Search:

What good is a stimulus that takes longer to kick in than the average length of a recession? If the stimulus needs 2-3 years from now (which is already our 17th month of recession)...I mean is it...

Sounds good brother. I've got to start being productive myself.

The fact that he said nothing about the order is what makes it 33%, not 50%.

Had he said the first was a boy, then the odds that the second was a boy would be 50%. But all we know are there are...

Right, I say I flipped a coin twice and one of the flips was tails. So it could be HT, TH, or TT.

Now, what is the probability that the other flip was also tails? The only solution can be TT.

Cool.


Now let me ask you this. If I flip a coin twice and one of the flips is tails, how could you construct a scenario where the other flip is tails? (As in HH, TH, etc.)

Alex, so answer this question: "Alex, I flipped a coin twice. One of the flips is tails. What's the probability that both flips were tails?"

Alex, I think you misunderstood the original question, looked like an idiot, and now you are trying to save face. Just cut it out. You know I was just quoting your "single flip" comment.


I will...

I agree 100%. But that is not what the question is asking.

You can't get through to me because you are wrong.

"I flipped a coin twice, one of the times it landed on tails. What are the odds that the other flip was also tails?"

Alex, the only way the other time could be tails is if it is TT. You...

No, I am asking about the outcome of that other single flip, given that I flipped a coin twice and one of the flips was tails.

Just look at the part you agreed with. Look at the numbers. I...

Yes, I will prove you wrong.

alexk7, I am going to flip a coin twice. I am going to mark on my piece of paper either HH, TT, HT, or TH depending on what I flip.

Now, alexk7, I am going to do...

Wow. You really don't get it.

I AM NOT INQUIRING ABOUT THE OUTCOME OF THE SECOND FLIP. I AM INQUIRING ABOUT THE OTHER OF TWO FLIPS.

I will flip a coin two times. I will tell you that one of my flips was heads (it could be the...

No, he worded it exactly as it is meant to be worded. The subtlety in the wording is what makes this problem tricky.

Asking "if one flip is heads, what is the chance the other flip is heads" is the same question as "if one flip is heads, what is the chance there are two heads?"

It's the exact same question dude....

They are nowhere near the same question.

The first question states that ONE OF TWO flips is heads. It could be the first or the second flip that is heads.

The second question states that the...

I'm out...

^^^

I'm not asking about the SECOND FLIP. I'm telling you I flipped a coin twice, one time was heads. EITHER THE FIRST OR THE SECOND - I AM NOT SPECIFYING. Stop being a damn fool.