assuming you had to pick only one stock, would anyone here considering purchasing ******** (FB) or Groupon (GRPN) as a buy and hold over the next 20 years?
srs
I wonder what sector will provide returns that will rival dotcom millionaires who invested in the 80s......
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07-31-2012, 06:24 PM #1
If you had $10,000 to invest in the stock market.....
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07-31-2012, 06:25 PM #2
neither. Social media sites can go downhill in a hurry.
I'd put it all in dividends stocks. PG&E suffered from the gas explosion in the Bay Area, but they aren't going anywhere.San Francisco Giants & 49ers; Saint Louis Cardinals & Blues
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07-31-2012, 06:26 PM #3
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07-31-2012, 06:26 PM #4
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07-31-2012, 06:27 PM #5
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07-31-2012, 06:27 PM #6
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07-31-2012, 06:28 PM #7
******** - theres only so much a company can make when it's based on people sharing photos.
Groupon - Haven't looked into it yet but its not as well known as it should be.
My pick:
Bank of America - if buffet is willing to put $1 billion in it, so am i
Ford - Only company to not need a bailout and still expanding in foreign markets. Give it 2-4 years.
edit: just re-read OP and you want to know what will be the next dot com. If we knew that, we wouldn't be miscing bro.
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07-31-2012, 06:29 PM #8
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07-31-2012, 06:30 PM #9
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07-31-2012, 06:32 PM #10
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07-31-2012, 06:34 PM #11
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07-31-2012, 06:35 PM #12
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07-31-2012, 06:35 PM #13
I know next to nothing about shares but logically FB would be a bad idea to invest in, imo it's reached or reaching its peak as we speak, it's going to decline over the next 20 years not grow, if you could have invested in it 5 years ago then you'd be cheering.
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07-31-2012, 06:35 PM #14
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07-31-2012, 06:36 PM #15
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07-31-2012, 06:37 PM #16
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07-31-2012, 06:37 PM #17
FB seems pretty volatile currently. I would suggest waiting until it goes under 20/share and if you are considering still, throw a small amount, keep a daily on it as well. The fluctuations can earn you some dough if you sell and re-buy before the major swings.
If you want it badly enough you will find a way, if not you will find an excuse.
Yesterday you said today
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07-31-2012, 06:37 PM #18
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07-31-2012, 06:40 PM #19
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07-31-2012, 06:40 PM #20
Only stocks, no funds?
If it's over 10 years, then something timeless and always profitable, like Coke or UPS. I don't trust even Google or Apple over that kind of time span. Ten years ago Google barely existed and Apple was just initially releasing OS X and was far from their huge comeback. Tech is too volatile.
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07-31-2012, 06:43 PM #21
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07-31-2012, 06:46 PM #22
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07-31-2012, 06:46 PM #23
On a different note, I got in CMI at $85 a share, CAT in the $79's, and EEP in the $28's (7.3% annual dividend yield and great price appreciation).
I only have $10k right now to play with since I just graduated college (debt free), so I'm investing aggressively in solid companies that are underpriced and putting the rest in low expense ratio Vanguard index funds (VFORX and VGENX).
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07-31-2012, 06:47 PM #24
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07-31-2012, 06:48 PM #25
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07-31-2012, 06:48 PM #26
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07-31-2012, 06:51 PM #27
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07-31-2012, 06:52 PM #28
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07-31-2012, 06:53 PM #29
No. I browsed the FB quarterly earnings report, and if I remember right, they were lower than projected. Most analysts see earnings declining. I highly doubt they pay a dividend any time in the next five years, and as another poster pointed out, I even doubt people will care about ******** in 5 years.
Another poster pointed out Ford. I have been following that and I think you could get a good value buy if you get it around 9 or less. Run a DCF at 9 assuming a similar dividend over 20 years and you should have a good idea.
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07-31-2012, 06:53 PM #30
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