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  • yes to first part! no to second ;( i wish though

    yes to first part! no to second ;( i wish though
  • i don't really understand any of the words you're...

    i don't really understand any of the words you're saying but i respect a 210lb snatch :)
  • nah i knew the camera was on, i just wanted to...

    nah i knew the camera was on, i just wanted to make my friends who were watching laugh...
  • lmao that's me i don't actually play...

    lmao

    that's me

    i don't actually play starcraft

    and i used to have a bunch of pics and stuff here, it's gone though? idk!

    but yeah, come on guise it's a joke. finger bowflex for life...
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    awwww ****, untz is right. the chance of the...

    awwww ****, untz is right. the chance of the other kid being a boy is indeed 50%, i read the question wrong, wellthisisawkward.jpg

    apologies for the condescension earlier, was a little heated...
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    so if someone told you he had two kids, 1 is a...

    so if someone told you he had two kids, 1 is a boy, you'd say there was a 50% chance that both his kids were boys?
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    the difference is one is a discrete probability...

    the difference is one is a discrete probability and the other is a best guess based on a probability distribution.
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    i think we disagree just because you look at it...

    i think we disagree just because you look at it as a man saying "i have one kid, he's a boy, my wife just got pregnant, what are my next kids chances of being a boy? in this case the answer is 50%....
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    it's not gamblers fallacy dude, gamblers fallacy...

    it's not gamblers fallacy dude, gamblers fallacy would be okay i went to the casino got **** on 100 times in a row, it's so unlikely i'll lose this next one. no the prob for each discrete event...
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    discrete probability of that single instance is...

    discrete probability of that single instance is .5. if you wanted to do a cumulative density function of that it'd be 1 trial, .5 chance of success, looking for 1 or more successes. you'd get .5. ...
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    ok then you should be able to follow this the...

    ok then you should be able to follow this

    the bolded is where you **** up. the probability of every individual flip is .5, but when trying to assess the probability of getting x number of...
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    i mean ffs the guy even worded it as "what is the...

    i mean ffs the guy even worded it as "what is the probability the other one is a boy". the probability of getting 2 successes with distinct probabilities of .5 each is .25...how is this hard
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    they are not independent events because they are...

    they are not independent events because they are probability distributions holy ****. the question says this: i flipped a coin 10 times, it came up heads at least 9 times, what is the probability...
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    no. it's not asking for a discrete probability...

    no. it's not asking for a discrete probability on a single flip, it's asking for a probability distribution.
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    no, he's saying he already has 1 boy and is...

    no, he's saying he already has 1 boy and is asking what the probability is that his OTHER child is also a boy. we know the answer is .25 by knowing the probability of getting two unique instances of...
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    the funniest part about this thread is that dude...

    the funniest part about this thread is that dude insisting its .5 and saying **** like "zomg why i take math above grade 7 lol"

    it's .25, it's a binomial distribution, yes the choice of each...
  • that's fine, but it seems to me like you're more...

    that's fine, but it seems to me like you're more concerned with feeling superior to both groups than you are facilitating any real discussion. academia stresses specificity and clarity of intent...
  • he's playing semantics. it's a way to try to...

    he's playing semantics. it's a way to try to catch you in what is, admittedly, a fallacious position to hold. most atheists just take for granted, however, that people know we are rejecting the...
  • i agree -- to say with absolute certainty that...

    i agree -- to say with absolute certainty that there is no god is not possible. we can be absolutely certain of nothing. most atheists accept this, and those that don't are being hypocritical.
    ...
  • Religion has literally caused more suffering and...

    Religion has literally caused more suffering and done more to stall the moral and intellectual progression of the human race than anything.

    in before http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/No_true_Scotsman...
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