point are you guys looking at for AMZN? Curious to hear if people are expecting a crash in the next couple months from Trump, or looking for a small dip to get into the stock. Was seriously considering it at 745 but Trump vendetta is leaving it foggy for me.




Min. $150 by year end IMO. Nvidia is pushing technologies that aren't well understood, which is why it was so underestimated last year. They're branching out and making smart moves - AI, Deep learning, Self Driving Auto, Smart Home, Road Mapping, Cloud Gaming, Google Assistant integration, partnering with Audi, and the 1080 Ti in the near future.



I seriously don't see AMD being a big stock in the future, IMO it's making a short term run and is being driven by NVDA hype and it's cheap price. Nvidia is innovating, pushing new markets and still killing it in it's home turf of GPU's.

I mean even their financials - NVDA posting Juicy profits and big increases each quarter, AMD is consistently losing money and staying flat in revenue, showing very little growth. Honestly would love to hear some opinions, I seriously can't get behind AMD as a stock. IMO - NVDA will be a powerhouse over the next 10 years as they grow into an innovative, multi-sector company, while AMD will fall by the wayside and struggle to stay afloat. JMO.

Financials:
Nvidia: http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/nvda/revenue-eps
AMD: http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/amd/revenue-eps

AMZN only going up with trump. But i need it to go down before i buy into it especially befor earnings.

AMD is just as good as NVDA. AMD is starting to lean away from GPU's and going into services, and while they may start leaning away from GPU's, they will continue to have a presence.

NVDA on the other hand is so dominant right now, it is more likely the safer long term trade.

[VSVP99]

Ichan considering stake in GILD

[VSVP99]

i've been watching NVDA, big selling a couple days ago hope it shows strength. Been buying everyday locking in a small gain with a stop hoping it pops but no luck so far, I've been getting stopped out.

Technicals are getting weaker by the day in NVDA since Tuesday.

I like it long term, short term there seems to be weakness.

[Slamt]

Forgot about NFP

Anyways, action seems a little bit F'd right now

Out of all position, eyeing gold pullback for more calls.

[DasBiceps]

Forgot about NFP

Anyways, action seems a little bit F'd right now

Out of all position, eyeing gold pullback for more calls.

\

pfttt


Got my Dow 20k hat and shirt on everyday. HAve to be prepared.

[Slamt]

\

pfttt


Got my Dow 20k hat and shirt on everyday. HAve to be prepared.

I guess we are back to **** data = good for dollar times again....

[Barn01]

Who the fuk are all the noobs?

I hope you cuks are making money while I'm changing poopy diapers!

Oh and I've been working on some new trading systems. I needed the time off to devote towards development of the systems. Still in progress

[DasBiceps]

I guess we are back to **** data = good for dollar times again....

Who cares, up is good.

Who the fuk are all the noobs?

I hope you cuks are making money while I'm changing poopy diapers!

Oh and I've been working on some new trading systems. I needed the time off to devote towards development of the systems. Still in progress

I use to post in the supp section. But its pretty dull their.

[chickenxnuggets]

anyone get in on today's ETRM run?

[VSVP99]

Oh and I've been working on some new trading systems. I needed the time off to devote towards development of the systems. Still in progress

I'm actually looking to backtest a strategy using technical incidents on a fundamental, large cap, base. Any experience with this?

http://quantpedia.com/Links/Backtesters is as fas as I've gotten.

[LoadedWraps]

Who the fuk are all the noobs?

I hope you cuks are making money while I'm changing poopy diapers!

Oh and I've been working on some new trading systems. I needed the time off to devote towards development of the systems. Still in progress

What trading systems are you working on? Are you a software developer? Front end? Back end?

Also, how do you manage your time between trading and modeling? Do you day trade in the morning and model/gym in the evenings?

Aside from being a more active swing trader, my goal is to figure out how to manage my day between day job, trading, and fitness myself. Modeling is also something I want to get into but not fitness modeling before someone takes shots at me for saying so, haha but I am genuinely curious as to how you manage your time.

[ceizer1985]

Sitting on the sidelines for now. Just doing some index funds for the time being.

[Venom08]

HOD: 19,999.63


lmfao

[DasBiceps]

HOD: 19,999.63


lmfao

Was on the edge of my chair, my 20k boxers and socks just came out of the dryer, i was about to pop open a brew...Then i realized, the Dow is hardcoded to never reached 20k.

[Barn01]

Who cares, up is good.



I use to post in the supp section. But its pretty dull their.

Just don't post anything against the narrative or it will get deleted. I got tired of making big posts to debunk products and then have it deleted within a day.

I'm actually looking to backtest a strategy using technical incidents on a fundamental, large cap, base. Any experience with this?

http://quantpedia.com/Links/Backtesters is as fas as I've gotten.

I do lots of backtesting YES. Mostly FA with some TA tossed in but make no mistake this is QA. I'll say this ... you have to PAY to get good unbiased data, using anything else will only hurt you in the long run. Let the results guide you. If there's nothing there then don't go looking for it.

What trading systems are you working on? Are you a software developer? Front end? Back end?

Also, how do you manage your time between trading and modeling? Do you day trade in the morning and model/gym in the evenings?

Aside from being a more active swing trader, my goal is to figure out how to manage my day between day job, trading, and fitness myself. Modeling is also something I want to get into but not fitness modeling before someone takes shots at me for saying so, haha but I am genuinely curious as to how you manage your time.

I've made some general systems for US and CAN but now I'm more focused making systems that are sector and sub-sector specific. For instance I just finished one for US Banks. I'm planning on conglomerating several historically good predictors together to form a trading "book". There's no doubt in my mind that the more focused you can make a system, the more predictability you hold to that segment of stocks. Imagine I could figure out 20 industries and traded 1 stock per industry .... I'd trust that far more than 20 stocks from a general market system.

I model 6-8hrs a day. I have some automation that I can even run overnight if I need to. I've ran 10's of thousands of samples already and I'm just getting started.
My trading models are designed to trade Monday morning open ONLY. I will get my signals about an hour before the bell to give me time to review the trade since I don't fully automate that process yet.
Positions are held for anything from 1wk to 1yr to minimize HFT and slippage effects.

[Barn01]

Was on the edge of my chair, my 20k boxers and socks just came out of the dryer, i was about to pop open a brew...Then i realized, the Dow is hardcoded to never reached 20k.

LOL it will blow 20K away this year

[Venom08]

LOL it will blow 20K away this year

DJIA 40k by 2020 lol

not srs....

semi-srs....




srs....

[Venom08]

Just don't post anything against the narrative or it will get deleted. I got tired of making big posts to debunk products and then have it deleted within a day.



I do lots of backtesting YES. Mostly FA with some TA tossed in but make no mistake this is QA. I'll say this ... you have to PAY to get good unbiased data, using anything else will only hurt you in the long run. Let the results guide you. If there's nothing there then don't go looking for it.



I've made some general systems for US and CAN but now I'm more focused making systems that are sector and sub-sector specific. For instance I just finished one for US Banks. I'm planning on conglomerating several historically good predictors together to form a trading "book". There's no doubt in my mind that the more focused you can make a system, the more predictability you hold to that segment of stocks. Imagine I could figure out 20 industries and traded 1 stock per industry .... I'd trust that far more than 20 stocks from a general market system.

I model 6-8hrs a day. I have some automation that I can even run overnight if I need to. I've ran 10's of thousands of samples already and I'm just getting started.
My trading models are designed to trade Monday morning open ONLY. I will get my signals about an hour before the bell to give me time to review the trade since I don't fully automate that process yet.
Positions are held for anything from 1wk to 1yr to minimize HFT and slippage effects.

The problem with automated trading models is that they work until they don't. In order for something to accurately forecast, it must have EXTENSIVE historical data input to it. I remember the story of a math wiz, David X. Li, whose CDOs model failed and all the flak he took on for its failure. It failed because it wasn't backtested far enough, and far enough is pre-1971 when free data became available. An on top of that, the trading model must constantly be learning and adjusting as the markets progress, otherwise it will fail. But TL;DR, models always fail because they don't get backtested nearly far enough.